San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Preview
First pitch for Sunday’s matchup between the Mets and Padres is set for 4:10 PM ET. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are favored on the money line (-119). The Mets have a record of 68-62, while the Padres are 73-58 overall. This puts both teams in 3rd place in their respective divisions.
Jose Quintana will go for the Mets, while the Padres are starting Martin Perez. The money line odds have the Padres at -119 compared to the Mets at +100. Sunday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and WPIX is carrying this one on TV.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – New York Mets odds
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- The Mets are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Padres have gone 2-3 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Padres are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 5-5 vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Mets’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 4-6 vs. the runline.
It was all Mets in the last game of this series, as New York took down the Padres by a score of 7-1. The Mets offense only had five hits but took advantage of three Padres errors and drew 11 walks. Heading into the game, they were at +121 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between David Peterson for the Mets and Michael King for the Padres. Peterson went just 7 1/3 innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. On the other side, King was tagged for seven runs in five innings of work.
New York’s two homers came from Francisco Lindor and Harrison Bader. Lindor, Bader, and Kyle Higashioka each had two hits for the Mets’ offense.
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets are 68-62 overall this season, putting them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 7.5 games for the division lead. New York is 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets are winning the series vs. the Padres and have an overall series record of 21-16-7 this year.
At home, the Mets are 35-33 this year, and they have gone 33-29 on the road. So far, the Mets have been good as the favorite, going 43-35. As the underdog, they are 25-27 this year. New York’s overall record has been helped by going 6-4 over their last 10 games.
The Mets have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 61-69 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 33-29 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 30-22 against the run line, compared to 31-47 as the favorite. They have an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game this season.
When the New York Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. The Mets have hit the over in 24 of 40 games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs this season, and overall, their over/under record is 66-60.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.57. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Orioles. Looking back over his last four starts, Quintana has taken the loss in three of them. His ERA for the season at home is 4.79, compared to 5.99 on the road.
Francisco Lindor has been on a tear of late, going 13/37 in his last nine games with four homers and nine RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .269 and leads the Mets with 27 homers and 78 RBIs. Pete Alonso also has 27 homers for the Mets but is batting just .245.
As a team, the Mets are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in batting average and have the 7th best on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the league.
San Diego will be hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 73-58, and they are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. Currently, they are in 3rd place in the division and have a record of 20-20 in divisional games this year.
So far, the Padres have gone 36-32 at home compared to 37-26 on the road. This season, they have been the favorite in 82 games, where they are 46-36, and they are 27-22 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, they have an overall series record of 26-14-3.
San Diego is hoping to bounce back today, as they lost two of the first three games of this series vs. the Mets. Over the last 10 games, the Padres are 5-5.
When betting the run line, the Padres have been a better play on the road this season, going 41-22 compared to 27-41 at home. They have a positive run differential on the road, averaging 1.2 more runs per game than their opponents, while they are averaging 0.5 more runs per game overall. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 34-15 on the run line, compared to 34-48 as the favorite.
San Diego has seen a lot of high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is 71-59, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 18 times and under 14 times. Overall, 24 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 18.3% of their games.
Left-hander Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 4.67 ERA. Perez’s WHIP for the season is 1.50, and opponents are batting .286 off him this year. In his 20 appearances, Perez has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Perez finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
So far this season, the Padres have been the league’s top offense in terms of batting average, and they are also near the top of the league in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road at 5 runs per contest. San Diego’s offense has been especially good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are the top team in the league in this category.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 20 apiece. Profar is also the team’s top hitter in terms of RBIs, with 77, and his batting average of .289 is the 5th best mark in the Padres lineup. Machado has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/29 in his last eight games with two homers.
There are a few ways you could look to play this game, but we are going to stick with a straight up pick and take the Padres to get the win. We see this game finishing with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Padres.
If you are looking to bet on the money line, you can get the Padres at -119. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Martin Perez finishing with five strikeouts compared to Jose Quintana with just three.
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- Take the Padres on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mets (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | Out | Groin |
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Out | Tricep |
| Wandy Peralta | Out | Groin |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Paul Blackburn | Questionable | Hand |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
