Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Preview
Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Braves and Mariners is set for 3:40 PM from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. Atlanta comes in with a record of 19-9 and will send Chris Sale to the mound vs. an Emerson Hancock and the Mariners.
As for the money line odds, the Braves are the favorite at -177, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. Looking at the forecast, it appears that it will be a nice day for baseball in Seattle.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Atlanta Braves odds
Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Braves have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Mariners have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- The Braves have a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
- As the underdog, the Mariners have gone 7-3 vs. the runline and 8-2 straight-up.
Seattle picked up a 3-2 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a two-run 3rd inning and scored the game’s final run in the 8th. As for the Braves, they scored their only two runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at +111 on the money line.
Luis Castillo started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. Reynaldo Lopez got the start for the Braves and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.
Jorge Polanco was the Mariners’ top hitter, going 1/4 with a home run and two RBIs. Ozzie Albies had two hits and an RBI for the Braves.
Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Atlanta is on the road today vs. the Mariners, and they have dropped the first two games of this series. The Braves are still 1st in the NL East, holding a half-game lead over the Phillies. So far, they have gone 8-4 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Braves have been tough to beat, going 11-4 this year. On the road, they are 8-5, and their overall record is 19-9. Atlanta’s two-game losing streak came after winning three straight, spanning between their series vs. the Guardians and the first game of this series vs. the Mariners.
Atlanta has been a solid bet against the run line this season, posting a 13-15 record. They have been especially good on the road, going 7-6 against the run line. Their average run margin on the season is +1.6, and they have been covering the run line in wins by an average of +3.7 runs per game. They have also been a good bet as the favorite, going 13-15 against the run line in those games.
The Braves have gone under the total in eight straight games, and their games have averaged just five runs per game over that span. Their over/under record for the season is 11-15, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is 7.5 runs, and the Braves’ games have averaged nine runs per game this season. Their games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs in 25 games this season, and their games have gone under the total in 10.7% of their games this season.
Chris Sale is on the mound for the Braves today, as they are taking on the Mariners. This will be Sale’s first road start of the season, and he has been solid in his first three outings. He has picked up wins in each of his first two starts, and in his last outing, he went 7 innings, giving up 3 runs on 5 hits and 1 home run.
The Braves come into today’s game as the top-scoring team in the league at 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .269, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and they also have the top team BABIP in the league. Overall, they are near the top of the league in most offensive categories.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his nine home runs are the 2nd best mark in the league. He is also batting .327 and is the league leader in RBIs. Ozuna has also been hot of late, going 4/12 with three runs scored and two RBIs in his last four games. Michael Harris II has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/31 in his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .304 with three homers.
Seattle is hosting the Braves today with an overall record of 17-13, which has them leading the AL West by one game over the Rangers. The Mariners head into today’s game having won two straight, and this came after dropping the first game of their series vs. the Diamondbacks.
The Mariners have been really good at home this year, coming in with an 11-7 record, and they are an even 6-6 on the road. So far, they have been good as the underdog at home, going 4-1, and they are 6-6 when favored. Seattle’s overall series record is 4-4-1 this year, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight on the road.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet this season, going 15-15 overall. They are 9-9 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game. The Mariners have covered the run line in their last two home games and are 7-5 against the run line as an underdog this season.
Seattle’s over/under record for the season is 7-21, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-6. Their games have averaged 6.9 runs per game, and their last eight games have gone under the total. So far this season, 46.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Emerson Hancock is getting the start at home for the Mariners against the Braves. He has picked up wins in each of his first two outings, with his most recent start being a 6-inning outing vs. the Diamondbacks. Hancock has 12 strikeouts in 12 innings of work this season.
Cal Raleigh has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .192 over his last eight games, but he does have two homers during that stretch. For the season, he is batting .227 with a team-high six homers. Mitch Haniger is also near the top of the team in homers, but he is hitting just .228 for the season. Haniger’s 18 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts. Overall, they are batting .217 and have an on-base percentage of just .296. As a team, they have the 9th most homers in the league.
At +146, the Mariners are a great value pick to win this one straight up. We have them taking this game 6-5 and would also recommend taking the over, as our predicted 11 combined runs gives you a little wiggle room with the line sitting at 7.5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Chris Sale finishing with more strikeouts than Emerson Hancock, but Sale’s chances of picking up a win are lower. If you’re looking for a home run pick, the Braves are projected to finish with more home runs than the Mariners.
Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- We like the Mariners on the moneyline (+146)
- The Mariners are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | Out | Oblique |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Eduard Bazardo | Out | Shoulder |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Woo | Out | Elbow |
| Dominic Canzone | Out | Shoulder |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Murphy | Out | Oblique |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
