San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
At 8:40 PM from PETCO Park in San Diego, we have an NL West matchup between the Dodgers and Padres. Los Angeles comes in with a record of 26-14, while the Padres are currently 21-20. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Dodgers are the favorite on the money line at -147.
Looking at Saturday’s starting pitching matchup, we have James Paxton going for the Dodgers and Matt Waldron for the Padres. Los Angeles is currently in first place in the NL West, and the Padres are looking to move above .500.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Los Angeles Dodgers odds
San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- The Dodgers are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Padres have gone 3-2 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a runline record of 7-3.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Padres have gone 6-4 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.
San Diego picked up a 2-1 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense only had three hits in the game but still picked up the win thanks to a good outing from Michael King, who went seven innings and didn’t give up a run.
On the other side, Tyler Glasnow started for the Dodgers and gave up just one run in seven innings of work. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but took the loss.
Luis Campusano was the difference for the Padres, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Shohei Ohtani did the most damage for the Dodgers, going 2/4 with two RBIs.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles is 26-14 overall this season, and they lead the NL West by 5.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 7-5 in divisional games this season, and they have won five straight series. Their overall series record is 8-5 this year.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 15-8 this season and are 11-6 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 18-6. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 25-13, and they are 1-1 as the underdog this year.
The Dodgers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 21-19 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 10-7. Los Angeles has an average run margin of 1.8 runs per game this season, and they have been a profitable run line bet as the favorite, going 20-18. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1 runs per game.
The Dodgers have played to the under in two straight games, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 22-18, and their games have had an average line of 9 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Padres is set at 9 runs, and the Dodgers have played to the under in 72.5% of their games this season when the line has been set at 9 runs.
James Paxton gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres on the road. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 3.06. Paxton’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.55. In his last outing, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. He has won each of his last two starts. Opponents are batting .224 off Paxton this season, and he has issued 6.68 walks per nine innings compared to 5.01 strikeouts.
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear of late for the Dodgers, going 8/17 in his last five games with three homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .359 with 11 homers, which is good for 2nd in the league. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 10 homers and is batting .258.
As a team, the Dodgers are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run hitting team and have the best team batting average in the league.
San Diego is hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 21-20, which has them 5.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres are on a two-game winning streak, and they have gone 11-9 in divisional matchups this year. So far, the Dodgers lead the NL West with an overall record of 21-20.
At home, the Padres are 9-12 this season, and they have gone 12-8 on the road. San Diego has won three straight at home, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. As the underdog, the Padres are 8-9 this year and 13-11 as the favorite. San Diego’s overall series record is 7-4-2, and they have won three straight series overall and two straight series on the road.
The Padres have been a strong bet against the run line this season, going 23-18 overall, including a 16-4 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog and have a run line record of 12-5 in that role this season. The Padres are averaging a run differential of +0.4 runs per game this season, with a run line record of 11-13 as the favorite and 12-5 as the underdog.
San Diego’s over/under record is 21-19, and the average line for their games is 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game is 9 runs, and the Padres have gone under in three straight games. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and only 9.8% of their games have had higher lines than today’s.
San Diego is sending Matt Waldron to the mound today vs. the Dodgers, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks. In that game, he gave up seven earned runs in just three innings of work. Waldron took the loss in that outing. Looking back over his last three starts, he has given up at least four earned runs in each outing. The right-hander’s record for the season is 1-4, and his ERA is 5.82. Opponents are batting .274 off Waldron this season. So far, he has made seven appearances and one quality start.
So far this season, the Padres have been one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game (8th in the MLB). They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 8th-ranked home run hitting team and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league at .257. San Diego’s team on-base percentage of .322 is 6th in the league.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the Padres’ top power threats this season, as they both have six homers. Profar is batting .324 for the season and has gone 13/33 with two homers and eight RBIs over his last nine games. Cronenworth has also been hot of late, going 13/37 with two homers and seven RBIs in his last nine games.
Our predicted final score for this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup is a 6-5 win for the Padres. With the Padres being the underdog at +122, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Matt Waldron finishing with five strikeouts compared to James Paxton with five as well. However, we have Paxton giving up more runs than Waldron, and with the Padres having a better payout, we would stick with them on the money line.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Padres (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Musgrove | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Glenn Otto | Out | Shoulder |
| Tucupita Marcano | Out | Knee |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Out | Back |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Evan Phillips | Out | Hamstring |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Bobby Miller | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Hurt | Out | Shoulder |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Forearm |
