San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Preview
Joe Musgrove and the Padres will host the Mets tonight at 9:40 ET, and they are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -140 compared to the Mets at +119. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on SNY.
New York will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, and they are 67-61 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Mets are starting Paul Blackburn.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – New York Mets odds
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mets have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Padres have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- The Padres have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- The Mets have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
New York picked up an 8-3 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 9th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +134 on the money line.
Both teams finished with 17 hits in the game, but the Mets had five more extra-base hits. New York’s offense was led by Pete Alonso, Jeff McNeil, and Mark Vientos, as they were the only three Mets hitters to have more than two hits and each had at least three RBIs.
Luis Severino only went five innings for the Mets but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued four walks. Dylan Cease had a rough outing for the Padres, giving up two homers and six runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets are 67-61 overall and trail the Phillies by 7.5 games in the NL East. New York is 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. They have won two straight games, and their series record is 21-16-7 this year, including two straight series wins.
At home, the Mets are 35-33 this year, and they are 32-28 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets are 24-26 this season and 43-35 as the favorite. New York won the first game of this series vs. the Padres and are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
The Mets have been a solid bet on the run line this season, posting a 60-68 record. They have been particularly profitable on the road, where they are 32-28 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 29-21 against the run line in those games.
The New York Mets have played in 91 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs this season, and the over/under record in those games is 65-59. The combined run average in those games is 9.3 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Mets’ over/under record is 13-13. The average over/under line in their games this season is set at 8 runs per game.
New York is sending right-hander Paul Blackburn to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with an ERA of 4.19. Blackburn’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Blackburn most recently pitched on August 18th vs. the Marlins, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that outing, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 27 homers are 10th in the league and Lindor is right behind him with 25. Lindor also leads the team with 73 RBIs and comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Over his last seven games, Lindor is batting .357 with two homers. Alonso has also gone deep twice in his last six games but is batting just .190 over that stretch.
Overall, the Mets are 5th in home runs this season and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250 and have the league’s 8th best on-base percentage.
San Diego will be hosting the Mets for game two of their series with the Mets today. The Padres are 72-57 overall, and they trail the Dodgers by 4.5 games in the NL West. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 20-20 in divisional matchups this year.
The Padres have dropped two straight games, and they are 35-31 at home compared to 37-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 45-35 this season and 27-22 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall record in their series is 26-14-3.
San Diego’s run line record is 67-62 on the year, but they have been much better on the road, going 41-22. At home, they are just 26-40, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last two games at Petco Park. The Padres are 34-15 against the run line as an underdog this season.
The San Diego Padres are at home today against the New York Mets, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Padres games this season is 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 70-58. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 20-21. The over has hit in four straight games for the Padres.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.97. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is 1.40. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up one earned run in 4 1/3 innings of work. Musgrove has not taken a loss in his last three outings, finishing with a no-decision in each of those starts. The right-hander has given up a homer in three straight outings.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the best strikeout rate in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are the Padres’ top power hitters this season, with each player having 20 home runs. Profar’s 77 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. Over his last nine games, David Peralta has gone 11/31 with two homers. Machado has also gone deep twice in this stretch but is batting just .233.
Our prediction for this Mets vs. Padres matchup is that the Padres will come out on top by a score of 6-5. Given that they are at home, we like the Padres to win this one straight up, and the money line is sitting at -140.
Looking at some of the projections for the starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove is expected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Paul Blackburn, who is projected to finish with four. Offensively, the Mets are projected to out home run the Padres, but the Padres are expected to strike out less than any other team in the league today.
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- Take the Padres on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mets (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | Out | Personal |
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Out | Tricep |
| Wandy Peralta | Out | Groin |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Dedniel Núñez | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
