San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 6/8/2024

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

At 8:40 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Padres face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are the heavy favorite on the money line at -144. The money line odds for a Diamondbacks win are sitting at +123, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

Arizona will be looking for a win behind starter Ryne Nelson, while the Padres are starting Matt Waldron. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Diamondbacks are 30-34, while the Padres are above .500 at 33-34.

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San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• The Diamondbacks are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• The Padres, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Padres have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.

San Diego cruised to a 10-3 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 8th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only three runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -132 on the money line.

Michael King got the win for the Padres, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Brandon Pfaadt got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

At the plate, the Padres were led by Jurickson Profar and Ha-Seong Kim, as they were the only two Padres hitters to have more than one hit. Profar, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Luis Campusano each homered for San Diego.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Arizona is 30-34 overall as they play on the road today vs. the Padres. The Diamondbacks are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 9.5 games. So far, they have gone 14-11 in divisional games. Arizona is looking to pick up a win today, as they dropped yesterday’s game vs. the Padres.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 15-16 this year compared to 15-18 on the road. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 14-21 this year and 16-13 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Diamondbacks are 7-11-2 this year.

Arizona has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 29-35 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, going 17-16 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 19-16 against the run line. Their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.7 runs per game at home.

The Diamondbacks have played in 44 games this season with over/under lines higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 68.8% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 29-33 on the season. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 5-2-1.

Ryne Nelson is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 5.44. Nelson’s WHIP for the season is 1.60, and opponents are batting .322 off the right-hander. In his most recent outing, Nelson went 7 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Nelson has been much better on the road, coming in with an ERA of 3.44 compared to 8.51 at home.

Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 9th in the league, and 8th in on-base percentage. The Diamondbacks are also 12th in home runs and have the league’s 11th best OPS.

Over his last 10 games, Ketel Marte has been on fire, going 13/37 (.351) with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .282 and is 8th in the league with 13 homers. Christian Walker is right behind him in homers, as he has gone deep 12 times while batting .253. Walker’s 39 RBIs are 13th in the league and the most on the Diamondbacks.

San Diego is 33-34 overall this season, and they are eight games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West and have gone 13-14 against other teams in the division. The Padres will be hosting the Diamondbacks today with an overall record of 14-20 at home compared to 19-14 on the road.

The Padres have gone just 4-6 across their last 10 games, and they are looking to take the series from the Diamondbacks with a win today. So far, they have an overall series record of 12-8-2 this year. As the favorite, the Padres are 20-21 this year and 12-14 when favored at home. When they have been the underdog, the Padres are an even 13-13 this year.

When the Padres are favored, they are just 17-24 vs. the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 18-8. Overall, they are 35-32 vs. the run line, and their average run margin is +0.2 runs per game. They have been a much better bet on the road, going 24-9 vs. the run line, compared to just 11-23 at home. Their average run margin on the road is +1.3 runs per game, compared to -0.9 runs per game at home.

San Diego’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and the over/under record is 33-33. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 5-7-1. Overall, 41.8% of their games have had lines set at 8 runs or higher, and 38.8% have had lines set at 8 runs or lower.

So far this season, Matt Waldron has made 12 starts and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 3.98. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. Waldron’s last outing came vs. the Angels, where he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run on four hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Against the Diamondbacks, Waldron has made one appearance and took the loss. In that outing, he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .239 this season.

So far this season, the Padres are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is good for 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .261, which is the best mark in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. San Diego’s offense has been led by Jurickson Profar, who is batting .325 with a team-high 42 RBIs and 9 homers. Fernando Tatis Jr. also has 11 homers and is hitting .282.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has been on a tear of late, going 15/28 in his last seven games with two homers and six runs scored. He is also currently on a 13-game hitting streak. Luis Arraez is also swinging a hot bat, with a season-long batting average of .337, and he is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

Our pick for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -144. We do have this game finishing with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Padres, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at today’s starters, we have Matt Waldron finishing with four strikeouts, which would have him as the third-lowest among all starters. As for the Diamondbacks starter, Ryne Nelson, his projection is for five strikeouts, which would have him as the sixth lowest.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips

• Take the Padres on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Diamondbacks (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

San Diego Padres Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report