St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Betting Tips 7/13/2024

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Preview

From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have the Cubs and Cardinals facing off in an NL Central matchup. The Cubs are currently on a five-game winning streak and are 46-49 overall, while the Cardinals are 48-45 and have Lance Lynn on the mound. Chicago is starting Hayden Wesneski.

St. Louis is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -137, while the Cubs are at +115. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the game can be seen on MARQ.

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St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Cubs have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
• On the other side, the Cardinals have gone 4-1 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Cardinals have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 3-7 against the runline.
• The Cubs have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Chicago cruised to a 5-1 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 8th inning, scoring two runs in the 7th and adding three more in the 8th. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only run in the 9th.

Kyle Hendricks pitched well for the Cubs in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Sonny Gray had a rough outing for the Cardinals, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work.

Nico Hoerner and Dansby Swanson each had two hits and two RBIs for the Cubs’ offense. Miles Mastrobuoni also had a two-hit game and scored twice. As for the Cardinals, Lars Nootbaar went 2/4 with an RBI.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

After winning the first game of their series vs. the Cardinals, the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central, eight games behind the Brewers. The Cubs are 46-49 overall and have gone just 11-19 in divisional games this year. Chicago’s win yesterday gave them a five-game winning streak overall.

Chicago has won four straight games on the road, and they are 21-28 on the road this year. As the road underdog, the Cubs are 15-22 this year compared to 22-22 as the favorite. The Cubs have an overall series record of 11-16-2 this year, and they have won two straight series.

When the Cubs have won, they’ve done so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they’ve lost, they’ve lost by an average of 3.2 runs per game. They are 47-48 on the run line this season, and 34-17 as the underdog. They are 29-20 on the run line on the road, and their current run line win streak is at four games.

The Chicago Cubs are on the road to face the St. Louis Cardinals today, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Cubs’ games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-51. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Cubs’ record is 4-6-2. Only 15.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and their games have gone under the line in three straight contests.

Right-hander Hayden Wesneski is starting for the Cubs today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.67 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Wesneski has a WHIP of 1.10 and opponents are batting .195 this season. In his 23 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.47 strikeouts per nine innings. Wesneski’s most recent outing came on July 7th, where he picked up the win and didn’t allow a run in 6 1/3 innings of work.

Chicago’s offense has been below average this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 14th in the league, and are 8th in on-base percentage. The Cubs are also 5th in the league in walks, but their home run total of 91 is just 18th in the MLB.

Christopher Morel has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 16 homers is 12th in the league. However, he is batting just .198. Ian Happ has also been a key power threat for the Cubs, with his 14 homers coming in as the 2nd most on the team and 13th in the league. Happ’s 56 RBIs is the best mark on the Cubs’ roster.

The Cardinals are 48-45 overall and trail the Brewers by five games in the NL Central. St. Louis has dropped three straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. So far, they are 13-13 in divisional matchups. The team lost the series opener vs. the Cubs and are 24-21 at home this year.

As for their record on the road, the Cardinals are an even 24-24 this season. As the favorite, St. Louis is 25-22 and 23-23 as the underdog. This season, the Cardinals have an overall series record of 15-12-2, and they have won two straight series on the road.

When it comes to betting the run line, the Cardinals have been a better bet as the underdog, going 29-17. They are just 17-30 when favored. At home, they are 24-21 against the run line, but they have failed to cover in their last three games at Busch Stadium. Their overall run differential is -0.5 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of -0.4 runs per game at home.

When the Cardinals play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.6 runs per game. Overall, St. Louis has played to an over/under record of 43-47 this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the Cardinals have an over/under record of 8-6-1, and only 7.5% of their games have had higher lines this season.

Lance Lynn is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, as he gave up 10 earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three home runs. Before that start, he had won two straight outings and didn’t give up more than one earned run in either of those starts. Lynn’s record for the season is 4-4, and his ERA is 4.48. For the year, he has made 18 starts, five of which were quality starts. Lynn’s ERA at home is 4.1 compared to 6.85 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They are also one of the league’s worst home run hitting teams and are near the bottom of the league in terms of isolated power. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .243, which is 10th in the league.

Over the team’s last five games, Alec Burleson and Paul Goldschmidt have both gone deep twice, with Burleson going 7/20 and Goldschmidt going 6/22. Goldschmidt is also on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, Burleson is batting .282 with a team-leading 48 RBIs, while Nolan Gorman has a team-high 17 homers but is batting just .207.

Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Cardinals. With the money line sitting at -137, we see this as a good payout for a Cardinals win. Looking at the starting pitchers, Lance Lynn is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Hayden Wesneski with five.

Offensively, the Cubs are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Cardinals with eight. However, the Cubs are projected to finish with more strikeouts than the Cardinals. If you’re looking for a home run, the Cubs are projected to finish with more than the Cardinals.

As for the over/under, we like the over, as we have this one finishing with 11 runs and the line sitting at nine.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips

• Take the Cardinals on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Cubs (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report

Chicago Cubs Injury Report