San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
At 3:05 PM ET, the Cardinals and Giants square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Oracle Park in San Francisco, and the Giants are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -122. The money line odds for the Cardinals are at +104. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
BSMW will be televising this game, and Michael McGreevy will go for the Cardinals, while the Giants are sending Hayden Birdsong to the mound. In the NL Central, the Cardinals are 3rd with a record of 82-79, while the Giants are 4th in the NL West at 80-81.
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San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- The Cardinals are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Giants have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Giants have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- The Cardinals have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
San Francisco picked up a 6-5 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Cardinals could only muster three runs in the 7th and 8th innings. As for the Giants, they scored the game’s first two runs in the 1st and added their final two runs in the 6th.
Tristan Beck got the start for the Giants, going just four innings while giving up one run and striking out three. Ryan Walker got the win out of the bullpen, and Spencer Bivens got the save. Matthew Liberatore had a rough outing for the Cardinals, taking the loss.
At the plate, the Giants were led by Matt Chapman and Patrick Bailey, as they were the only two Giants hitters to have more than one hit. Chapman. On the other end, Paul Goldschmidt went 3/4 with two RBIs for the Cardinals.
San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
With an overall record of 82-79, the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 11 games. St. Louis is 26-26 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cardinals will also be looking to pick up a win on the road, where they are 38-42 this season.
St. Louis has been the favorite in 78 of their games this year, and they have gone 40-38 in those games. As for their time as the underdog, the Cardinals are 42-41. They have also done well in their recent series, going 27-20-5 and winning three straight series.
St. Louis has been a profitable run line team overall this season at 82-79, but they have been especially good on the road, going 42-38. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 55-28 on the run line as an underdog. Their average run differential is -0.3 runs per game.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road today against the San Francisco Giants with an over/under line of 8 runs. The Cardinals have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season and have an over/under record of 75-82. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 11-18-1. Overall, 53.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and they are currently on a three-game over streak.
Michael McGreevy will be making his third start of the season for the Cardinals, and he will be on the road against the Giants. In his first start, he went 5 innings and gave up 3 runs on 4 hits and struck out 5. He picked up the win in his second outing, which was a 3-inning outing out of the bullpen.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB. This is a team that has been pretty consistent, as they are averaging 4.1 runs per game on the road and 4.2 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 9th in the league, and are 17th in team walks. St. Louis has been below average in terms of home runs and have a collective OPS of just .702.
Paul Goldschmidt and Alec Burleson have been the Cardinals’ top power threats this season, with Goldschmidt leading the team with 22 homers and Burleson right behind him at 21. Burleson also leads the team with 75 RBIs, while Brendan Donovan is 2nd on the team with 71 RBIs and has a batting average of .276. Over his last five games, Iván Herrera is hitting .471 with two homers and four RBIs.
With an overall record of 80-81, the Giants are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 17 games. So far this season, they have gone 26-26 in divisional games. The Giants are looking to get back to .500 today, as they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Giants are 42-38 this season compared to 38-43 on the road. As the favorite, San Francisco has gone 47-33 and 33-48 as the underdog. The Giants have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 25-22-4 this year.
San Francisco has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 81-80 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, going 47-34 compared to 34-46 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 48-33 compared to 33-47 as the favorite. Their average run margin for the season is exactly 0.0 runs per game.
San Francisco is 83-71 O/U this season and has an 8.6 combined run average. The over has hit in four straight games, and their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Giants are 13-17-4 O/U.
Giants starter Hayden Birdsong has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 5-5. His ERA for the season is 4.66, along with a WHIP of 1.37. Birdsong’s last outing came on September 23rd against the Diamondbacks, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went five innings and gave up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Birdsong has only made one quality start this season and is averaging 10.24 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging 5.32 walks per nine innings.
San Francisco’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 17th in scoring at 4.3 runs per game. They are also just 14th in team batting average and have the league’s 21st ranked strikeout rate. The Giants do have a couple of hitters with strong home run numbers, as Matt Chapman leads the team with 27 homers, and Heliot Ramos is right behind him with 22.
Over his last eight games, Ramos has gone 11/35, which comes out to a batting average of .314. He also has one home run and five RBIs during that stretch. Chapman has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 7/27 with three homers in his last seven games. Michael Conforto comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak.
Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Giants, and with their money line sitting at -122, they are our recommended pick for this matchup.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Hayden Birdsong finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him ranked 16th among starters today. As for Michael McGreevy, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, which would have him at seventh. However, we have McGreevy finishing with the most earned runs allowed among all starters.
Giants vs Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Giants on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Hamstring |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Jordan Hicks | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Harrison | Out | Shoulder |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | Out | Forearm |
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| JoJo Romero | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
