San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Preview
From PETCO Park in San Diego, we have the White Sox and Padres facing off in an interleague matchup. The Padres are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -310, while the White Sox are +255 underdogs. Sunday’s forecast in San Diego calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s.
First pitch for Sunday’s White Sox and Padres matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET. Sean Burke is starting for the White Sox, and they are 36-119 this season, putting them 5th in the AL Central. The Padres will have Yu Darvish on the mound, and they are 89-66, which has them 2nd in the NL West.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Chicago White Sox odds
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats
- The White Sox are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Padres, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Padres have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the White Sox have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.
San Diego picked up a 6-2 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the White Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -316 on the money line.
Martin Perez only went 5 1/3 innings for the Padres but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Tanner Scott got the save. Chris Flexen had a rough outing for the White Sox, taking the loss.
Elias Diaz and David Peralta each homered for the Padres, while Xander Bogaerts went 1/4 with two RBIs. Jackson Merrill also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for San Diego’s offense.
San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
With a record of 36-119, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 53.5 games. The White Sox have lost four straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10. This season, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-41.
Chicago has been really bad on the road this year, coming in with a mark of 16-61. At home, the White Sox are just 20-58. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 31-116, compared to 5-3 as the favorite. This season, the White Sox’ series record is 7-41-2.
When the White Sox win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of 3.7 runs per game. That’s why they have a run line record of 63-92, including a 32-45 mark on the road. They are 31-47 against the run line at home this season, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last game.
When the White Sox are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. This season, the combined run average in their games is 8.2 runs. Overall, the over/under record for the White Sox is 65-81, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 12-19. This season, 69.7% of their games have had lines set higher than 7.5 runs, while 10.3% have had lower lines.
Sean Burke is getting the start for the White Sox today on the road against the Padres. He has made one start so far this season, which was a win at home against the Athletics. In that outing, he went 5 innings, giving up 2 earned runs on 5 hits and 2 walks.
So far this season, the White Sox have been the worst home run hitting team in the league, and they are also dead last in the league in team batting average. As a team, they are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .279 is also the worst in the league.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi come into the game tied for the team lead in home runs, but both are batting under .230 for the season. Vaughn has gone 6/24 in his last six games, with two homers, while Benintendi is also coming off a stretch in which he went 2/5 with two homers. Lenyn Sosa has also gone deep twice in his last six games, and he is batting .409 over that stretch.
With an overall record of 89-66, the Padres are three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres have won three straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10 games, which includes taking the first two games of this series vs. the White Sox. In the NL West, the Padres have gone 24-22 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Padres are 44-36 this season and 45-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 59-42 this year and 30-24 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 30-15-6, and they have won two straight series.
San Diego is 32-48 against the run line at home this season, but they are 47-28 on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.6, and they have a run line record of 79-76. They have covered the run line in their last game, and they are 37-17 against the run line as the underdog.
The Padres have played in 88 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 80-71, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 24-25. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs per game.
Yu Darvish is coming off a dominant outing for the Padres, as he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work vs. the Astros. He only gave up three hits in that outing. Darvish has won his last two starts and has a record of 6-3 this season. His ERA is 3.21, along with a WHIP of 1.11. Looking at his overall numbers, Darvish has made 14 starts, four of which were quality starts. For the season, he has a BB/9 figure of 2.44 compared to 8.36 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over the past eight games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has been on fire for the Padres, going 12/34 with three homers and six RBIs. This has extended his hitting streak to 10 games. Manny Machado has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/34 with three homers and 10 RBIs in this stretch. For the season, Machado is batting .277 with a team-high 29 homers and 104 RBIs.
As a team, the Padres are the league’s top hitting team, with a batting average of .266. They are also 8th in the league in runs per game (4.7) and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the best slugging percentage in the league.
There are a couple of ways you could look to play this White Sox vs. Padres matchup. However, we are going to stay away from the money line and instead take the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Padres, giving us plenty of room to take the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with six strikeouts compared to Sean Burke with five. However, we have Burke going for just 18th among starters in terms of innings pitched. If you are looking for a player prop, Darvish’s strikeout line should be around five, giving us some value there.
San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Padres on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Neck |
| Matt Foster | Out | Back |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Steven Wilson | Out | Back |
| Ky Bush | Out | Triceps |
| Drew Thorpe | Out | Forearm |
| Brooks Baldwin | Out | Wrist |
