Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 8/4/2024

Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an interleague matchup between the Phillies and Mariners. First pitch is set for 4:10 PM ET, and NSPPH will be televising this one.

The Phillies are the slight money line favorite today, and their money line odds are currently at -134 compared to the Mariners at +114. Sunday’s over/under line is sitting at 7 runs, and Zack Wheeler will be starting for the Phillies vs. Logan Gilbert for the Mariners. Philadelphia is 65-45, while the Mariners are 59-53.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Phillies have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
• On the other side, the Mariners have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games, the Phillies have a 2-8 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Mariners have a 4-6 record against the runline and a 4-6 straight-up record in their last ten games.

Seattle rallied for four runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this Mariners vs. Phillies series. The Mariners scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the 6th, picking up a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -118 on the money line.

Philadelphia wasted a good outing from Orion Kerkering, as he gave up just one run in one inning of work for the Phillies. Carlos Estévez took the loss. Collin Snider got the win out of the bullpen for the Mariners as Bryce Miller went just 4 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs.

Mitch Haniger and Jorge Polanco each had two hits and two RBIs for the Mariners’ offense. Randy Arozarena also had a two-hit game and scored two runs. Luke Raley drove in two runs while going 1/2.

Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Philadelphia is on the road today, and they have dropped six straight games, putting their overall record at 65-45. The Phillies are five games ahead of the Braves in the NL East. So far, they have gone 15-10 in divisional games.

The Phillies have really struggled over the last week, and they are just 2-8 over their last 10 games. At home, the Phillies are 38-21 this year, and they are 27-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 57-35 and 8-10 as the underdog. Philadelphia has an overall series record of 19-13-5 but has dropped five straight series.

The Phillies have been a solid bet against the run line this season, with a 54-56 record. They are 26-25 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +0.3 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 45-47 on the run line, while they are 9-9 as the underdog.

Philadelphia’s over/under record is 51-54 this season, and the over has hit in five straight games. The Phillies have a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game, and their games have averaged eight runs per game this season. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 6-2-3. Overall, 90% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs.

Right-hander Zack Wheeler is on the mound for the Phillies today as he gets the start on the road vs. the Mariners. Wheeler has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 10-5 with a 2.94 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Wheeler has a WHIP of 1.02 and has issued just 2.8 walks per nine innings compared to 9.72 strikeouts. He has turned in 15 quality starts this year. In his last outing, Wheeler took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up more than one earned run.

At home this season, the Phillies are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 8th in the league at 4.9 runs per contest. Philadelphia is also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Heading into the game, they have three players with at least 22 home runs, led by Bryce Harper’s 24 homers.

Over his last five games, Alec Bohm has gone 7/23, and he is also on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, Bohm is batting .296, and his 76 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 6th in the league. Harper and Kyle Schwarber are also among the league leaders in home runs, with 24 and 22, respectively.

Seattle is currently 1st in the AL West, leading the Astros by one game. Overall, the Mariners are 59-53 as they get set to host the Phillies today. Seattle has won two straight games, and they have gone 6-4 across their last ten games.

At home, the Mariners are 33-23 this season and 26-30 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in most of their games, going 40-33, and they are 19-20 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 15-18-2, and they have lost five straight series at home.

Seattle has been a team that has been hard to predict this season when it comes to the run line. The Mariners have been a slight favorite in most games, but they are just 29-44 against the run line in those contests. They have been a better bet on the road, going 26-30 against the run line, compared to 24-32 at home. Their average run differential is just 0.3 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 3.1 runs per game in their losses.

Seattle’s games have been high-scoring this season, with a combined run average of 7.7 runs per game. The over/under record for the Mariners this season is 49-58, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7 runs, the over/under record is 10-16-4. The over has hit in two straight games for Seattle, and the percentage of their games with over/under lines set at 7 runs is 67.9%.

Right-hander Logan Gilbert is starting for the Mariners today and comes into the game with a record of 6-7 and an ERA of 3.11. Gilbert has made 22 starts this season and has a WHIP of 0.90. Looking back at his last outing, Gilbert had a rough time against the Red Sox. He took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, going 7 innings in back-to-back outings without giving up an earned run. Gilbert has 17 quality starts this season.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.6 runs per contest. The Mariners have been a home run hitting team, but their team batting average of .219 is 22nd in the league.

Cal Raleigh has been the team’s most productive hitter this season, as he is 10th in the league with 67 RBIs and has gone deep 23 times. Julio Rodriguez has also been a solid power threat, as he has 11 homers and is batting .263. Over his last eight games, Jorge Polanco has gone 10/29 with four homers, while Victor Robles has gone 11/35 in that stretch.

Our recommended bet for this Phillies vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at +114. With the payout being better than the Phillies, we have the Mariners winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler is projected to have a solid strikeout total of seven. However, we have him finishing with the most earned runs allowed among today’s starters. As for Logan Gilbert, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts and have a lower ERA than Wheeler.

Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• The Mariners are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Seattle Mariners Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report