San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Preview
Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Astros and Padres is set for 6:40 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego, CA. The Astros are currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -112 compared to the Padres at -106. The over/under line is at 7 runs.
Houston comes in with a record of 82-69 and is currently in 1st place in the AL West, while the Padres are 2nd in the NL West at 86-66. Framber Valdez will go for the Astros, while Dylan Cease is slated to start for the Padres.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Houston Astros odds
San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Astros are 4-1. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Padres have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- The Astros are 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.
- In their last ten games, the Padres have a record of 5-5 as the favorite and 6-4 as the underdog.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Astros vs Padres series. Houston went into the matchup as +101 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Astros had a two-run 4th inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th. As for the Padres, they scored their only run in the 6th and tied the game briefly with a run in the 8th.
Kyle Tucker and Alex Bregman each had two hits and an RBI for the Astros. Manny Machado did the same for the Padres. Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2/5 with a stolen base.
Hunter Brown pitched well for the Astros in this one, going six innings and striking out three without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Josh Hader got the save. Adrian Morejon had a rough outing for the Padres, taking the loss.
San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Prediction
Houston leads the AL West by five games over the Mariners as they are currently 82-69 overall. The Astros are 25-20 in divisional games and have won four straight games as the favorite. So far, they have gone 24-22 as the favorite on the road and 40-37 overall on the road.
The Astros have an overall series record of 26-20-2 this season, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games. At home, the Astros have gone 42-32 this season.
When the Astros are favored, they’re only 52-60 against the run line, but as underdogs, they’re 26-13. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while in losing games, it’s -3.1. Houston has covered the run line in four straight games and is 43-34 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 0.2 runs per game.
The Houston Astros are on the road against the San Diego Padres today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.6 runs per game. The Astros have gone over the total in 61 of their 146 games this season, and their average over/under line is 9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the Astros have gone over the total in just 1 of their 5 games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Padres on the road. So far this season, he has made 26 starts and has a record of 14-6 with an ERA of 2.91. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in 16 quality starts and has one complete game. Valdez most recently faced the Athletics, where he finished with a no-decision, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .307 with 34 homers and 85 RBIs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 4/23 in his last six games. Alex Bregman is 2nd on the team with 23 homers but is batting just .256 for the season. Jose Altuve is batting .301 for the season and has gone deep 19 times.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and 12th in runs scored (4.6 per game). They have been better at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league. Houston’s offense has been good at getting on base, as they have the 6th best on-base percentage in the league.
With an overall record of 86-66, the Padres are 3.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres are 24-22 in divisional matchups this season. San Diego is 41-36 at home and 45-30 on the road. As the underdog, the Padres have gone 30-24 this year, and they are 7-8 as the home underdog.
San Diego has been good as the favorite this year, putting together a record of 56-42. The Padres’ overall series record is 29-15-6, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Astros. Over their last 10 games, the Padres are 6-4.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet this season, going 77-75 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 47-28 against the run line. The Padres have an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game, but that number jumps up to 1.2 runs per game on the road. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 37-17 against the run line in those games.
The Padres have played to the over in 80 of their 149 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the over has hit in 11 of their 16 games. The over has hit in three straight games for the Padres.
Dylan Cease will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that September 13th start vs. the Giants, Cease went six innings, gave up four hits, and finished with 10 strikeouts. Cease has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 13-11 with a 3.58 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has a WHIP of 1.09 and is averaging 10.99 strikeouts per nine innings. Cease has one complete game shutout this season and 15 quality starts.
San Diego comes into the game with the league’s top batting average at .265 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are 8th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Their team on-base percentage of .327 is 5th in the league.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has been on fire of late, going 11/29 with four homers over his last seven games. Luis Arraez has also been hot, hitting .406 in this stretch. For the season, Arraez is batting .320 and has gone deep four times. Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill have been the Padres’ top power threats, with Machado leading the team with 27 homers and Merrill sitting in 2nd with 24.
Our prediction for this Astros vs. Padres matchup is that the Astros will come out on top by a score of 6-5. With the Astros projected to pick up the win, we recommend taking them on the money line, where you can get them at -112.
Looking at some potential stats for today’s starters, Framber Valdez is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Dylan Cease is predicted to finish with five as well. As for team stats, the Astros are the best in the league in terms of home runs, and they are projected to finish with nine K’s, which is 17th in the league.
San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Betting Tips
- We like the Astros on the moneyline (-112)
- The Astros are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Ben Gamel | Out | Knee |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Chas McCormick | Out | Hand |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |
