San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Betting Tips 7/13/2024

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Preview

First pitch for Saturday’s Braves vs. Padres matchup is set for 7:15 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego. The Braves are 52-41 this season and are starting Reynaldo Lopez, while the Padres are 49-48 and will send Dylan Cease to the mound.

FOX will be televising this NL matchup, and the money line odds have the Braves at -108 compared to the Padres at -110. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Braves are the favorites to win the NL East, while the Padres are 3rd in the NL West.

Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Atlanta Braves odds

San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Braves have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• In the Padres’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• The Braves are 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite and 3-7 as the underdog.
• The Padres have a 4-6 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 8-2.

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Padres series took place on the road, with the Braves picking up a 6-1 win. Heading into the game, the Braves were at +100 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Spencer Schwellenbach for the Braves and Matt Waldron for the Padres. Schwellenbach went seven innings and gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Waldron lasted just seven innings and gave up four runs on six hits.

Atlanta’s offense was led by Marcell Ozuna and Orlando Arcia, as they were the only two Braves hitters to have more than one hit. Ozuna also homered twice and drove in two runs. Adam Duvall also had a two-hit game for Atlanta.

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

With an overall record of 52-41, the Braves are 8.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Currently, they hold a 14-12 record against other teams in the NL East. The Braves have had a good amount of success as the favorite this year, going 48-34, and they are 19-17 as the favorite on the road.

At home, the Braves have gone 29-17 compared to 23-24 on the road. Atlanta has gone 6-4 across their last 10 games, and they took the first game of this series vs. the Padres. So far this year, the Braves have an overall series record of 17-11-3.

The Braves have been a team that has been right around the run line all season, as their average run margin is +0.7 runs per game. They have gone 44-49 against the run line this season, including a 23-24 mark on the road. They have been favored in most of their games, going 38-44 against the run line as the favorite.

The Atlanta Braves are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Braves games this season is 7.9 runs per game. The Braves have an O/U record of 32-56 on the season. The average O/U line for their games is 9 runs. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, the Braves have a record of 6-10. In 73 of their games this season, the O/U line has been set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 78.5% of their games. In only 4 games this season has the O/U line been set lower than 7.5 runs. The under has hit in the last 2 games for the Braves.

Right-hander Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 16 appearances this season and has a record of 7-2 with a 1.71 ERA. So far, López has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 9.33 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went six innings, picking up the win and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in back-to-back starts. López has been especially tough at home, coming in with a 1.27 ERA compared to 2.48 on the road.

Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late, going 10/28 in his last seven games with four homers and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into the top spot in the Braves lineup in terms of batting average (.301) and RBIs (77). Ozuna is also 4th in the league in homers, with 26 long balls this season. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 43, but is batting just .231.

Overall, the Braves offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. As a team, they are batting .242 (11th) and have the league’s 10th ranked home run total. They have been a good team at avoiding strikeouts this season but have not been a very patient team at the plate, as they are just 19th in walks.

San Diego is hoping to snap their five-game losing streak today, as they dropped the opening game of their series vs. the Braves. Currently, the Padres are 49-48 overall, which has them 3rd in the NL West. They are eight games behind the Dodgers for the division lead.

At home, the Padres are 25-27 this season, and they are 24-21 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego has gone 28-29 this year and 21-19 as the underdog. The Padres have dropped five straight at home, and their overall series record is 17-12-3. San Diego’s two most recent series have been on the road, and they lost two straight series at home.

The Padres have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 49-48 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 31-14. However, they have struggled at home, going just 18-34 on the run line. They have lost five straight games on the run line at home and are just 21-36 on the run line as the favorite.

When the San Diego Padres play at home, the over/under line is usually set higher than 7.5 runs. In fact, nearly 60% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 52-44 on the season. However, their last two games have gone under the total.

Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, as he gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work. He took the loss in that outing. Cease has lost each of his last two starts and has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings. Cease’s ERA for the season is 4.21, and he has a record of 7-8. Opponents are batting .214 off Cease this season. One positive note is that Cease has 10 quality starts this year. His ERA at home is 3.84 compared to 5.99 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. are tied for the team lead in homers, with 14 apiece. Profar is also 10th in the league in RBIs, with 59. Profar has been struggling a bit as of late, hitting just .231 over his last seven games. Jake Cronenworth has also been a key power source for the Padres this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 13 homers and 55 RBIs.

As a team, the Padres are 2nd in batting average and are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage. So far, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the MLB. The Padres have been a good road team offensively, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Padres, and with the money line sitting at -110, this is the way we recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Dylan Cease is predicted to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth among starters. As for Reynaldo López, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which has him 18th among starters.

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips

• Take the Padres on the moneyline
• On the run line we like Padres (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

San Diego Padres Injury Report

Atlanta Braves Injury Report