Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants Preview
There is an interleague matchup between the Giants and Mariners at 4:10 PM ET today. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Giants are favored on the money line (-111). The Mariners’ money line odds are at -107, and the over/under line is at 6.5 runs.
Blake Snell is starting for the Giants, and he is facing off against George Kirby for the Mariners. San Francisco comes in with a record of 65-65, and the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West at 65-64. NBCS is carrying this game on TV.
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Seattle Mariners vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Giants are 3-2. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Mariners have a 1-4 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
- In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Giants have a record of 6-4, while as the underdog, they have a record of 3-7.
- The Mariners hold a 6-4 record as the favorite and a 3-7 record as the underdog.
Seattle picked up a 6-5 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 8th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Giants, they scored three runs in the 4th and added two more in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -154 on the money line.
Luis Castillo got the start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up five runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but did not factor in the decision. Collin Snider got the win out of the bullpen, and Erik Miller took the loss for the Giants out of the bullpen.
At the plate, the Mariners were led by Luke Raley, Leo Rivas, and Mitch Haniger, as each player had two hits and two RBIs. Raley and Haniger each homered in the game.
Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco is at an even 65-65 overall as they take on the Mariners today. The Giants are on the road, and they trail the Dodgers by 12.5 games in the NL West. Currently, they are 4.5 games behind the Padres for 3rd place in the division.
The Giants have dropped two straight games, and they are just 4-6 across their last 10. At home, the Giants have gone 38-28 this year, and they are 27-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Giants are 42-30 and 23-35 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 21-16-4.
The Giants are 35-29 against the run line on the road this season, including a 2-game win streak. They have an average run differential of -0.4 runs per game on the road, but they are 34-24 against the run line as an underdog this season.
San Francisco Giants games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-60. The over/under line for today’s game against the Seattle Mariners is set at 6.5 runs. The Giants have played 128 games with higher over/under lines than 6.5 runs this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 6.5 runs is 1-1. The over has hit in two straight Giants games.
Left-hander Blake Snell gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.67 ERA. Snell’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his last outing, Snell finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. He has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 11.96 strikeouts per nine innings. Snell has one shutout and one complete game this year.
So far this season, the Giants offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They are also right around the league average in terms of home runs and batting average. San Francisco’s top two home run hitters are Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos, who have 20 and 19 homers, respectively. Both players are also at the top of the Giants’ leaderboard in terms of RBIs.
Heliot Ramos is currently on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 7/22 in his last six games, with two homers and six RBIs. Over that same stretch, Michael Conforto has also gone deep twice but is just 4/17.
Seattle is 65-64 overall and 4.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners took the series opener vs. the Giants and are 2-8 over their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 19-13 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Mariners are 38-26, and they are just under .500 at 27-38 on the road. As the underdog, the Mariners have lost seven straight, and they are 7-6 as the home underdog this year. Seattle’s overall series record is 17-22-2, and they have dropped three straight series.
Seattle has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 54-75 against the run line. They have been an even worse bet at home, going just 27-37. The Mariners have been favored in 84 games this season, going 33-51 against the run line. They have also lost seven straight games against the run line when favored.
Seattle has played to the over in 57 of their 123 games this season, and the over/under line for their games has been set at 6.5 runs just seven times. The Mariners have gone over the total in four of those seven games, and the over has hit in their last two games. The O/U line for today’s game against the Giants is set at 6.5 runs, and the combined run average for Mariners games this season is 7.8 runs per game.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Giants. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 9-9 with a 3.40 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08, and he has turned in 16 quality starts. In his last outing, Kirby picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-6 and 4.43 ERA compared to 5-3 with a 3.49 ERA at home.
Seattle’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the majors. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of batting average and have the most strikeouts in the league. However, the Mariners do have a good team walk rate and are 13th in the league in home runs. Julio Rodríguez has been one of the team’s top hitters this season, batting .258 with 11 homers and 38 RBIs.
Luke Raley and Randy Arozarena have been two of the Mariners’ top power threats this season, but both are batting under .240. Raley has gone 7/20 in his last eight games, including two homers, and Arozarena has gone deep 16 times this season.
Our prediction for this Giants vs. Mariners matchup is that the Giants will pick up a 5-4 road win. With the Giants being on the road, you can get them on the money line at -111, which is our recommended pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Blake Snell finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among all starters today. As for George Kirby, we have him finishing with six K’s, which is ninth among all starters.
Another reason we like the Giants to pick up the win is that we have them finishing with eight hits compared to the Mariners, who we have finishing with just six.
As for a final score, we have the Giants winning by a score of 5-4.
Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- We like the Giants on the moneyline (-111)
- The Giants are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| J.P. Crawford | Out | Finger |
| Victor Robles | Questionable | Hip |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Patrick Bailey | Out | Oblique |
| Randy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
