Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Orioles and Mariners will face off in an AL matchup at 4:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. Baltimore is currently on a two-game winning streak and has an overall record of 55-31, while the Mariners are 47-41 and are 1st in the AL West.
Thursday’s money line odds have the Orioles as the favorite, with their lines sitting at -148 compared to the Mariners at +126. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and the game will be televised on MASN. Corbin Burnes is starting for the Orioles, while the Mariners are going with Bryce Miller.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Baltimore Orioles odds
Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Orioles in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Mariners have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games, the Orioles have a 5-5 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Mariners have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.
Baltimore cruised to a 4-1 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a big 3rd inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +124 on the money line.
Dean Kremer pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going five innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Craig Kimbrel got the save. Logan Gilbert had a rough outing for the Mariners, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Ryan O’Hearn hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with three RBIs. Cal Raleigh had a two-hit game for the Mariners.
Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
With an overall record of 55-31, the Orioles lead the AL East by two games over the Yankees. The Orioles have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Mariners, and their series record is 18-6-3 this year. At home, the Orioles are 29-17 this year, and they have gone 26-14 on the road.
This season, the Orioles have been really good as the favorite, going 44-25, and they are 11-6 as the underdog. Baltimore has won two straight on the road, and they are 17-9 as the road favorite this year. Looking at their overall mark, the Orioles are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 26-14. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game on the road. They have been favored in 69 games and have gone 37-32 against the run line in those contests.
When the Baltimore Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7 runs. This season, the Orioles have played to an average combined run total of 9.0 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Baltimore games is 43-33, and when the line is set at 7 runs, the record is 4-4-4. So far this season, 86.0% of Orioles games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs, and their games have gone under the total in their last two contests.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes is getting the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 2.28 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.03. In his last outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run on five hits. He finished with the win in that outing. Burnes has been pitching well recently, as he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .201 off Burnes this season.
As a team, the Orioles are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is the best mark in the league. They have also been the league’s top home run-hitting team, and their collective slugging percentage of .459 is also the best in the MLB. Baltimore’s team OPS of .774 is also the best in the league.
Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman have been two of the Orioles’ top power threats this season. Henderson’s 26 homers are 3rd best in the league and is the top mark on the team, while Rutschman is 12th in the league with 15 homers. Henderson is batting .284 for the season, and Rutschman is hitting .288. Anthony Santander has 22 homers but is batting just .234 for the season.
Seattle is looking to avoid losing their fifth straight game today, and they are 47-41 overall, which has them leading the AL West by two games over the Astros. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL West, going 17-5. The Mariners have dropped four straight, and they have lost the first two games of this series vs. the Orioles.
At home, the Mariners are 28-16 this year, but they are just 19-25 on the road. As the underdog, Seattle has lost three straight, and they are 17-19 overall in games as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-12-2, but they have dropped four straight series.
Seattle is 21-23 against the run line at home this season, and they are currently on a five-game run line losing streak at home. They are 19-17 against the run line as an underdog this season.
The Mariners have played 67% of their games this season with an over/under line higher than 7 runs, and they have gone 7-13-4 in those games. Their combined run average is 7.6, and their over/under record for the season is 35-48. The over/under line for today’s game against the Orioles is set at 7 runs, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs. They are currently on a two-game under streak.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 3.88. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. In his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits vs. the Twins. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came on the road, where his ERA is 6.75 compared to 2.18 at home. Miller has allowed a total of 14 home runs this season.
Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 15 home runs are 12th best in the MLB and leads the Mariners. However, he is batting just .201 for the season and has gone 6/27 in his last eight games. Mitch Garver is 2nd on the team with 10 homers but is batting just .176 overall.
As a team, the Mariners are 27th in scoring at 3.8 runs per game and have the worst team batting average in the league at .216. They also strike out more than any other team in the league. In terms of home runs, they are 11th in the league and have been good at drawing walks.
With the Mariners coming in as +126 underdogs at home, we see this as a great opportunity to grab them on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Mariners, giving you some room to take them on the run line as well.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes does have a higher strikeout projection than Bryce Miller, but we have Miller finishing with a better ERA. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to take the Mariners and pair them with a Mariners player to hit a home run, as they are projected to hit six home runs, compared to the Orioles, who are projected to hit nine.
Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- We like the Mariners on the moneyline (+126)
- On the run line we like Mariners (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Garver | Probable | Wrist |
| Gabe Speier | Out | Shoulder |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Woo | Out | Hamstring |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
