Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
Wednesday’s matchup between the Orioles and Mariners is set to get started at 10:10 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Orioles are 54-31 this season and they are 1st in the AL East, while the Mariners are 47-40 and they are 1st in the AL West.
RSNW will be televising this one, and the Mariners are the slight money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -122 compared to the Orioles at +103. Tonight’s total is at 7 runs, and the under is paying out at -110.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Baltimore Orioles odds
Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Orioles have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- In the Mariners’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Mariners have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- The Orioles have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Baltimore picked up a 2-0 road win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a one-run lead going into the 4th inning and added an insurance run in the 7th. As for the Mariners, they had their best scoring chance in the 6th, but could only muster two hits and left two runners on base.
Grayson Rodriguez started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued four walks. As for the Mariners, George Kirby got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.
Anthony Santander and Ryan O’Hearn each had two hits and an RBI for the Orioles’ offense. Colton Cowser also had a two-hit game and scored a run. For the Mariners, Josh Rojas went 2/2.
Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
With an overall record of 54-31, the Orioles lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. So far, they have been great against other teams in the division, going 19-7. Baltimore has been good on the road this year, putting together a record of 25-14 compared to going 29-17 at home.
As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 44-25 this year, and they are 10-6 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 18-6-3, and they are currently up 1-0 in the series vs. the Mariners. Over the last ten games, the Orioles are 5-5.
When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. That’s helped them to a 49-36 run line record on the season, including a 25-14 mark on the road. They’ve been particularly good against the run line as the favorite, going 37-32, compared to 12-4 as the underdog. Overall, their average run margin is +1.3 runs per game.
The Orioles are on the road against the Mariners today, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-32. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 4-3-4. In 74 of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 87.1% of their games.
Right-hander Dean Kremer is on the mound for the Orioles today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.32. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his last outing, Kremer took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of his issues this year has been the long ball, as he has allowed 10 homers. Kremer’s ERA at home is 6.47 compared to 3.88 on the road.
As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Baltimore also leads the league in home runs and has the top slugging percentage and OPS in the league. Baltimore’s offense has been very good at avoiding strikeouts, but they are 19th in the league in walks.
Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman have been the Orioles’ top power hitters this season, with Henderson leading the team with 26 homers and Rutschman right behind him with 15. Rutschman also has a team-high 55 RBIs, while Henderson’s 58 RBIs is the best mark in the league. Over his last four games, Heston Kjerstad has gone 5/12 with two homers and eight RBIs.
Seattle is currently 47-40 overall, putting them three games ahead of the Astros for the AL West lead. The Mariners have dropped three straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Orioles. So far, they have been really good against other AL West teams, going 17-5.
At home, the Mariners are 28-15 this year, but they have dropped three straight at home. On the road, Seattle is 19-25 this season. As the favorite, the Mariners are 30-21 and 17-19 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Mariners are 13-12-2 but have dropped four straight series.
Seattle has been a .500 team overall on the run line this season, but they have been a slightly better bet at home, going 21-22. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 19-17, and have been a poor bet as the favorite, going 21-30. They have been outscored by an average of 0.6 runs per game on the road, while they have outscored opponents by an average of 0.7 runs per game at home.
The Mariners are at home against the Orioles today, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. Seattle’s games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-47. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 7 runs, their record is 7-12-4. The majority of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs, with 67.8% of their games having lines set above that number.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Orioles. Gilbert has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with an ERA of 2.72. So far, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he finished with a no-decision. In that start vs. the Twins, Gilbert went six innings and gave up two earned runs on four hits. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts without giving up a run. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is .88, and opponents are batting .190 off him this year.
Julio Rodriguez has been a bright spot in the Mariners lineup this season, as he is batting .244 with seven home runs, which is 5th in the league. Cal Raleigh has also been a good power source for the Mariners, as his 14 homers is the best mark on the team and 13th in the MLB, but he is batting just .200 for the season. Mitch Garver is also struggling in terms of batting average, as he is hitting just .172.
Seattle’s offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game this season, and they are also the worst team in the league in terms of striking out. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .217, which is the worst mark in the league. They also have the worst on-base percentage in the league and are near the bottom of the league in slugging and OPS.
Our predicted score for this one is a 5-4 win for the Orioles, which has them winning straight up and would give you a payout of +103. We actually have the Mariners’ money line at -122, so there is some good value on the Orioles.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Dean Kremer is actually projected to go for more innings than Logan Gilbert, and we have him finishing with more strikeouts as well. Gilbert is projected to finish with five K’s, and Kremer is at six.
Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- We like the Orioles on the moneyline (+103)
- The Orioles are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Garver | Questionable | Wrist |
| Gabe Speier | Out | Shoulder |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Woo | Out | Hamstring |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Ryan Mountcastle | Questionable | Illness |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
