Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview
At 9:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Mariners square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-118). The money line odds for a Phillies win are sitting at -101, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Friday’s pitching matchup features Tyler Phillips for the Phillies and Bryan Woo for the Mariners. Philadelphia is currently 1st in the NL East, and the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West. The Phillies are on a four-game losing streak, and their overall record is 65-43. RSNW is carrying this one on TV.
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Seattle Mariners vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Phillies in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Mariners’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Phillies have a record of 3-7, while as the underdog, they have a record of 5-5.
- The Mariners are 4-6 (favorite) and 3-7 (underdog).
Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Philadelphia is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 6-5 loss to the Yankees, Weston Wilson went 1/2 with a homer and three RBIs. The Phillies really got to the Yankees in the 2nd inning, as Wilson’s homer was part of a four-run inning. However, the Yankees scored four runs of their own in the 2nd to take the lead. Philadelphia was the -118 favorite at home going into the game.
Cristopher Sánchez got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on eight hits. The Phillies also issued three walks in the 8th inning.
Philadelphia is on the road today, taking on the Mariners, and they have dropped four straight games overall. The Phillies’ record is 65-43, and they lead the NL East by six games over the Braves. Their record vs. other teams in the NL East is 15-10 this season.
The Phillies have an overall series record of 19-13-5 this year, and they have dropped five straight series. This includes being swept by the Yankees in their most recent series. Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
The Phillies have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 53-55 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 25-24 against the run line. They have a run differential of +0.9 runs per game on the season, and have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game on the road. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 8-8, compared to 45-47 as the favorite. They have failed to cover the run line in their last four games as the favorite.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is slightly lower than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. The Phillies have had a record of 49-54 on over/under lines this season, and their games have averaged exactly 8 runs per game when the line has been set at 8. The over has hit in three straight games for the Phillies.
Tyler Phillips has been solid in his first three outings of the season, and he’s coming off a complete game shutout in his last start. Phillips has a win in all three of his appearances, and he has struck out 4, 3, and 7 batters in his starts. He has given up a total of 9 hits and 2 home runs.
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s 5th best team batting average. Over the past six games, Bryson Stott has gone 9/18, while Kyle Schwarber has also been hot, going 7/18 with three homers.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been the Phillies’ top power threats this season, as Harper is 7th in the league with 24 homers, and Schwarber is right behind him at 22. Harper is also 14th in the league with 67 RBIs, while Alec Bohm is 9th in the league with 73 RBIs and is batting .295 for the season.
The Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Red Sox scored a run in the bottom of the 9th. Seattle was the -113 favorite on the money line going into the game.
George Kirby got the start for the Mariners, going 5 1/3 innings, and took the no-decision. He only gave up two runs on seven hits and issued just one walk. Seattle’s offense was carried by Josh Rojas, who went 2/5 with a homer and scored both of their runs.
Seattle is 57-53 overall this season, and they are in 2nd place in the AL West. The Mariners are 4.5 games behind the Astros for the division lead, and they are tied with Houston for the division lead. Seattle will host the Phillies today, and they are 31-23 at home this season.
The Mariners have gone 26-30 on the road this year. As the favorite, the Mariners are 38-33, and they are 19-20 as the underdog. Seattle lost the final two games of their series vs. the Red Sox, dropping the series 2-1. So far, their overall series record is 15-18-2, and they have dropped five straight series at home. Their overall series record is 15-18-2.
Seattle is 23-31 against the run line at home this season, and overall, the Mariners are 49-61 vs. the run line. They are 28-43 vs. the run line as the favorite, and 21-18 vs. the run line as the underdog. Their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, and they have gone over the run line in three straight games at home.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and the Mariners have gone over the total in 47 of their 105 games. The average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over 6 times, under 10 times, and pushed once. This season, 22.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 61.8% of their games have had lower lines.
Through 11 starts, Bryan Woo has a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 2.35 for the Mariners. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in 4 innings of work. In that outing vs. the White Sox, he gave up 4 hits and 1 walk. Woo’s ERA for the season is 1.22 at home, compared to 3.58 on the road. Opponents are batting .209 off the right-hander this year. So far, he has allowed 4 home runs.
Seattle’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. The Mariners are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts. As a team, they are batting just .218 and have the league’s worst on-base percentage.
Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, as his 23 homers are 8th in the league, and his 67 RBIs are 14th. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .263 and has 11 homers, while Randy Arozarena has gone deep 16 times but is batting just .217 for the season. Over his last 10 games, Jorge Polanco is hitting .270 with five homers, and Victor Robles has gone 13/38.
With the Phillies being the underdog, we really like them to pick up a win today, and at -101 on the money line, there is some good value there. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies, and with the over/under sitting at 8 runs, we see this being a close one.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Bryan Woo finishing with six strikeouts compared to Tyler Phillips with five. Woo is also projected to go one inning longer than Phillips. However, we have Woo finishing with the better ERA and WHIP.
Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips
- We like the Phillies on the moneyline (-101)
- The Phillies are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | Questionable | Knee |
| J.P. Crawford | Out | Finger |
| Victor Robles | Questionable | Hip |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Julio Rodríguez | Out | Ankle |
| Gregory Santos | Questionable | Biceps |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Woo | Probable | Hamstring |
| Dominic Canzone | Out | Groin |
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | Out | Finger |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| Ranger Suárez | Out | Back |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
