San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 6/7/2024

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

At 9:40 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Padres will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Diamondbacks are the slight money line favorites (+103). The Padres are 5-1 in their last six games and they are 2nd in the NL West, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd with an overall record of 30-33.

Friday’s forecast in San Diego calls for temperatures in the upper 60s and partly cloudy skies. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and Michael King will start for the Padres, while the Diamondbacks are going with Brandon Pfaadt.

Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Arizona Diamondbacks odds

San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• The Diamondbacks are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Padres have gone 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Padres have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Padres series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -105 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The D-backs offense only had two more hits than the Padres and struck out five more times, but still picked up the win.

San Diego had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning, but Paul Sewald closed things out for the Diamondbacks. Slade Cecconi got the start for Arizona, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out three.

Kevin Ginkel got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks. Jeremiah Estrada took the loss for the Padres out of the bullpen.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games for the division lead. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 30-33 and are 8.0 games behind the Padres for the 2nd spot in the NL West. So far, they have gone 14-10 in divisional games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 15-16 this year and 15-17 on the road. Arizona has won three straight games on the road, and they are 11-13 as road underdogs this season. As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 16-13 this year, and they are 7-11-2 in series this year.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 17-15. The Diamondbacks have played to an average run margin of 0.0 runs per game this season, but they have been more profitable as the underdog, going 19-15 against the run line. They have also been a better bet on the run line in games they have won, with an average run margin of +4.0 runs in those contests.

Arizona’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for their games is 28-33. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 3-4. Overall, 82.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with a 4.32 ERA. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08, and opponents are batting .230 off him this year. In his 12 appearances, Pfaadt has turned in six quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, he finished with a no-decision after giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks have been a strong offensive club, averaging 4.7 runs per game (8th). They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 9th in the league, and are also among the league’s best in terms of on-base percentage and slugging percentage. Arizona’s offense is also one of the best in the league at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 13th in the league in this category.

Ketel Marte and Christian Walker are both tied for the team lead with 12 home runs this season. Walker also leads the Diamondbacks with 39 RBIs, which is 13th best in the MLB. Marte has been hot of late, going 9/21 in his last six games, with two homers. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is 2nd on the team with eight homers but is batting just .237 for the season.

San Diego is hosting the Diamondbacks today with an overall record of 32-34, and they have dropped five straight games. In the NL West, they are eight games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they are 12-14 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Padres are 13-20 this year and 19-14 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego has gone 19-21 this year and 13-13 as the underdog. Their longest losing streak as the favorite this year is four games, and they are 12-8-2 in series this year.

San Diego has been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 34-32 overall. However, they have been much better on the road, going 24-9 compared to just 10-23 at home. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 18-8 against the run line, while they are just 16-24 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while it is -3.2 in losses.

San Diego has been a solid under team this season, with a 32-33 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and their games with a 7.5 O/U line are 9-11. Their games have had a 7.5 O/U line 62.1% of the time, and their games have gone under in their last 5.

Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing vs. the Royals, he only gave up four hits and issued two walks. King has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 4-4 with a 3.82 ERA. Opponents are batting .213 off the right-hander this year. King has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 9.62 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 13 homers and is averaging 3.82 walks per nine innings.

San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best at avoiding strikeouts this season, and they are also the top batting average team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has been on fire of late, going 14/24 in his last six games with a home run and three RBIs. He also comes into the game on a 12-game hitting streak. For the season, he is 11th in the league with 10 homers and is batting .283. Jake Cronenworth and Jurickson Profar are the Padres’ top power threats, as they are tied for 2nd on the team with eight homers apiece.

Our pick for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at +103. We actually have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brandon Pfaadt going six innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Michael King, we have him going five innings and finishing with four strikeouts.

Offensively, the Diamondbacks are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Padres, who are projected to finish with nine. However, the Padres are projected to finish with just six hits.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips

• We like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline (+103)
• The Diamondbacks are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

San Diego Padres Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report