Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview
At 4:10 PM ET, the Rays and Mariners face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and has the Mariners as the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -175 compared to the Rays at +145. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs.
RSNW is televising this one, and the Mariners will be sending Luis Castillo to the mound vs. a Rays club that is 66-66 and starting Tyler Alexander. In the AL East, the Rays are 4th, while the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Tampa Bay Rays odds
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats
- The Rays are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the other side, the Mariners have gone 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Mariners have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rays have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
Tampa Bay picked up a 3-2 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a two-run 7th inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run. Heading into the game, they were at +140 on the money line.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Logan Gilbert, as he gave up just two hits and no earned runs in six innings of work for the Mariners. JT Chargois took the loss.
Jeffrey Springs only went five innings for the Rays but didn’t give up a run and finished with nine strikeouts. He got the win in the game, while Edwin Uceta got the save.
Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay is at an even 66-66 overall as they play on the road vs. the Mariners today. In the AL East, the Rays trail the Yankees by 11.5 games, and they are 4th in the division. So far, they have gone just 17-23 in AL East matchups. The Rays will be looking to get back to .500 today, as they dropped yesterday’s game vs. the Mariners.
At home, the Rays are 34-34 this season, and they are right at .500 at 32-32 on the road. As the underdog, Tampa Bay has gone 33-37 this season, compared to a mark of 33-29 as the favorite. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 21-16-5, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Mariners.
When betting on the Rays, it’s been a good idea to take the run line, as Tampa Bay is 66-66 against the run line this season. The Rays have been a better bet on the road, where they are 37-27 against the run line, compared to 29-39 at home. Tampa Bay has a negative run differential on the season, but it’s been even worse in losses, as the Rays’ average run differential in defeats is -3.5 runs per game.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.1 runs, and their over/under record is 58-68. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 2-2-4. The over/under line has been set at 7 runs for just 1 of their games this season, which is 0.8% of their games. Their current under streak is at 3 games.
Tyler Alexander is getting the start for the Rays today and comes into the game with a record of 5-3 and ERA of 5.22. So far, he has made one quality start and is averaging 7.67 strikeouts per nine innings. Alexander’s last outing came against the Dodgers, where he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Looking back at his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in each appearance. Opponents are batting .261 off Alexander this year, and he has given up a total of 17 home runs.
Yandy Diaz has been one of the few bright spots in the Rays lineup this season, as he is batting .275 for the season and is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Over his last nine games, he is batting .312. Diaz also leads the team with 57 RBIs. Christopher Morel and Jose Siri are the top home run hitters for the Rays this season, but both have struggled with their batting averages, coming in at .193 and .195, respectively.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, team batting average, and slugging percentage. Tampa Bay is also one of the worst teams in the league in terms of striking out.
Seattle is hosting the Rays today with an overall record of 67-66, which has them 3.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners are 19-13 against other teams in the division. So far, they have gone 40-28 at home compared to 27-38 on the road.
The Mariners have gone 48-40 when favored this year and are 33-22 as the home favorite. Seattle’s overall series record is 18-22-2, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games overall.
Seattle has been a good bet on the run line at home this season, going 28-40. Their average run differential at home is +0.6 runs per game, while their overall average run differential is just +0.1 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 21-24, compared to 34-54 as the favorite.
Seattle is 12-18-5 when the over/under line is set at 7 runs this season. The Mariners have played 88 games with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, which is 66.2% of their games. Their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for the season is 58-68. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Rays, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants. In that start, he went six innings, giving up five earned runs, and took the no-decision. Looking back over his last three starts, Castillo has finished with a no-decision, loss, and win. His ERA for the season is 3.66, along with a record of 10-12. Opponents are batting .233 vs. Castillo this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.19 strikeouts and 2.42 walks.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ most consistent power threat this season, as his 27 homers is the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. He also leads the team with 80 RBIs. However, he is batting just .212. Julio Rodriguez has hit 11 homers and is batting .251. Randy Arozarena has 17 homers this season, which is 2nd on the team, but he is batting just .213.
Over his last five games, Randy Arozarena has gone 4/19 with one home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is 2nd on the team in RBIs (46). Josh Rojas has gone 5/13 in his last five games, but he is still looking for his first home run of the season. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .215 and are last in the league in strikeouts.
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-4 in favor of the Rays, and with them having a money line of +145, that is the way we recommend playing this one. We have Luis Castillo going seven innings for the Mariners, and he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts.
As for Tyler Alexander, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts and go five innings. Offensively, the Rays lineup is projected to finish with 13 strikeouts, which is the most in the league today.
Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips
- We like the Rays on the moneyline (+145)
- The Rays are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| J.P. Crawford | Out | Finger |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Zack Littell | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane Baz | Questionable | Illness |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Richie Palacios | Out | Knee |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
| Pete Fairbanks | Out | Lat |
