San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview
First pitch for Monday’s matchup between the Phillies and Giants is set for 5:05 PM ET from Oracle Park in San Francisco. The Phillies are 38-16 this season and they are 1st in the NL East, while the Giants are 27-27 and are 2nd in the NL West.
Philadelphia is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. NSPPH will be televising this matchup, and Taijuan Walker is starting for the Phillies, while the Giants are going with Blake Snell.
Check out BetCoco for San Francisco Giants – Philadelphia Phillies odds
San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Phillies have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- On the other side, the Giants have gone 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
- The Phillies are 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite and 6-4 as the underdog.
- 6-4 is the record of the Giants as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 6-4.
San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as it was Ranger Suárez taking the loss, and the Phillies were the heavy favorite at -213 on the money line. Suárez didn’t pitch all that bad, giving up just three hits and one earned run in six innings of work, but the Phillies offense scored only two runs and wasted several good performances.
Brandon Marsh was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a run scored. However, the Phillies really could have used a big game from him, as they only scored two runs. Both of their runs came in the 4th inning. The Phillies also wasted a good game from leadoff hitter Odubel Herrera, who went 3/5 with a double.
Philadelphia heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Giants with a record of 38-16, which has them leading the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies dropped two of three in their series vs. the Rockies, and they are 11-5 in division play this year.
At home, the Phillies have gone 22-8 this year, and they are 16-8 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 25-8. So far, they have really taken care of business as the favorite, putting up a mark of 33-13. As for their record as the underdog, they are 5-3 this year. The Phillies’ overall series record is 11-3-4 coming into today’s game.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, going 30-24 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 14-10 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +1.5 runs per game, while their overall run differential is +1.7 runs per game. The Phillies have been a solid run line bet as the favorite, going 25-21. They have also been profitable as the underdog, going 5-3.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the San Francisco Giants today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.0 runs per game. The Phillies have played 51 games this season, and 26 of them have gone over the total. When their over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has gone 4-7. So far this season, only 14.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Taijuan Walker and the Phillies are on the road to take on the Giants. Walker has been solid in his first 3 starts, picking up a win in his most recent outing against the Marlins. He has 18 strikeouts in 16 innings of work and has yet to allow a home run.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top team in terms of on-base percentage and are also near the top of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. The Phillies have been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams this season.
Over his last nine games, Bryce Harper has gone 10/33 with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .276 with a team-high 13 homers. Alec Bohm is hitting .315 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 47 RBIs. J.T. Realmuto is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is on a nine-game hitting streak and has gone 10/30 in his last seven games.
The Giants will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Mets scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. San Francisco was the -114 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Logan Webb was excellent for the Giants, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out eight Mets batters. However, the Giants couldn’t close things out, and Tyler Rogers took the loss out of the bullpen. The Giants also wasted a big game from Brett Wisely, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/3.
San Francisco is at home today, hosting the Phillies with an overall record of 27-27. The Giants are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, and they are 2nd in the division. So far, they have gone 12-11 in divisional matchups.
The Giants have won four straight games at home, and they are 15-10 at home this year. They closed out their series vs. the Mets with two straight wins and are 8-2 across their last 10 games. As the underdog, the Giants have won five straight, and they are 3-3 as the home underdog this year.
When the Giants win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, with an average run differential of +3.5 runs per game. That’s a stark contrast to their average run differential in losses, which is -4.2 runs per game. San Francisco has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 27-27 overall, including a 16-13 mark on the road. They’ve been especially good against the run line as the underdog, going 16-9 in those situations.
San Francisco is 8-6 in games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season. The Giants have played in just four games with a higher over/under line than 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season. Overall, San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 28 of 52 games this season.
Blake Snell will be making his third start of the season, and it will be his first at home. He has taken the loss in each of his first two outings, with his most recent start coming against the Pirates, where he went 3 1/3 innings and gave up 4 runs on 4 hits. In his first start of the year, he went 4 innings and gave up 5 runs on 7 hits to the Diamondbacks.
Over the past nine games, Matt Chapman has been on fire for the Giants, going 14/34 with three homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into the top spot on the team’s home run leaderboard, and he is now 2nd on the team in RBIs. Overall, Chapman is batting just .240 for the season. Thairo Estrada has also gone deep eight times this season, and his 30 RBIs are 1st on the team and 15th in the league.
As a team, the Giants are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. San Francisco comes into the game with the league’s 7th best team batting average at .249.
Our predictions for this Giants vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Giants on the money line at -106. At this payout, we have the Giants winning and see there being some value in taking them to win outright.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Blake Snell finishing with six strikeouts compared to Taijuan Walker with five. Snell is also projected to finish with fewer hits allowed than Walker.
San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips
- Take the Giants on the moneyline
- The Giants are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
| Nick Ahmed | Out | Wrist |
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Michael Conforto | Out | Hamstring |
| Austin Slater | Out | Head |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | Probable | Hamstring |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
| Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Forearm |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
