Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Preview
At 9:40 PM ET, the Astros and Mariners face off in an AL West matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are the slight favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -114. The money line odds for an Astros win are currently at -105, and the over/under line is at 7 runs.
Justin Verlander will start for the Astros, and he is facing off against George Kirby. The Mariners are 1st in the AL West, while the Astros are 3rd with a record of 24-31. Seattle is currently on a 3-game winning streak, while the Astros have lost 4 of their last 5.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Houston Astros odds
Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- The Astros are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Mariners, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- The Astros are 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite and 3-7 as the underdog.
- The Mariners have a 6-4 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 6-4.
Seattle picked up a 4-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a three-run 8th inning, scoring the game’s final three runs. Heading into the game, they were favored at -126 on the money line.
Luis Castillo started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Astros, Hunter Brown got the start and took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work.
Josh Rojas and Julio Rodriguez each had two hits and two RBIs for the Mariners’ offense. Alex Bregman did the most damage for the Astros, going 2/4 with a home run.
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction
The Astros are 3rd in the AL West, 5.5 games behind the Mariners for the division lead. Overall, the Astros are 24-31 and have lost two straight games, with both coming in this series vs. the Mariners. Their division record is 12-10 this season.
At home, the Astros have gone 14-15 this season, and they are just under .500 at 10-16 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going 19-24, and they are 5-7 as the underdog this year. Houston’s overall series record is 8-8-1, and they have won two straight series on the road.
The Astros are 22-33 against the run line this season, including a 10-16 mark on the road. They are currently on a two-game run line losing streak on the road and have an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game this season.
The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Seattle Mariners. The O/U line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 9.1 runs per game. The Astros’ O/U record for the season is 21-31, and the average O/U line for their games is 9 runs. The Astros have had 55 games this season with O/U lines set higher than 7 runs, and their O/U record in games with a line of 7 runs is 0-0. The Astros are currently on a streak of four straight games going under the total.
Right-hander Justin Verlander gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA. In his 40 innings of work, Verlander has issued 14 walks and has a WHIP of 1.23. Opposing batters are hitting .229 off Verlander this year. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.
For the season, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .261. They also lead the league in home runs and have the best slugging percentage in the league. Kyle Tucker has been a big part of their power numbers, as his 18 homers are the most in the league right now. Tucker also leads the Astros with 39 RBIs, which is 8th in the MLB.
Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve are tied for 2nd on the team with nine homers apiece, and Alvarez is 3rd on the team with 22 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Alvarez is hitting .333, while Altuve has gone 4/25 in that stretch. Altuve is also on a three-game hitting streak. Alex Bregman has also struggled of late, going 5/30 in his last seven games.
Seattle is 30-26 overall and leads the AL West by 3.5 games over the Rangers. The Mariners have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Astros and have an AL West division record of 8-3 this year. They have also won three straight games overall.
At home, the Mariners are 17-10 this year and have won three straight as the home underdog. As the favorite, Seattle is 17-13 and 13-13 as the underdog overall. Seattle’s series record is 8-7-2 this year, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
Seattle is 15-12 vs. the run line at home this season, and they’ve covered in three straight games at T-Mobile Park. The Mariners’ run line record overall is 28-28, and they’re 14-16 vs. the run line as the favorite and 14-12 as the underdog. Seattle has an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game this season, but it’s been much better at home, where they have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game.
Seattle’s over/under record this season is 21-32 and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7 runs, they have gone 3-5-2. Their games have averaged 7.5 runs per game, and they have gone under the total in their last two games.
Seattle is sending George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Astros, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals. In that start, Kirby gave up five earned runs in six innings of work, taking the loss. He has actually lost each of his last two starts, giving up a total of 10 earned runs in those outings. Overall, Kirby is 4-5 with a 4.33 ERA and has a WHIP of 1.03. Opponents are batting .228 off the right-hander this season. Kirby has made five quality starts this year.
Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, leading the team with 29 RBIs and 11 homers, which is 7th in the league. However, he is batting just .211. Ty France and Mitch Haniger are tied for 2nd on the team with six homers, with Haniger having 24 RBIs and France at 21. Haniger is batting just .215, and France is at .242.
Julio Rodriguez and J.P. Crawford are both on good stretches at the plate, with Rodriguez going 11/41 over his last 10 games and Crawford batting .273 in his last nine games. Rodriguez also has two homers in this stretch, while Crawford has just one. Dylan Moore has two homers in his last nine games and is batting .259.
Our predicted score for this Astros vs. Mariners matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Astros, which means we like the Astros’ money line at -105. The payout is a good one, and we have Justin Verlander finishing with eight strikeouts and George Kirby with just four.
Looking at the lineups, the Astros are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Mariners’ eight. The Mariners are predicted to have a higher home run total, but we would still go with the Astros on the money line.
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Betting Tips
- We like the Astros on the moneyline (-105)
- The Astros are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | Out | Hamstring |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Forearm |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Forearm |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
