San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 6/9/2024

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

At 4:10 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Padres face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -136. The money line odds for an Arizona win are at +112, and they are 4th in the NL West with a record of 30-35. The Padres are 2nd in the division at 34-34.

Adam Mazur is starting for the Padres, while the Diamondbacks are going with Scott McGough. Arizona is looking to snap a two-game losing streak, while the Padres have won two straight.

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San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Diamondbacks have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
• In the Padres’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Padres have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 5-5 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.

San Diego cruised to an easy 13-1 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their runs and adding another four in the 4th. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -159 on the money line.

Matt Waldron started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Ryne Nelson got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss, going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up five runs.

At the plate, the Padres were led by Jake Cronenworth and Kyle Higashioka, as they were the only two Padres hitters to have more than one hit. Cronenworth, Ha-Seong Kim, and David Peralta each homered for San Diego’s offense.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Arizona is 30-35 overall, and they are 10.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have dropped two straight games, and they trail the Padres by two games for the third spot in the division. So far, they are 14-12 in divisional games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 15-16 this season, and they are just under .500 at 15-19 on the road. Arizona has dropped two straight games as the underdog, and they are 14-22 as the underdog overall. As for their record as the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 16-13 this year. They are also 7-11-2 in series this year.

When the Diamondbacks are favored, they have not been a good bet on the run line, going 10-19. They have been a much better bet on the run line when they are the underdog, going 19-17. They have covered the run line in 17 of their 34 road games this season.

Arizona’s over/under record is 30-33, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. In games where the line was set at 8.5 runs, they are 9-9. Overall, the Diamondbacks’ games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and their last two games have gone over the total.

Right-hander Scott McGough gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 16 appearances this season and has a record of 1-3 with a 6.35 ERA. McGough’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.65. Out of his 16 appearances, he has allowed two home runs and is averaging 5.29 walks per nine innings on the road compared to 4.5 at home. McGough’s last outing came on June 8th, where he went one inning out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.

Arizona comes into today’s game as the 8th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 8th in the league, and have the 8th best on-base percentage in the league. Arizona’s offense has been led by Ketel Marte and Christian Walker, who have 13 and 12 home runs this season, respectively.

Both Marte and Gurriel Jr. have been swinging the bat well of late, with Marte going 11/22 in his last six games, and Gurriel Jr. is 8/26 in his last seven games. As a team, the Diamondbacks are 16th in the league in home runs and have a team isolated power number of .145, which is 14th in the MLB.

San Diego is currently 34-34 overall, and they are 8.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres have won two straight games, and they are 14-14 in divisional matchups this year. San Diego is closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks today with a 2-1 series lead.

At home, the Padres have gone 15-20 this season. On the road, San Diego is 19-14, which is the opposite of most teams’ records. As the favorite, the Padres are 21-21 this year and 13-13 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 12-8-2, and they are 4-6 over their last ten games.

San Diego is 36-32 against the run line this season, but they have been much better on the road, going 24-9. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4, but they have been outscored at home, where they are just 12-23 against the run line. As the underdog, they are 18-8 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 18-24. Their average run margin in wins is +3.9, while their average run margin in losses is -3.2.

When the San Diego Padres play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 34-33. So far this season, they have played 16 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 8-8. This season, the over has hit in two straight games for the Padres.

Adam Mazur is making his second start of the season for the Padres, and he will be taking on the Diamondbacks at home. In his first start of the year, Mazur went six innings and gave up just one run, but he did not factor into the decision. He finished with 2 hits, 4 strikeouts, and 4 walks.

San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .263 and are also 9th in the league in scoring at 4.5 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the best team on-base percentage in the MLB.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has been red hot of late, going 18/37 over his last nine games with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .282 with a team-high 11 homers and 33 RBIs. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have also been good power sources for the Padres, as they each have nine homers this season.

We see the Diamondbacks coming away with a 6-4 road win over the Padres. Given that the Diamondbacks are the underdogs, we recommend taking them on the money line, where they are currently at +112.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Adam Mazur finishing with five strikeouts, which has him as the 10th highest projected strikeout total among all starters today. As for the Diamondbacks, they are projected to finish with 12 strikeouts, which is the fourth highest on the day.

Offensively, the Diamondbacks are projected to finish with 12 hits, which is the best in the league today. As for the Padres, they are projected to finish with nine hits and have the third-worst home run projection on the day.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips

• We like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline (+112)
• The Diamondbacks are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

San Diego Padres Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report