Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Preview
From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Padres and Mariners facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 9:40 PM ET. The money line odds have the Padres at -108 compared to the Mariners at -111. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs.
Wednesday’s forecast in Seattle calls for temperatures in the mid-60s and partly cloudy skies. Michael King is starting for the Padres, and he is facing off against Bryan Woo. San Diego is 2nd in the NL West, while the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – San Diego Padres odds
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- The Padres are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- In the Mariners’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- In their previous ten games, Padres have won 5-5 as favorites and 6-4 as underdogs.
- The Mariners hold a 4-6 record as the favorite and a 2-8 record as the underdog.
San Diego cruised to a 7-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a big 3rd inning, scoring three of their seven runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their final run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Padres were at +108 on the money line.
Yu Darvish got the start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but did not get the win. Robert Suarez got the save. George Kirby had a rough outing for the Mariners, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.
Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. each homered for the Padres. Machado, Luis Arraez, Donovan Solano, and Jurickson Profar each had two RBIs. Luke Raley hit the Mariners’ only home run and drove in three runs.
Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction
San Diego is 82-64 overall this season, and they are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres lead the Diamondbacks by a half-game for the second spot in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 21-22 in divisional games. The Padres are on the road today, and they are 42-29 as the visiting team.
As the favorite, the Padres are 52-40 this season and 30-24 as the underdog. San Diego has won two straight games as the road favorite. Overall, their series record is 28-15-5, and they are leading the Mariners 1-0 in this series. Heading into today’s game, the Padres have gone 6-4 over their last ten games.
San Diego’s run line record on the road is 45-26, and their average run margin is 1.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the favorite, but their overall run line record is just 74-72.
The Padres have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 79-65, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7 runs, they have gone over the total 11 times, compared to just 2 unders. In fact, 90.4% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs. They are currently on a 3-game over streak.
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with an ERA of 3.10. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his last outing, he pitched well, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. King has been much better at home this season, coming in with an ERA of 3.50 compared to 3.36 on the road.
As a team, the Padres are batting .265, which is the best mark in the league. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league, and their collective on-base percentage is the 5th best in the league. San Diego is also the top team in the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. Overall, the Padres are averaging 4.8 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.
San Diego’s top power hitter is Manny Machado, who has gone deep 26 times this season, which is 14th best in the league. His 94 RBIs are the 10th most in the MLB this season. Machado has been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .341 with four homers over his last 10 games. Luis Arraez has also been red hot, going 18/39 in his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .318 and has gone deep four times.
Seattle is 73-72 overall, putting them 4.5 games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 22-17 against other AL West clubs. The Mariners will take on the Padres today, and they are 41-29 at home this season.
This year, the Mariners have gone 32-43 on the road. They have lost seven straight games as the underdog, and their overall record as the underdog is 19-26. Seattle’s series record is 20-23-3 this year, and they are coming into today’s game having lost four of their last six games.
Seattle’s run line record is 61-84, including a 29-41 mark at home. The Mariners’ average run margin is +0.3 runs per game, and they have gone 40-60 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1 runs per game. They have failed to cover the run line in seven straight games.
Seattle’s over/under record is 66-71, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7 runs, they are 13-19-6. The O/U line for today’s game is 7 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 7.9 runs. In 66.2% of their games, the line has been set at over 7 runs. Their over streak is at 2 games.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryan Woo to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-2 with a 2.36 ERA. Woo’s WHIP for the season is .85, and opponents are batting .204 off him this year. In his last outing, Woo picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. He finished with six strikeouts in that outing. Looking back further, he has allowed two homers in three of his last six starts. So far, he has nine quality starts this year.
Cal Raleigh and Luke Raley have both been swinging the bat well for the Mariners, with each player going 7/20 in their last five games. Raleigh has two homers and six RBIs in that stretch, while Raley also has two homers and has driven in four runs. Raleigh and Raley are the team’s top two home run hitters for the season, with 30 and 19 homers, respectively.
Overall, the Mariners are batting just .220 this season, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they do have a few guys with good home run totals, as Julio Rodriguez, Randy Arozarena, and Luke Raley are all near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard. Rodriguez is batting .260 for the season and has gone deep 14 times.
At home, we have the Mariners picking up a 6-5 win over the Padres. Given that they are at -111 on the money line, this is the way we would recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Bryan Woo finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth among all starters. As for Michael King, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for seventh.
Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips
- We like the Mariners on the moneyline (-111)
- The Mariners are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Castillo | Out | Hamstring |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
