Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction & Betting Tips 6/16/2024

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Preview

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an AL West matchup between the Rangers and Mariners. First pitch on Sunday is set for 4:10 PM ET, and MLBN is carrying this one on TV.

The Mariners are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -144 compared to the Rangers at +122. Sunday’s pitching matchup features Dane Dunning for the Rangers and Logan Gilbert for the Mariners. Gilbert is 2-0 this season, while Dunning is 2-4.

Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Texas Rangers odds

Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats

• The Rangers are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Mariners have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• The Mariners have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Rangers have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.

Seattle picked up a 7-5 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a three-run 3rd inning and added two more in the 8th. As for the Rangers, they scored one run in the 5th and put up four in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -123 on the money line.

George Kirby started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Nathan Eovaldi got the start for the Rangers and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in three innings of work.

At the plate, the Mariners were led by Josh Rojas and Julio Rodriguez, as they were the only two Seattle hitters to have more than one hit. Rojas, Rodriguez, and Dominic Canzone each had two RBIs for the Mariners’ offense.

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Texas is 33-37 overall this season, and they are 7.5 games behind the Mariners in the AL West. The Rangers have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Mariners 0-2. So far, they have gone 9-13 in AL West play.

At home, the Rangers are 16-17 this year and 17-20 on the road. As the underdog, the Rangers are 13-19 this year compared to a mark of 20-18 as the favorite. Texas’s overall series record is 10-11-1, and they have won two straight series on the road.

When betting on the Rangers’ run line, it’s been a better proposition to take them as the underdog, as they are 17-15 against the run line in those games. They are 14-24 against the run line as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 31-39, and their average run margin in games they win is 4.0 runs, while their average run margin in games they lose is -3.5 runs.

The Texas Rangers are on the road today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for the Rangers’ games this season is 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Rangers this season is 26-42. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Rangers have a record of 3-4. This season, 85.7% of the Rangers’ games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Dane Dunning will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers, as he gets the start for the Rangers today. In that outing, he gave up six runs (three earned) in just 3 2/3 innings of work. Dunning ended up taking the loss in the game. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Diamondbacks and not giving up a run in five innings of work. Dunning’s record for the season is 4-5, and his ERA is 4.80. Opposing batters are hitting .200 off Dunning this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 4.31 walks compared to 9.77 strikeouts.

Heading into today’s game, Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia are the top two home run hitters in the Rangers lineup, with 11 and 13 homers, respectively. However, Garcia is batting just .218 for the season, and Semien is hitting just .265. Semien is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/29 in his last eight games. Corey Seager is also near the top of the Rangers lineup in homers, with 14, but he is batting just .262 and went 1/11 in his last three games.

As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Their team batting average of .240 is 10th in the league, and they are also one of the best teams in the league at not striking out. Overall, they are 16th in home runs and have a collective OPS of .682.

Seattle is 42-31 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by 7.5 games over the Rangers. The Mariners have gone 16-5 against other teams in the AL West this year. At home, the Mariners have gone 26-12 compared to a road mark of 16-19.

The Mariners have won two straight games, and this came after dropping four in a row. Seattle has been good as the favorite this year, going 27-18, and they are 15-13 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 12-8-2.

Seattle has been a solid bet against the run line overall this season, going 35-38, but they have been even better at home, going 20-18. Their average run margin is just +0.2 runs per game, but they have been able to cover the run line in their last game as the favorite. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 16-12 against the run line.

Seattle has played to the under in 14 of their 20 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs this season, and their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game. They have a 28-42 over/under record on the year, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. The Mariners have had 32 games with an over/under line higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 43.8% of their games this season.

Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Rangers. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with a 3.19 ERA. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is currently .97, and opponents are batting .203 off him this year. Gilbert has turned in 11 quality starts this year, and his ERA at home is 3.26 compared to 4.1 on the road. In his last outing, Gilbert finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.

Julio Rodríguez has been one of the Mariners’ top hitters this season, as his seven home runs are 3rd on the team and 15th in the league. He also comes into the game with a batting average of .267. Over his last nine games, he has gone 10/36 with two homers and five RBIs. Catcher Cal Raleigh is 1st on the team with 12 homers but has a batting average of just .209. Mitch Garver is also struggling in terms of batting average, as he is hitting just .173 for the season.

Seattle’s offense is 24th in the league in runs scored, averaging 3.9 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3.7 runs per contest. Overall, the Mariners are batting just .221 and have the worst strikeout rate in the league.

Our predicted score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Rangers, and with them being the underdogs at +122, we see this as a great value pick. If you’re looking to play the money line, the Rangers are our recommended pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Logan Gilbert finishing with more strikeouts than Dane Dunning, but Gilbert is actually projected to finish with the same amount of strikeouts as Dunning. Gilbert is also projected to go 1.1 innings longer than Dunning.

Offensively, the Mariners are projected to finish with just eight hits compared to the Rangers, who we have finishing with eight as well. The Mariners are also projected to finish with fewer home runs than the Rangers.

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips

• We like the Rangers on the moneyline (+122)
• The Rangers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Seattle Mariners Injury Report

Texas Rangers Injury Report