Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Preview
From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Rangers and Mariners facing off in an AL West matchup. First pitch on Sunday is set for 4:10 PM ET. BSSW is carrying the Rangers on TV, while the Mariners are the favorites on the money line (-160). The money line odds have the Rangers at +136.
On Saturday, the Mariners extended their winning streak to two games by beating the Rangers, who have lost two straight. Texas will be looking to turn things around with a win, as they are 71-78 and in 3rd place in the AL West. Seattle is 2nd in the AL West with an overall record of 76-73.
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Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Rangers in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- The Mariners, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- The Mariners have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Rangers have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
Seattle picked up a 5-4 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning, and the Rangers could only muster one run in the bottom half of the inning. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -171 on the money line.
Logan Gilbert got the start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up four runs while striking out seven. Andrés Muñoz got the win out of the bullpen, and José Leclerc took the loss for the Rangers.
Julio Rodríguez and Luke Raley each homered for the Mariners, while Justin Turner went 2/4 with an RBI. Victor Robles also had a two-hit game and scored two runs for Seattle’s offense.
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction
Texas is 71-78 overall, and they are 9.5 games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 20-22 in divisional games. The Rangers have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Mariners 1-2.
At home, the Rangers have gone 41-34 this season, and they are just under .500 at 30-44 on the road. As the favorite, Texas has gone 47-34 this season, and they are 24-44 as the underdog. On the road, the Rangers have dropped two straight as the underdog, and their overall record as the road underdog is 17-32 this year.
When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. They have a run line record of 63-86 overall, with a 36-32 mark as the underdog. Their average run margin for the season is -0.4 runs per game.
The Texas Rangers are on the road against the Seattle Mariners in a game with an over/under line of 7 runs. The Rangers have an over/under record of 69-75 this season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 4-4. Texas has played 139 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 93.3% of their games. They have played just two games this season with over/under lines set lower than 7 runs. The over has hit in each of their last four games.
Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 5-13 with a 3.84 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Heaney has a WHIP of 1.20 and has issued just 2.42 walks per nine innings. He is coming off a start in which he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on eight hits. Before that outing, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Heaney has made seven quality starts this year.
Adolis García and Marcus Semien are both tied for 2nd on the Rangers with 22 home runs this season. However, García has struggled with his batting average, hitting just .216, while Semien isn’t much better at .238. Corey Seager has been the team’s best hitter so far, batting .278 with 30 homers, which is the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. His 74 RBIs are also 2nd on the team.
As a team, the Rangers are averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including team OPS, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Texas does come into the game with a couple of hitters on solid hitting streaks, as Nathaniel Lowe has hit safely in four straight games, and Wyatt Langford has a hit in five straight.
Seattle is 76-73 overall and 2nd in the AL West, trailing the Astros by 4.5 games. The Mariners have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10. In divisional games this year, the Mariners are 24-18.
At home, the Mariners are 44-30 this season compared to a 32-43 mark on the road. Seattle has won two straight games at home, and they are 35-24 as the home favorite this season. Seattle’s overall record as the favorite is 55-47.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet at home this season, going 31-43, but they have been even better on the road, going 32-43. As the favorite, the Mariners have gone 40-62 on the run line, while they have gone 23-24 as the underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.6, while it is -3.1 in losses.
The Mariners have been a strong over team this season, with a combined run average of 7.9 and an over/under record of 69-71. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, they have gone over 15 times, under 19 times, and pushed 7 times. Their games have had an over/under line of 7 runs in 36.5% of their games this season, and they are currently on a three-game over streak.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Rangers. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-11 with a 3.77 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his 30 appearances, he has turned in 17 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Kirby took the loss vs. the Padres, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 6-6 and 4.56 ERA compared to 5-5 with a 4.09 ERA at home.
Julio Rodríguez and Luke Raley have been swinging the bat well for the Mariners of late, with Rodriguez going 9/27 in his last six games, including two homers, and Raley has gone 7/20 with two homers and seven RBIs in this stretch. Rodriguez is batting .265 for the season and Raley is at .242. Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as he is 12th in the league with 30 homers and has driven in a team-high 93 runs.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the league’s worst this season, as they are 24th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game and are batting just .220 as a team. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts. Overall, they are averaging 3.7 runs per game at home and 4.4 runs per game on the road.
We like the Rangers to pick up a win on the road and are recommending taking them on the money line at +136. With this payout, we see this as a great value pick, as we have the Rangers winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Andrew Heaney is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and we have George Kirby finishing with six. As for the offenses, the Rangers are our top-ranked team in terms of hits, and they are also projected to finish with more home runs than the Mariners.
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips
- We like the Rangers on the moneyline (+136)
- The Rangers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Castillo | Out | Hamstring |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager | Out | Hip |
| Jon Gray | Out | Foot |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Shoulder |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Cole Winn | Out | Shoulder |
| Grant Anderson | Out | Ankle |
| Evan Carter | Out | Back |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Latz | Out | Forearm |
