San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
At 9:40 PM from PETCO Park in San Diego, we have an NL matchup between the Reds and Padres. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Reds are 16-13 compared to the Padres at 14-18. Yu Darvish will start for the Padres, and he is facing off against Nick Martinez for the Reds.
San Diego comes into this one as the favorite, with money line odds of -147, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSOH.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Cincinnati Reds odds
San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Reds are 2-3. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Padres have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Padres have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Reds have a 2-8 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
Cincinnati picked up a 5-2 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight favorites at -108.
Nick Lodolo pitched well for the Reds in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts but issued two walks. Lodolo picked up a win in the game, while Matt Waldron took the loss for the Padres.
At the plate, the Reds were led by Elly De La Cruz, Jeimer Candelario, and Will Benson, as they were the only three Cincinnati hitters to have more than one hit. De La Cruz and Benson each drove in two runs.
San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Cincinnati is on the road today, taking on the Padres with an overall record of 16-13. The Reds are 3rd in the NL Central, two games behind the Cubs for the division lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games.
The Reds won the first game of this series vs. the Padres and have an overall series record of 4-4-1 this year. As the favorite, Cincinnati has gone 10-4 this season, and they are 6-9 as the underdog. At home, the Reds are 9-7 compared to 7-6 on the road.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, as they are 17-12 overall. They are 9-4 on the run line on the road, and they have covered the run line in four straight games away from home. Cincinnati’s average run margin is +0.8 for the season, and they have a scoring margin of +1.2 on the road. They have been the underdog in 15 of their 29 games, and they are 8-7 on the run line in those games.
The Reds have had a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, but their games have gone under the over/under line of 7.5 runs in each of their last two games. Their over/under record for the season is 15-13, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game.
Nick Martinez will be making his 4th start of the season for the Reds, and it will be his first road start of the year. He has yet to pick up a win, as he has a loss and two no-decisions. In his last outing, he went 6 innings, giving up 5 runs on 11 hits, but he did strike out 3 batters.
Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top hitters this season, batting .280 with a team-leading eight home runs. However, he has gone just 6/28 in his last eight games. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, as he has three homers this season and is batting .252.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 5 runs per game and are one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs. Their team batting average of .220 is 22nd in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts.
San Diego will be looking to snap their five-game losing streak today as they take on the Reds at home. The Padres are 14-18 overall and are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional matchups. San Diego dropped the final game of their series vs. the Phillies and have lost the first two games of this series vs. the Reds.
At home, the Padres are just 6-12 this year. On the road, they are 8-6. As the favorite, the Padres are 9-10 this year and 5-8 as the underdog. San Diego has dropped four straight at home as the favorite. So far, they are 4-5-2 in series this year.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 11-3 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +1.0, while their average run margin in winning games is +3.4. However, they have struggled at home against the run line, going just 4-14. Their average run margin at home is -1.1, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last four home games.
San Diego’s games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and the Padres have a 16-15 over/under record. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have a 5-5 record. So far this season, 68.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their game today against the Reds had a combined total of 7 runs.
Yu Darvish is getting set to make his third start of the season for the Padres, and he will be facing the Reds at home. Darvish has a no-decision in each of his first two starts, and he has gone 5 innings in each of those outings. He has 2 home runs allowed and 1 walk in each of his first two starts.
San Diego comes into today’s game as one of the league’s better offensive teams, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Padres are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, as their 33 homers is 5th in the league.
Jurickson Profar has been red hot for the Padres of late, going 8/22 in his last six games, including two homers and four RBIs. Profar is currently 2nd on the team with a .301 batting average and is 1st in on-base percentage. Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both on a good stretch of games, with Profar having a six-game hitting streak and Cronenworth coming in with a four-game streak.
Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -147. We actually see this game ending with a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Padres, giving you some value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Nick Martinez, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the sixth worst among starters.
San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips
- Take the Padres on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Reds (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | Probable | Neck |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Glenn Otto | Out | Shoulder |
| Tucupita Marcano | Out | Knee |
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas | Out | Forearm |
| Tyler Stephenson | Questionable | Hand |
| Alex Young | Out | Back |
| TJ Friedl | Out | Wrist |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Noelvi Marte | Out | Suspension |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Questionable | Hand |
