Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Preview
At 9:40 PM from T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an interleague matchup between the Braves and Mariners. Atlanta comes in with a record of 19-7, while the Mariners are 15-13. The money line odds have the Braves as the favorite at -152, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Max Fried is starting for the Braves, and he is facing off against Bryce Miller for the Mariners. You can catch this one on TV on RSNW.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Atlanta Braves odds
Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- 4-1 is the record of Braves in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Mariners have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games, the Braves have a 8-2 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Mariners have gone 7-3 vs. the runline and 8-2 straight-up.
Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Guardians, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing one run to the Guardians in the top of the first, the Braves responded with three runs of their own. Atlanta went on to add another run in the 5th inning but didn’t score again after that.
A.J. Minter picked up the save for the Braves, and Bryce Elder got the start, going 5 1/3 innings, and allowed two runs on four hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss.
Atlanta is on the road today to take on the Mariners with an overall record of 19-7, which has them leading the NL East by 1.5 games over the Phillies. The Braves just took the series from the Guardians and have an 8-4 record in the division this year.
The Braves have really been playing well at home, going 11-4 this season. So far, they have been great on the road too, putting together an 8-3 record. As the favorite, the Braves have gone a perfect 19-7 this year, and they have won four straight road games.
When the Braves are on the road, they have a run line record of 7-4, covering by an average of 1.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 13-13, with an average run margin of 1.8 runs per game. They are 13-13 as the favorite and have an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game in their wins.
Atlanta has seen the under hit in six straight games, and their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season. Their over/under record on the year is 11-13, and the average line for their games has been set at 9 runs. The Braves’ games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs in 25 of their 26 games this season, and the over/under record in those games is 0-0.
Max Fried is on the mound for the Braves today, as they take on the Mariners. Fried has been solid in his first three starts, going 1-0 with a complete game shutout in his last outing. He started the season with a no-decision against the Astros, and then picked up a win vs. the Marlins.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ best hitter this season, leading the team with a .340 batting average and 31 RBIs. Ozuna’s nine home runs are also the 2nd most in the league. Michael Harris II is 3rd on the team with a batting average of .315 and has three homers. Catcher Travis d’Arnaud has also been a key run producer for the Braves, as his 16 RBIs is the 2nd best mark on the team.
Atlanta comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 6.5 runs per contest. As a team, the Braves are batting .277, which is the best mark in the league. They also lead the league in OPS and are 2nd in on-base percentage and slugging.
Seattle is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 3-2 loss to Arizona, Logan Gilbert was excellent on the mound, allowing just two runs while pitching into the 7th inning. They also got a big offensive performance from Josh Rojas, going 1/3 with a homer.
Trent Thornton took the loss out of the bullpen for the Mariners, as Seattle allowed a run in the top of the 9th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Mariners were favored at -137 at home.
Seattle’s overall record is 15-13 heading into today’s game vs. the Braves, and they lead the AL West by a half-game over the Rangers. The Mariners are coming off dropping the final game of their series vs. the Diamondbacks, and they have an overall series record of 4-4-1 this year.
At home, the Mariners are 9-7 this year and an even 6-6 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle has gone 11-7 this year and 4-6 as the underdog. The Mariners have won four straight series, and they have won two straight series on the road.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet this season, going 13-15 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, going 6-6, compared to 7-9 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 5-5, compared to 8-10 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it is -3.2 in losses.
The Seattle Mariners have been on an under streak, with their last six games all finishing under the total. Their combined run average for the season is 7.1, and their over/under record is 7-19. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-6. The over/under line for today’s game against the Atlanta Braves is set at 7.5 runs.
Bryce Miller and the Mariners are at home for today’s game against the Braves. Miller has been solid in each of his first three starts, as he has a win and a loss. He has yet to allow more than 2 earned runs in a start and has 16 strikeouts in 17 1/3 innings of work.
Seattle’s offense is averaging just 3.7 runs per game this season, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.2 runs per contest. Overall, the Mariners are batting just .219, and they have the league’s worst strikeout rate. However, they do come into the game as one of the league’s top home run hitting teams.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ best power threat this season, as his six homers are 5th in the league. However, he has struggled of late, going just 4/25 in his last seven games. Julio Rodriguez has been swinging the bat well of late, going 10/31 in his last eight games. Mitch Haniger is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 18 runs batted in are 10th in the majors.
Our pick for this Braves vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +127. We actually have the Mariners winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bryce Miller finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing with the seventh-fewest among today’s starters. As for Max Fried, his strikeout projection is at five, which is the sixth-lowest.
Offensively, we have the Mariners finishing with nine hits, while the Braves are projected to finish with eight. However, the Mariners are actually projected to finish with more home runs than the Braves.
Another reason we like the Mariners to pick up the win is that we have them finishing with more runs than the Braves.
Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- Take the Braves on the moneyline
- The Mariners are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | Out | Oblique |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Eduard Bazardo | Out | Shoulder |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Woo | Out | Elbow |
| Dominic Canzone | Out | Shoulder |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Murphy | Out | Oblique |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
