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St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 5/20/2024

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St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles 5/20/24
  • We like the Orioles on the moneyline (-108)
  • The Orioles are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
  • Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

At 7:45 PM ET, the Orioles and Cardinals will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Cardinals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -110. The Orioles’ money line odds are at -108, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

BSMW will be televising Monday’s matchup, and Dean Kremer will be on the mound for the Orioles, while the Cardinals are starting Sonny Gray. Kremer’s Orioles are 29-15 and are 2nd in the AL East, while the Cardinals are 4th in the NL Central with a record of 20-26.

Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – Baltimore Orioles odds

St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats

  • Over the course of their previous five away games, the Orioles have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
  • The Cardinals, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 record.
  • In their previous ten games, Orioles have won 6-4 as favorites and 6-4 as underdogs.
  • 3-7 is the record of the Cardinals as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 6-4.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mariners, closing out their series with a 6-3 win. After allowing one run to the Mariners in the top of the first, the Orioles responded with two runs of their own. Baltimore went on to add another four runs in the 3rd inning.

Corbin Burnes put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out 11. However, the Orioles’s bullpen almost gave up the lead, as the Mariners scored two runs in the top of the 7th. Craig Kimbrel was able to close things out in the 9th for the Orioles, picking up the save.

Baltimore is 29-15 overall and trails the Yankees by two games for the AL East lead. The Orioles are 7-2 against other AL East teams this year. So far, they have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 12-5 compared to 17-10 at home.

As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 22-14 this year, and they are 7-1 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 10-3-2, and they won their most recent series vs. the Mariners. Looking at how they have been playing recently, the Orioles are 6-4 over their last ten games.

When it comes to betting the run line, the Orioles have been a solid choice this season, as they are 24-20 overall. They have been even better on the road at 10-7, where they have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 7-1.

The Baltimore Orioles’ over/under record this season is 22-18, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 4-2-1. The O/U line for today’s game against the St. Louis Cardinals is 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs.

So far this season, Dean Kremer has made eight starts and has a record of 3-3. His ERA for the season is 3.72, along with a WHIP of 1.02. Kremer’s last outing came on May 12th, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Against the Diamondbacks, Kremer gave up four homers. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Kremer has a total of three quality starts this season and is averaging 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

Adley Rutschman has been the Orioles’ top hitter this season, batting .309 with nine home runs and 28 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson leads the team and the league with 15 homers this season, and he is also batting a solid .270. Henderson has five homers in his last 10 games, going 10/39 over that stretch.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 4th in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .247, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB.

Led by a big game by Lars Nootbaar at the plate, the Cardinals are coming off a game in which they scored 11 runs on 14 hits. However, it was the Red Sox who handed the Cardinals an 11-3 loss. St. Louis was the +110 underdog at home going into the game.

Matthew Liberatore got the start for the Cardinals and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. The Cardinals also issued three walks and hit a batter.

St. Louis is 20-26 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. So far, they have really struggled against other NL Central teams, going 1-6. Currently, they trail the Brewers by seven games in the division.

The Cardinals have gone 6-14 in day games this season, while going 8-12 at home. On the road, they are 12-14. As the home underdog, the Cardinals have gone 2-3 this year. St. Louis has an overall series record of 7-8 and have won two straight series.

When betting the run line on the Cardinals, it’s been a mixed bag this season. They are 22-24 overall, 10-10 at home, and 12-14 on the road. As a favorite, they are just 9-15, but as an underdog, they are 13-9. Their average run differential is -1.1 runs per game, and they are 2.6 runs better than their opponents in wins.

St. Louis has seen the over hit in six straight games and the over has been a common theme in their games this season. Their combined run average is 8.7, and their over/under record is 22-23. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, and the over has hit in 54.3% of their games this season when the line is set at 8 runs. Their games have gone over the line of 8 runs in 25 of their 46 games this season.

Sonny Gray will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Angels, where he gave up five earned runs in six innings of work. In that May 14th start, he gave up two home runs. Looking back over his last four starts, Gray has given up a homer in each outing. Gray has made four quality starts this year and has a record of 5-2 with a 3.05 ERA. His ERA at home is 0.95 compared to 4.95 on the road. So far, he has a record of 2-1 at home.

Over his last eight games, Alec Burleson has gone 11/29 with two homers and four RBIs. This has helped him move his season batting average up to .379. Nolan Gorman has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/23 in his last seven games, including two home runs. Gorman’s seven homers for the season is the best mark on the team and 8th best in the league.

Paul Goldschmidt is currently on an eight-game hitting streak and has gone 11/36 over his last eight games. During this stretch, he has two homers and five RBIs. Goldschmidt is also 2nd on the team with 18 RBIs this season. As a team, the Cardinals are 25th in the league in runs scored, averaging just 3.8 runs per game.

Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being -108. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Sonny Gray is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Dean Kremer with five. However, Gray is predicted to go 4 innings, while Kremer is projected to finish with two.

Offensively, we have the Orioles finishing with 10 strikeouts compared to the Cardinals with eight. And in terms of home runs, the Orioles are actually projected to finish with the most in the league today.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

  • We like the Orioles on the moneyline (-108)
  • The Orioles are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
  • Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Steven Matz Out Back
Willson Contreras Out Forearm
Keynan Middleton Out Forearm
Giovanny Gallegos Out Shoulder
Tommy Edman Out Wrist
Drew Rom Out Biceps
Riley O’Brien Out Forearm

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Anthony Santander Questionable Knee
Tyler Wells Out Elbow
Alexis Cruz Out Personal
Christopher Ramirez Out Personal
Isaiah Kearns Out Personal
Félix Bautista Out Elbow

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