Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Preview
First pitch for Sunday’s Mets vs. Mariners interleague matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Mets are 61-56 and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak, as they are 3rd in the NL East. Seattle, meanwhile, has won three straight and is 2nd in the AL West with an overall record of 62-56.
ESPN is carrying Sunday’s TV coverage, and the money line odds have the Mariners as the favorite at -132. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and Luis Castillo will be on the mound for the Mariners, while the Mets are starting Luis Severino.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – New York Mets odds
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Mets in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Mariners’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- The Mariners have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Mets’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
Seattle cruised to a 4-0 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Mets, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster one run. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -133 on the money line.
Logan Gilbert pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Sean Manaea had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss.
Offensively, the Mariners were led by Justin Turner and Randy Arozarena, as they were the only two Mariners hitters to have more than one hit. Turner. As a team, the Mariners only had six hits but still scored four runs. On the other side, the Mets had four hits and struck out 13 times.
Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Prediction
With an overall record of 61-56, the Mets are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by eight games. The Mets have gone 20-16 in divisional matchups this season. They have dropped two straight games, and this comes after losing the final two games of their series vs. the Nationals.
At home, the Mets are 30-29 this season and 31-27 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets’ overall record is 23-25 compared to 38-31 as the favorite. New York has an overall series record of 19-14-7 this year and have won two straight series.
The Mets have a run line record of 31-27 on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. Overall, they are 56-61 against the run line this season, and their average run margin is +0.3 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 28-20 against the run line, compared to 28-41 as the favorite.
The Mets are on the road today, facing the Mariners in a game with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. New York has a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season and their over/under record is 58-55. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 11-13. The Mets have played 82 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which is 70.1% of their games. They have played just 11 games with over/under lines set lower than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 7 games.
So far this season, Luis Severino has made 22 starts and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 4.06. His WHIP for the season is 1.25, and opponents are batting .231 off the right-hander this year. In his 22 appearances, Severino has turned in nine quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Severino took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two home runs in three straight starts. So far, he has allowed 15 home runs this season.
Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/30 in his last seven games, which is good for a .300 average. Over this stretch, he has scored three runs and driven in four. For the season, he is hitting .258 with 22 homers and 67 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been a good power threat for the Mets, as he is 9th in the league with 25 homers and is 3rd on the team with 63 RBIs.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the 9th best team on-base percentage in the league.
Seattle is currently 2nd in the AL West, and they are tied with the Astros for the division lead. The Mariners come into today’s game vs. the Mets having won three straight games, and they are 62-56 overall. Seattle has gone 19-13 against other teams in the AL West this season.
At home, the Mariners are 36-26 this season, and they have gone 26-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 43-35 this year and 19-21 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 16-19-2, and they have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
Seattle is 52-66 against the run line this season, including 26-36 at home. The Mariners have gone 2-0 against the run line in their last two games, and they are 31-47 against the run line as the favorite and 21-19 as the underdog. Seattle’s average run margin in winning games is 3.3, while it is -3.2 in losing games.
The Seattle Mariners are playing at home today against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Mariners have gone under the total in their last three games and have an over/under record of 50-63 on the season.
Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Tigers on August 6th, he went six innings, giving up three earned runs on eight hits. In that outing, he didn’t issue a walk and finished with nine strikeouts. Looking back further, Castillo has made 24 starts and has a record of 9-11. His ERA for the season is 3.48, along with a WHIP of 1.17. Opposing batters have hit .234 off Castillo this season. The right-hander has turned in 16 quality starts this year.
Cal Raleigh has been a big power threat for the Mariners this season, as his 24 home runs are the most on the team and 10th in the league. He also comes into the game as the team’s leader in RBIs, with 71. Julio Rodriguez is batting .263 for the season and has gone deep 11 times so far. Over his last four games, Luke Raley has gone 4/11 with two homers and four RBIs.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s worst team in terms of batting average and are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts.
Our pick for today’s Mets vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mets on the money line, with a payout of +111. We have the Mets winning this one by a final score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Severino is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a line of 5.2 innings and allowing six hits. As for Luis Castillo, we have him finishing with six strikeouts as well, but he is projected to finish with an ERA of 4.50.
Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- We like the Mets on the moneyline (+111)
- The Mets are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
J.P. Crawford | Out | Finger |
Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
Julio Rodríguez | Out | Ankle |
Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
New York Mets Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
Dedniel Núñez | Out | Elbow |
Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |