Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Preview
At 4:10 PM ET, the Royals and Mariners will face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-145). The money line odds for a Royals win are sitting at +123, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
BSKC is carrying this game on TV, and the Royals are 2nd in the AL Central with a record of 26-18. The Mariners are 1st in the AL West at 23-20. Wednesday’s starting pitching matchup features Alec Marsh for the Royals and Bryan Woo for the Mariners.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Kansas City Royals odds
Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- The Royals are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Mariners have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Mariners have won 3-7 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Royals have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
Kansas City picked up a 4-2 road win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Royals had a three-run 7th inning, scoring the game’s final run in the 9th. As for the Mariners, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Royals were at +141 on the money line.
Michael Wacha pitched well for the Royals in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. James McArthur got the save. Logan Gilbert had a rough outing for the Mariners, giving up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.
Nelson Velazquez and Mitch Haniger each homered for their respective teams. Velazquez, Julio Rodriguez, and Luke Raley each had two hits for the Royals’ offense.
Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Kansas City is 26-18 overall and 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 1.5 games. The Royals are on the road today, taking on the Mariners and are 11-10 on the road this season. They have been really good as the favorite this year, going 11-6, and they are 15-12 as the underdog.
The Royals have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 7-6 this year. This season, the Royals are 15-8 at home compared to 11-10 on the road. So far, they have gone 8-5 in divisional matchups.
The Royals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 27-17 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line as the underdog, going 19-8. Their average run margin is +1.1 runs per game, and they have been especially good on the road, going 13-8 on the run line.
So far this season, the Royals have played in 36 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. However, when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the under has hit in all four games, including their last two games against the Mariners, which finished with 6 and 8 runs respectively.
Rookie right-hander Alec Marsh is getting the start for the Royals today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Through six starts, Marsh has a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 2.53. He has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Marsh has been solid at home, with a record of 1-0 and an ERA of 1.93 compared to 2-0 with a 3.39 ERA on the road.
Salvador Perez has been the Royals’ top hitter so far this season, batting .325 with a team-high eight home runs and 33 RBIs, which is also 6th in the league. Bobby Witt Jr. has also been a key contributor, batting .298 with five homers and 21 RBIs. However, Witt Jr. is just 7/31 in his last eight games.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 5th in the league in home runs. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .241, which is 12th in the league.
Seattle currently leads the AL West with a record of 23-20, and they are 1.5 games ahead of the Rangers for the top spot in the division. So far, they have gone 6-3 in divisional matchups. The Mariners are at an even 5-5 in their last ten games and have split the first two games of their series with the Royals.
At home, the Mariners are 14-10 this season compared to a 9-10 mark on the road. As the favorite, Seattle has gone 14-11 this year and 9-9 as the underdog. So far this season, their overall series record is 7-5-1.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet this season, going 21-22 overall. They are 12-12 on the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 10-8 on the run line, while they are 11-14 as the favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.4 runs per game, while in losing games, it is -3.5 runs per game.
Seattle’s over/under record for the season is 15-26, and their games have averaged 7.4 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, and in games with that line, the over/under record is 6-8. Overall, 44.2% of Seattle’s games have had higher over/under lines than today’s, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game.
Bryan Woo and the Mariners are at home against the Royals today. Woo is making his second start of the season, and in his first outing, he went 4 1/3 innings and struck out 3, giving up just 1 earned run.
Cal Raleigh has been one of the Mariners’ top home run hitters this season, with 10 homers, which is 4th in the league. He is also 15th in the league with 24 RBIs. Raleigh has two homers in his last eight games while hitting .250. Julio Rodriguez has also gone deep twice in his last nine games, and he is batting .260 for the season.
Overall, the Mariners are 24th in scoring at 3.8 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .225 and are the league’s worst team in terms of striking out. Currently, Mitch Haniger and Cal Raleigh are the team’s top two run producers.
We are predicting the Royals to pick up a 5-4 road win over the Mariners. With the Royals being the underdogs, there is some good value in taking them on the money line, where they are sitting at +123.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Alec Marsh finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for the Mariners’ Bryan Woo, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which has him as the eighth best.
Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Betting Tips
- We like the Royals on the moneyline (+123)
- The Royals are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Mitch Garver | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| J.P. Crawford | Out | Oblique |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Saucedo | Out | Knee |
| Bryan Woo | Probable | Elbow |
| Dominic Canzone | Out | Shoulder |
Kansas City Royals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | Out | Personal |
| Carlos Hernández | Out | Shoulder |
| Josh Taylor | Out | Biceps |
| Kyle Wright | Out | Shoulder |
| Kris Bubic | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Isbel | Questionable | Illness |
| Jake Brentz | Out | Hamstring |
