San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Preview
Joe Musgrove and the Padres will host the Giants today at 4:10 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego, and they are the heavy favorites on the money line (-201). The Giants have a record of 70-73 and are starting Spencer Bivens.
San Francisco is 4th in the NL West, while the Padres are 2nd in the division. NBCS will be televising this one, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
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San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- The Giants are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Padres have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Padres have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Giants have a 2-8 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
San Francisco picked up a 6-3 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Giants offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Padres got on the board with two runs in the 5th and added their final run in the 6th.
Logan Webb started for the Giants and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and issued two walks. As for the Padres, Dylan Cease got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work.
At the plate, the Giants were led by Grant McCray, who homered twice and went 2/4 with five RBIs. San Francisco’s 3-4-5 hitters – Buster Posey, Brandon Belt, and Evan Longoria – each had two hits and scored a run.
San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco is 70-73 overall and 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants are 4th in the division and have gone 23-22 in divisional matchups this year. The Giants will be on the road today vs. the Padres, and they are 30-41 on the road this year.
As the favorite, the Giants have gone 44-32 and 26-41 as the underdog. They have dropped four straight series and are 21-20-3 in series overall. San Francisco is just 3-7 over their last ten games and are currently tied with the Diamondbacks in the NL West.
San Francisco has been a solid run-line bet this season, going 70-73 overall. The Giants have been especially good on the road, going 39-32 against the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 39-28 against the run line, compared to 31-45 as a favorite. The Giants have an average run margin of -0.2 runs per game this season.
The San Francisco Giants are on the road to face the San Diego Padres, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Giants games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 72-65. The average over/under line for Giants games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 12-16-4. So far this season, 28.7% of Giants games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, with 49.0% of their games having lower lines.
Right-hander Spencer Bivens gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Padres on the road. Bivens has made 19 appearances this season and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 2.86. Out of his 19 appearances, Bivens has made one start, and he finished with a no-decision in that outing. In that start, he went four innings and gave up two earned runs. Looking back at his last three outings, Bivens has finished with a no-decision in each one. Opponents are batting .230 off Bivens this season, and his WHIP is currently 1.12.
San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the majors. They have been equally as good at home and on the road this season. As a team, the Giants are batting .239, which is 15th in the league, and they are also 17th in home runs. Currently, they are 16th in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging.
Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the Giants’ top power threats this season, with Chapman leading the team with 22 homers and Ramos right behind him with 20. Chapman also leads the team with 69 RBIs. Chapman and Ramos are both on three-game hitting streaks. Over his last four games, Grant McCray has gone 5/12 with two homers and five RBIs.
With an overall record of 81-63, the Padres are five games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. San Diego is 21-21 in divisional games this season. The Padres are currently at home, where they are 40-34 this season.
The Padres have been good on the road, putting together a record of 41-29. San Diego has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 28-14-4 this year. They are also 33-26 as the home favorite and 52-39 overall as the favorite. The Padres have gone 5-5 across their last ten games and are currently tied with the Giants in their series.
When the Padres win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, which has helped them to a 73-71 run line record. That includes a 29-45 mark at home, where they’ve been outscored by 0.1 runs per game. They have been a much better bet on the road, going 44-26 against the run line, with an average scoring margin of 1.1 runs per game.
When the Padres are at home, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 77-65. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 12-14-1. Overall, 40.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 41.0% have been set lower.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today and is coming off a great outing vs. the Tigers. In that September 2nd start, he went 6 innings, didn’t give up a run, and got the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has made 15 starts, and his record for the season is 5-4. The right-hander’s ERA is 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.23. Opposing batters are hitting .254 off Musgrove this season. Musgrove has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging just 2.45 walks per nine innings.
San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 1st in batting average and have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. The Padres have been swinging the bats well of late, with Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill each having three homers in their last nine games, and Manny Machado has gone 12/38 in that stretch with three homers of his own.
Machado is not only the Padres’ top home run hitter this season, but his 90 RBIs are also the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. Jackson Merrill and Jurickson Profar are tied for 2nd on the team with 82 RBIs, and both come into the game with three-game hitting streaks. Luis Arraez has the 2nd best batting average on the team at .313 and is also 2nd on the team with 42 RBIs.
Our prediction for this Giants vs. Padres matchup is to take the Giants on the money line at +166. We have the Giants winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you are looking for a parlay, you could also take a look at the over/under line, which is sitting at 8 runs. However, we are recommending sticking with the Giants to pick up the win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove is projected to finish with seven strikeouts compared to Spencer Bivens with five. However, we have Musgrove finishing with an ERA in the middle of the pack compared to Bivens, who is projected to have the third-best ERA among starters today.
San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- We like the Giants on the moneyline (+166)
- The Giants are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Jackson Merrill | Probable | Knee |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Hamstring |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Jordan Hicks | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Harrison | Out | Shoulder |
| Randy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
