Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
Emerson Hancock and the Mariners will host the Blue Jays today at 4:10 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. Toronto comes in with a record of 39-49 and they are starting Yariel Rodriguez. Seattle is the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -124. The money line odds for a Blue Jays win are at +105. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the under is paying out at -104 compared to -117 for the over.
MLBN will be televising Saturday’s AL matchup, and the Mariners are currently on a two-game winning streak, as they are 49-41 and sit atop the AL West. The Blue Jays have lost three straight and are 5th in the AL East.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Toronto Blue Jays odds
Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Blue Jays have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- The Mariners, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Mariners have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Blue Jays have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.
Seattle picked up a 2-1 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a two-run 3rd inning, and the Blue Jays could only muster one run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -135 on the money line.
Luis Castillo started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Blue Jays, Kevin Gausman got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work.
Cal Raleigh and Luke Raley were the only two Mariners hitters to have more than one hit. Raleigh. Toronto’s top hitter was Kevin Kiermaier, who went 1/2 with a home run.
Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by five games for 4th place in the division and are 17 games behind Baltimore for the division lead. The Blue Jays are 39-49 overall and have lost three straight games. So far, they are 12-16 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Blue Jays are 21-24 this year, and they are 18-25 on the road. As the underdog, Toronto is just 9-29 this year, and they have lost five straight games as the underdog. The Blue Jays are 30-20 when favored this year, and their overall series record is 9-13-6.
When the Blue Jays win, they tend to do so by a wide margin, averaging a 3.3-run differential in those games. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -3.9. Their run line record is 40-48, and they are 25-18 against the run line on the road, where they have covered in four straight games.
The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road in Seattle today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 41-44. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-10-1. So far this season, 43.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 4.63. Opponents have hit .247 off Rodríguez this year, and his WHIP is 1.54. The last time he pitched, Rodríguez took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that outing, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. So far, he has one quality start.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. This has been a trend both at home and on the road, as they are averaging 3.9 runs per game at home and 4 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting just .233 and have the league’s 22nd ranked home run total.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the team’s best hitter this season, batting .293 with 13 home runs and a team-high 50 RBIs. Daulton Varsho is also near the top of the Blue Jays’ home run and RBI leaderboards but is hitting just .198 this season. George Springer has been on a tear of late, going 14/31 in his last 10 games with four homers.
Seattle is currently 1st in the AL West, holding a two-game lead over the Astros. The Mariners are 49-41 overall and have gone 17-5 in divisional games this year. They have won two straight games, and this is after going just 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Mariners are 30-16 this year and have won two straight as the home favorite. As the favorite overall, the Mariners are 31-22 and 18-19 as the underdog. So far, they are 13-13-2 in series this year and have lost five straight series at the moment.
Seattle has been a run line team this season, going 41-49 overall. They have been a bit better at home, going 22-24 on the run line. The Mariners’ average run differential is +0.1 runs per game, and they have been a run line underdog in 37 of their 90 games.
Seattle is 5-10-1 when the over/under line is set at 8 runs this season. The Mariners have played in 18 games with higher lines and 56 games with lower lines. Their games have averaged 7.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 36-49.
Seattle is sending right-hander Emerson Hancock to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-3 with a 4.79 ERA. So far, Hancock has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 5.23 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went seven innings vs. the White Sox, giving up two earned runs on six hits. Hancock didn’t give up a homer in that outing. The right-hander has allowed a total of eight homers this year.
Cal Raleigh is currently leading the Mariners in home runs, but he is batting just .203 for the season and has gone 4/19 in his last five games. Mitch Garver is also struggling at the plate, with a team-high 11 homers but a batting average of just .174. Julio Rodriguez is batting .247 for the season and has one homer in his last five games.
As a team, the Mariners are 27th in the league in scoring at 3.8 runs per game. They are also the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts and have the league’s worst team batting average. Overall, they are 11th in home runs, but their slugging percentage and OPS are both near the bottom of the league.
Our pick for this Blue Jays vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at -124. We actually have the Mariners winning this one 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Emerson Hancock is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Yariel Rodríguez. We have Hancock finishing with seven K’s and Rodríguez with five.
Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips
- Take the Mariners on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Blue Jays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gabe Speier | Out | Shoulder |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Woo | Out | Hamstring |
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| Justin Turner | Out | Personal |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | Out | Knee |
| Jordan Romano | Out | Elbow |
| Orelvis Martinez | Out | Suspension |
| Alek Manoah | Out | Elbow |
