San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Preview
Wednesday’s forecast in San Diego calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the high 60s. The Nationals and Padres are facing off at PETCO Park, and the game is set to get started at 4:10 PM ET.
Washington is 38-41 and on a two-game losing streak, and they are 4th in the NL East. The Padres have won two straight and are 2nd in the NL West with an overall record of 43-41. DJ Herz is starting for the Nationals, and the Padres are favored on the money line at -191 compared to the Nationals at +160. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Washington Nationals odds
San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- The Nationals are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Padres have gone 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Padres have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 3-7 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Nationals have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
San Diego picked up a 9-7 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Nationals got on the board with four runs in the 3rd and added their final three runs in the 5th.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado each homered for the Padres, while Donovan Solano went 2/4 with two RBIs. Adam Mazur got the win out of the bullpen, and Robert Suarez got the save. MacKenzie Gore had a rough outing for the Nationals, taking the loss.
At the plate, Jesse Winker hit a home run for the Nationals, going 1/4 with two RBIs. CJ Abrams had a three-hit game and scored a run for Washington.
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Washington is on the road today for the final game of their series vs. the Padres, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 38-41 overall. In the NL East, they trail the Phillies by 14 games, and they are in 4th place in the division. So far, they have gone 14-10 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Nationals have gone 17-19 this year, and they are one game above .500 at 21-22 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 30-34 this season, and they are 8-7 when favored. The Nationals’ overall series record is 11-13-1, and they have won two straight series on the road.
Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 47-32, including a 27-16 mark on the road. The Nationals have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 40-24 against the run line in those games. In their wins, they have won by an average of 3.3 runs, while in their losses, they have lost by an average of 3.4 runs.
The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Nationals have a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-40. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-7. Overall, 75.9% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.
DJ Herz and the Nationals are on the road to take on the Padres today. Herz has started 2 games this season, and he’s coming off a win in his last outing, where he struck out 13 Marlins over 6 innings. In his first start of the season, he went 3 2/3 innings and gave up 4 runs on 7 hits.
One of the few bright spots for the Nationals offense this season has been the play of CJ Abrams, who is hitting .283 for the season and has gone 15/29 in his last seven games. Abrams is also 1st on the team with 12 homers and 40 RBIs. Jesse Winker has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/23 in his last eight games with three homers.
As a team, the Nationals are just 19th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They are also just 21st in home runs and have a collective batting average of .237. So far, they have been good at avoiding strikeouts, but they are just 19th in walks. Overall, they are just 15th in batting average.
San Diego is 43-41 overall and trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games in the NL West. The Padres have won two straight games, and their record in the NL West is 14-15 this season. So far, they have been good at home, going 23-22 and 20-19 on the road.
As the favorite, the Padres are 27-24 this year and 16-17 as the underdog. At home, they have won two straight games, and they are 14-10-3 in series this year. Over the last 10 games, the Padres are 6-4.
San Diego is 43-41 against the run line this season, but they have been much better on the road, going 27-12. At home, they are just 16-29. They have an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game this season, but that number drops to -0.3 runs per game at home.
The Padres have been a strong over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. They have gone over the total in 44 of their 83 games this season, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 14 of 27 games, and their current over streak is at 6 games.
Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers, as he finished with a no-decision in that start. Against the Brewers, Cease gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Cease has finished with a no-decision, a loss, and a win. Cease’s ERA for the season is 4.14, along with a record of 6-6. Opponents have hit .213 this season off Cease, and his WHIP is currently 1.11. For the year, Cease has made eight quality starts and is averaging 11.43 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over the Padres’ last 10 games, Manny Machado has been red hot, going 14/38 with two homers and eight RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has also been swinging the bat well, hitting .306 in this stretch with three homers. Cronenworth comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak. Jurickson Profar has also been swinging the bat well of late, as he is on a nine-game hitting streak and is 3rd on the team with 11 homers.
As a team, the Padres are 2nd in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 10th ranked offense. Currently, they have three hitters with at least 10 homers, led by Fernando Tatis Jr., who is 11th in the league with 14 homers.
Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Padres, which means that there is not a lot of value in taking them on the money line at -191. Instead, we are recommending that you take the over at 7.5 runs. You can get the over at -116, and we have the teams combining for nine runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dylan Cease finishing with six strikeouts compared to DJ Herz with five. Cease is also projected to go longer in this one, and if you’re looking for a pick on the money line, he has the ninth best chances of picking up a win compared to Herz at seventh.
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips
- Take the Padres on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | Out | Shoulder |
| Yu Darvish | Out | Groin |
| Joe Musgrove | Out | Elbow |
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Out | Tricep |
| Luis Campusano | Out | Thumb |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Hamstring |
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
