Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Preview
Monday’s matchup between the White Sox and Mariners gets started at 9:40 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA. MLBN will be televising this one, and the Mariners are the heavy favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -228. The White Sox are +191 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7 runs.
Chicago comes into the game with a record of 17-49, and they are 5th in the AL Central, while the Mariners are 1st in the AL West with an overall record of 37-30. Tonight’s pitching matchup features Erick Fedde for the White Sox and Logan Gilbert for the Mariners.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Chicago White Sox odds
Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- 0-5 is the record of White Sox in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- In the Mariners’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- As the favorite, the Mariners are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have a 2-8 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Chicago is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 6-4 loss to Boston, Chris Flexen was excellent on the mound, allowing just two runs while pitching five innings. They also got a big offensive performance from Paul DeJong, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Michael Soroka took the loss out of the bullpen for the White Sox, as Chicago allowed two runs in the top of the 10th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the White Sox were at +125 on the money line.
With a record of 17-49, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 26 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-19. The White Sox have really struggled on the road this year, putting together a mark of just 5-26.
Chicago has yet to play a game as the favorite on the road this year, as they are 5-26 as the underdog. The team has dropped six straight games on the road and are 2-8 over their last 10 games overall. So far, they are just 6-22 in day games and 11-27 in night games. Their overall series record is 4-15-2.
The White Sox have been a poor run line team overall this season at 28-38, but they have been even worse on the road at 11-20. Their average run margin is -2.2 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 2.8 runs per game on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games on the road, but they have been a much better bet to cover the run line as an underdog, going 25-38.
Chicago White Sox games have had an average combined run total of 8.3 this season, and their over/under record is 32-31. When the O/U line has been set at 7, their record is 1-3-1. Overall, 90.9% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 7, and the average O/U line for their games is 8 runs.
Right-hander Erick Fedde gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 3.27. Fedde has turned in five quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up six hits and didn’t issue a walk. Fedde has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .226 off Fedde this year.
Paul DeJong has been on a tear of late for the White Sox, as he has gone 11/38 in his last 10 games with five home runs and 10 RBIs. DeJong is currently 10th in the league with 12 homers and is 2nd on the team with 27 RBIs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Andrew Vaughn has also been swinging the bat well of late, as he is on a nine-game hitting streak.
Chicago’s offense has been the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.1 runs per game. They are also last in the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .217, and their on-base percentage is only .279.
The Mariners’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Royals, closing out their series with a 6-5 win. After allowing one run to the Royals in the bottom of the first, the Mariners responded with a run of their own. Seattle went on to add another two runs in the 7th inning, closing things out with a 6-5 win. Leading up to the game, the Mariners were the +117 underdog on the money line.
George Kirby put together a good start for the Mariners, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Seattle’s offense was carried by J.P. Crawford, who went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Seattle is hosting the White Sox today with an overall record of 37-30, good for 1st place in the AL West. They lead the Rangers by five games for the top spot in the division. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL West, putting together a mark of 14-5. The Mariners are looking to bounce back today after dropping two of three in their series vs. the Royals.
At home, the Mariners are 21-11 this season compared to a 16-19 mark on the road. Seattle has won three straight games at home, and they are 15-9 as the home favorite this season. As for their overall record as the favorite, the Mariners are 22-17. So far, they have gone 15-13 as the underdog.
Seattle’s run line record is 33-34, including 18-14 at home. The Mariners’ average run differential is +0.1 runs per game. They are 15-20 against the run line on the road, where their average run differential is -0.5 runs per game. As the favorite, Seattle is 17-22 against the run line, while they are 16-12 as the underdog.
The Seattle Mariners are at home today against the Chicago White Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The Mariners have had a combined run average of 7.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 26-38. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 6-7-2. The over has hit in three straight games for the Mariners.
Right-hander Logan Gilbert gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the White Sox at home. Gilbert has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with a 3.12 ERA. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of .98 and has turned in 10 quality starts. In his last outing, Gilbert took the loss, giving up one earned run in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Gilbert has been much better at home, with an ERA of 3.11 compared to 4.1 on the road.
For the season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and on-base percentage. However, they do have the 8th most home runs in the league and have the 13th best isolated power figure in the league. Currently, they are averaging 4.0 runs per game on the road and 3.6 runs per game at home.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ top power threat this season, as he leads the team with 11 home runs and is also the team’s leader in RBIs. However, he is batting just .206. Julio Rodriguez has been a bit better in terms of batting average, coming in at .269, and he is also on a three-game hitting streak. Ty France is 2nd on the team with 27 RBIs and has gone deep seven times this season.
Our prediction for the White Sox vs. Mariners game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 7 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Mariners, giving us some room to take the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Logan Gilbert finishing with six strikeouts compared to Erick Fedde with four. Gilbert also has a better chance of picking up the win, with him ranking ninth compared to Fedde at sixth.
As for the Mariners and White Sox lineups, the Mariners are projected to finish with eight hits compared to the White Sox at nine. However, the Mariners have a better chance of hitting a home run, with the White Sox finishing with the sixth-fewest strikeouts.
Another option would be to take the Mariners on the money line, but with a payout of -228, we prefer to take the over.
Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Mariners on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | Out | Hamstring |
| Ty France | Out | Heel |
| Gabe Speier | Out | Shoulder |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Tommy Pham | Out | Ankle |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Benintendi | Out | Achilles |
| Eloy Jiménez | Out | Hamstring |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Dominic Fletcher | Out | Shoulder |
| Steven Wilson | Out | Back |
