San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Wednesday’s Dodgers vs. Padres matchup features Clayton Kershaw and Dylan Cease. First pitch from PETCO Park is set for 8:40 PM ET. The money line odds have the Dodgers at +110 compared to the Padres at -129. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Los Angeles leads the NL West by 5 games and is 63-45 overall, while the Padres are 58-51 and are 2nd in the division. SNLA will be televising this one.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Los Angeles Dodgers odds
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- The Dodgers are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Padres, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Padres have a record of 7-3 straight-up, and have gone 6-4 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Dodgers have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.
San Diego picked up a 6-5 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their first run in the 2nd and added four more in the 9th, falling just short of a comeback.
Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill each homered for the Padres, while Cavan Biggio went deep for the Dodgers. Machado, Merrill, and Will Smith each had two hits and two RBIs for their respective teams.
Matt Waldron got the win for the Padres, going just four innings and giving up five runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but allowed one home run. Alex Vesia took the loss for Los Angeles out of the bullpen.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles leads the NL West by 5.5 games over the Padres as they play game two of their series in San Diego. The Dodgers are 63-45 overall and are 21-17 in divisional matchups. So far, they have gone 34-20 at home and 29-25 on the road.
As the favorite, the Dodgers have gone 59-36 this season, and they are 4-9 as the underdog. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 19-14-1 heading into today’s game. They are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
The Dodgers have a run line record of 53-55 this season, including a 28-26 mark on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.9 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 47-48 as the favorite. In games they’ve won, their average run margin is +3.7 runs per game.
Los Angeles Dodgers games have gone over the total 56 times and under 52 times this season. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, but the line for today’s game against the San Diego Padres is set at 7.5 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs this season, the over has hit in 8 games and the under has hit in 8 games. Overall, 83.3% of Dodgers games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Clayton Kershaw will be making his second start of the season, and this time he will be on the road against the Padres. In his first start, he went 4 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 6 hits. He struck out 6 batters and walked 2.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 homers are 2nd in the league and lead the Dodgers. He also comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .311. Ohtani has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/37 in his last 10 games, with three homers and seven RBIs. Teoscar Hernandez is 2nd on the team with 22 homers and is 9th in the league in RBIs (69). Like Ohtani, he also has three homers in his last 10 games.
As a team, the Dodgers are 4th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, also averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s 3rd best home run total and are the league’s top on-base percentage team. Not only do they walk a lot, but they are also one of the hardest teams to strike out in the league.
San Diego is 58-51 overall and trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West. The Padres took the first game of the series vs. the Dodgers and have an overall division record of 16-17. San Diego’s overall series record is 19-12-3, and they have won three straight series.
At home, the Padres are 27-28 this year and 31-23 on the road. San Diego has won four straight games as the favorite, and they are 32-29 when favored this year. As the underdog, the Padres are 26-22, and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.
Despite having a negative run differential at home, the Padres have been a solid bet on the run line at Petco Park this season, going 20-35. However, they have been even better on the run line on the road, going 38-16. They have covered the run line in four straight games and are 33-15 as an underdog this season.
The Padres have been a strong over team this season, with a 58-50 over/under record and an average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 17-19, and they have gone over the total in four straight games. Overall, 58.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Dylan Cease has been pitching well for the Padres, as he has won his last three starts. In his most recent outing, Cease went nine innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Cease has one complete game shutout this year. For the season, Cease is 10-8 with a 3.50 ERA. Opponents are batting .188 off Cease this year. He has made 22 appearances and 13 of them have been quality starts. Cease’s ERA at home is 3.46, compared to 4.99 on the road.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .264. They also have the league’s top on-base percentage and are 10th in slugging. The Padres are also near the top of the league in home runs and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. Currently, they are 7th in road games at 4.9 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar has been a big power threat for the Padres this season, as his 18 homers are the best on the team and 13th in the league. He is also 10th in the league with 68 RBIs. Manny Machado is 2nd on the team with 16 homers and is 3rd in RBIs (58). Machado is also on a three-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last five games while batting .286.
We are predicting the Padres to pick up a 5-4 win over the Dodgers. If you’re looking for a bet, we would recommend taking the Padres on the money line, where they are currently at -129.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Clayton Kershaw is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which ranks 13th among starters. As for Dylan Cease, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is seventh best among starters.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Padres on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Dodgers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | Out | Personal |
| Joe Musgrove | Out | Elbow |
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Out | Tricep |
| Wandy Peralta | Out | Groin |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | Out | Personal |
| Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Miguel Rojas | Out | Forearm |
| Chris Taylor | Out | Groin |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Michael Grove | Out | Lat |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
