San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
At 9:40 PM ET, the Dodgers and Padres will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Dodgers are 63-44, while the Padres are 57-51. Los Angeles is the current favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Tyler Glasnow will start for the Dodgers, while the Padres are going with Matt Waldron. Los Angeles is currently in 1st place in the NL West, while the Padres are 2nd.
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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- The Dodgers are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the other side, the Padres have gone 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
- The Dodgers have a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
- The Padres have a 6-4 record vs. the runline and a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Astros with a 6-2 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +115 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning for the Dodgers, as they scored three runs in the inning. The Astros could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.
River Ryan got the start for the Dodgers, going 5 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on two hits and finished with eight K’s. Teoscar Hernandez was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and scoring two runs. The Dodgers’s other big hitter was Gavin Lux, who went 1/2 with a homer and scored two runs.
Los Angeles is 63-44 overall and leads the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Padres. So far, they have gone 21-16 in divisional games.
As the Dodgers are the road team today, they are 29-24 on the road compared to 34-20 at home. This year, the Dodgers have been the favorite in most of their games, going 59-35 as the favorite. They are just 4-9 as the underdog. The series vs. the Astros, the Dodgers lost the series 2-1, but they are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.
Los Angeles has been a solid play on the run line this season, going 53-54 overall. They are 25-29 on the run line at home and 28-25 on the run line on the road. They are 47-47 on the run line as the favorite and 6-7 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2. They have covered the run line in two straight road games.
When the Dodgers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. This season, the Dodgers have played 15 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, and their record in those games is 7-8. Overall, the Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the season is 55-52.
Right-hander Tyler Glasnow gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 8-6 with a 3.47 ERA. This year, opponents are batting .174 off Glasnow, and he has a total of 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Glasnow took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. One of those was a win, and the other two were no-decisions. His ERA for the season is 4.12 on the road compared to 4.03 at home.
Shohei Ohtani has been a huge part of the Dodgers offense this season, as he is batting .314 with 32 home runs and 76 RBIs. His 32 homers are 2nd in the league and the best mark on the Dodgers. Ohtani has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/23 in his last six games with two homers. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season, as he is batting .265 with 22 homers and 69 RBIs.
As a team, the Dodgers have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, as they are 4th in runs per game (4.9), and have the 3rd best home run total in the league. They are also the top on-base percentage team in the league and have the 2nd best OPS in the league. The Dodgers have been patient at the plate this season, as they are the 2nd best team in terms of drawing walks.
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with an 8-6 loss. San Diego was the +117 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Padres in the 3rd inning, as the Orioles scored six runs in the inning. San Diego’s offense scored their only runs in the 5th, going three. The Padres added another two runs in the 6th but couldn’t complete the comeback.
Randy Vasquez got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted two innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the Padres had 10 hits but only scored six runs. Xander Bogaerts hit a homer for the Padres but went just 1/4.
San Diego will host the Dodgers with an overall record of 57-51, and they are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone 15-17 in divisional games. The Padres closed out their series vs. the Orioles with two straight wins and are 7-3 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Padres are 26-28 this season and 31-23 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego has gone 32-29 and 25-22 as the underdog. The Padres have an overall series record of 19-12-3 and have won three straight series.
San Diego is 19-35 against the run line at home this season, but 38-16 on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while it’s -3.5 in losses. The Padres are 25-36 against the run line as the favorite and 32-15 as the underdog.
The San Diego Padres have been a part of a lot of high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. They have a 57-50 over/under record on the year, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their games have gone over the total 16 times and under 19 times. The over has hit in three straight games for the Padres.
Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Dodgers at home. Waldron has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 6-9 with a 3.64 ERA. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight outings. Waldron has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .225 off Waldron this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.81 strikeouts and 2.5 walks.
As a team, the Padres are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They are the top hitting team in baseball right now, batting a collective .264. San Diego is also near the top of the league in slugging percentage, on-base percentage, and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar has been on a tear of late, going 8/25 with four homers over his last six games. He is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Profar’s 18 homers are the most on the team and 15th in the league. Manny Machado, Jake Cronenworth, and Fernando Tatis Jr. are all tied for 2nd on the team with 14 homers.
Getting the Padres at +115 in this one is a great value pick. We have the Padres winning this game 6-5. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tyler Glasnow finishing with six strikeouts, which is the seventh most among today’s starters.
Offensively, the Dodgers are projected to finish with 10 strikeouts, which is the sixth most in the league today. As for the Padres, they are projected to finish with seven, which is the fewest in the league.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Matt Waldron is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters.
Offensively, the Padres are projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Dodgers, who are projected to finish with 10.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- The Padres are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | Out | Personal |
| Joe Musgrove | Out | Elbow |
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Out | Tricep |
| Wandy Peralta | Out | Groin |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | Out | Personal |
| Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Miguel Rojas | Out | Forearm |
| Chris Taylor | Out | Groin |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Michael Grove | Out | Lat |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
