San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 9/21/2024

San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Preview

The White Sox and Padres face off in an interleague matchup at 8:40 PM ET on Saturday. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the White Sox are on a three-game losing streak, putting them at 36-118 and 5th in the AL Central. The Padres are 88-66 overall and they have won two straight, putting them 2nd in the NL West.</

Chris Flexen will start for the White Sox, while the Padres are sending Martin Perez to the mound. San Diego is the heavy money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -272 compared to the White Sox at +226. The over/under line is currently 8 runs, and NBCS will be televising this one.

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San Diego Padres vs. Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats

• The White Sox are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
• The Padres, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• The Padres have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

San Diego picked up a 3-2 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a two-run lead heading into the 9th inning, and the White Sox could only muster two runs in the final frame. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -296 on the money line.

Joe Musgrove started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Garrett Crochet only went four innings for the White Sox, giving up one run on one hit.

At the plate, Jake Cronenworth went 3/3 with two runs scored for the Padres. Xander Bogaerts and Jackson Merrill each had two hits and two RBIs. For the White Sox, Lenyn Sosa hit the game’s only home run and drove in two runs.

San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Chicago is just 36-118 this season, and they have dropped three straight games heading into today’s matchup at San Diego. The White Sox are 53.5 games out of the AL Central lead, and they are 5th in the division. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-41 this year.

At home, the White Sox are just 20-58 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 16-60. This season, the White Sox have really struggled as the underdog, going 31-115. Chicago is also just 5-3 when favored this year. Looking at their overall series record, the White Sox are 7-41-2 this year, and they trail the Padres 0-1 in this series.

The White Sox have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 32-44. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 5-3 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it drops to -3.7 in losses.

The Chicago White Sox are on the road against the San Diego Padres today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The White Sox have a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-81. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-14-3. This season, 50.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 3 games.

Right-hander Chris Flexen gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Padres on the road. Flexen has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 2-14 with an ERA of 5.08. Looking at his home/road splits, Flexen has gone 1-8 on the road with an 8.16 ERA. In comparison, he is 1-6 at home with a 4.53 ERA. One positive note for Flexen is that he is coming off a start in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Athletics on September 14th, he went five innings and gave up just two hits. Flexen finished with eight strikeouts in that outing.

For the White Sox to turn around their season, they will need to start hitting the ball better. As a team, they are batting just .221, which is the worst mark in the league. This has led to them being the worst scoring offense in the league, averaging just 3.1 runs per game. They also have the worst team on-base percentage and OPS in the league.

Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are the team’s top power threats, with both players having 19 home runs this season. Vaughn is batting .247 for the season, while Benintendi is hitting just .226. However, Benintendi has gone 9/34 in his last nine games, with three homers.

With an overall record of 88-66, the Padres are four games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10 games. San Diego took the series opener vs. the White Sox, and their overall series record is 30-15-6, including two straight series wins.

At home, the Padres are 43-36 this year and 45-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 58-42 this year, and they are 30-24 as the underdog. San Diego has won two straight games as the favorite.

The Padres have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, going 78-76 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 47-28, compared to just 31-48 at home. They have been a solid bet as the underdog, going 37-17 on the run line, while they have struggled as the favorite, going 41-59.

San Diego Padres games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 80-71. The Padres have played 59 games with over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 38.3% of their games. Their games have gone under the total in five straight contests.

Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today and comes into the game with a record of 4-5 and ERA of 4.36. So far this season, he has made 24 starts and eight of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Pérez finished with a no-decision after going five innings and giving up one earned run on two hits. He only issued one walk in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .278 off Pérez this season. Overall, he has allowed 21 homers and is averaging 3.14 walks per nine innings.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the fewest strikeouts in the league. The Padres have been especially good on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game.

Manny Machado has been on a tear of late, going 9/25 with three homers and nine RBIs over his last six games. This has helped him move into the team lead with 29 home runs and 104 RBIs. Machado is also on a four-game hitting streak. Jackson Merrill is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has a batting average of .292.

There are a few ways you could look to play this White Sox and Padres matchup, but we are going to recommend taking the over, with the line currently sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Padres, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the line sitting at 8.

If you are looking for a money line pick, you could take the Padres, but with a payout of -272, we don’t see a ton of value there. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Martin Perez finishing with four strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters.

San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Padres on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

San Diego Padres Injury Report

Chicago White Sox Injury Report