San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Preview
From PETCO Park in San Diego, we have the Giants and Padres facing off in an NL West matchup. The Giants are 69-73 this season, putting them 4th in the division, while the Padres are 81-62 and are 2nd in the NL West.
First pitch for this one is set for 8:40 PM ET, and NBCS has the TV rights for this matchup. Saturday’s money line odds have the Padres at -152, while the Giants are the slight underdog at +129. The over/under line is currently 7 runs, and Logan Webb is starting for the Giants, while the Padres are going with Dylan Cease.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – San Francisco Giants odds
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- The Giants are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- Conversely, the Padres have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Padres have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 3-7 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Giants have a straight-up record of 1-9 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
San Diego cruised to an easy 5-1 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Giants, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -213 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Michael King for the Padres and Mason Black for the Giants. King went six innings and gave up just one run, earning a win in the game. On the other side, Black was tagged for four runs in 4 2/3 innings of work.
At the plate, Manny Machado was the difference for the Padres, as he homered twice and went 3/4 with three RBIs. Fernando Tatis Jr. also had a two-hit game and scored two runs. As for the Giants, Michael Conforto hit a home run, going 1/4.
San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco is 69-73 overall, and they are 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 22-22 in divisional games. The Giants lost the series opener vs. the Padres and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Giants have gone 40-32 this year, but they are just 29-41 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 17-30 this year and 44-32 when favored. San Francisco’s overall series record is 21-20-3, and they have dropped four straight series.
San Francisco has been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 69-73. They have been especially good on the road, going 38-32. Their average run margin on the road is -0.5, but they have covered the run line in three straight road games.
The San Francisco Giants are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.7 runs per game. The Giants have hit the over in 71 of their 136 games this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. The under has hit in their last two games.
San Francisco is sending right-hander Logan Webb to the mound today as he faces the Padres on the road. Webb has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 11-9 with a 3.43 ERA. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had turned in three straight solid outings, not giving up more than two earned runs in any of them. Webb has one complete game shutout this year and 18 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.55 strikeouts and just 2.16 walks.
For the season, the Giants are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They are also 20th in home runs and have a team batting average of just .239. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters in Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos. Chapman has gone deep 22 times, while Ramos has 20 homers. Chapman also leads the team with 69 RBIs.
Over his last five games, Mike Yastrzemski has gone just 4/17 with two homers. Tyler Fitzgerald has been swinging the bat well of late, going 7/19 in his last five games. Jerar Encarnacion is currently on a four-game hitting streak for the Giants.
San Diego is 81-62 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the NL West. Currently, they are four games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres are 21-20 in divisional games this season. The Padres took the first game of their series vs. the Giants and have an overall series record of 28-14-4 this year, which includes having won two straight series.
At home, the Padres are 40-33 this season compared to a 41-29 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 52-38 this season, and they are 29-24 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Padres have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
San Diego has played to a run line record of 73-70 this season, with a +0.5 run differential per game. They have been a better run line bet on the road, where they are 44-26 compared to 29-44 at home. The Padres have been a run line underdog in 53 games and have covered in 36 of them. Their average run differential in wins is +3.6, while it is -3.5 in losses.
San Diego Padres games have gone over the over/under line of 7 runs in 91.6% of their games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record this season is 76-65, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game. Their games have gone over the 7-run line in 9 of the 12 games where the line was set at 7 runs, and their games have gone under the line in their last two games.
San Diego is sending right-hander Dylan Cease to the mound today vs. the Giants. Cease has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-10 with a 3.62 ERA. So far, he has pitched much better at home, coming in with a 3.25 ERA compared to 4.82 on the road. Cease has one complete game shutout this season and 14 quality starts. In his last outing, Cease finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, going unbeaten in three straight outings.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, batting a collective .264. They also have the top on-base percentage in the league and are the top team in the league in terms of fewest strikeouts. The Padres are also among the league leaders in home runs and have the 8th best scoring offense in the MLB at 4.8 runs per game.
Over the Padres’ last 10 games, Manny Machado has four homers and 12 RBIs while batting .302. For the season, he is batting .274 with a team-high 25 homers and 89 RBIs. Luis Arraez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 16/38 in his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .310 and has gone deep four times.
Our pick for today’s Giants vs. Padres matchup is to take the Giants on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +129. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Giants, giving us some good value with them on the money line.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Dylan Cease finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Logan Webb with five. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Giants on the money line with Cease’s strikeout total.
San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- We like the Giants on the moneyline (+129)
- The Giants are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Jackson Merrill | Questionable | Knee |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Hamstring |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Jordan Hicks | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Harrison | Out | Shoulder |
| Randy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
