Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Betting Tips 9/7/2024

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals Preview

From PNC Park in Pittsburgh, we have the Nationals and Pirates facing off in an NL matchup. Saturday’s game features a Nationals club that is 62-78 compared to the Pirates, who are 66-74. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Nationals are the slight money line favorite (-102).

SN PT will be televising Saturday’s game, which is set to get started at 1:35 PM ET. Luis L. Ortiz is starting for the Pirates, while the Nationals are going with DJ Herz. Washington is 4th in the NL East, while the Pirates are 5th in the NL Central.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats

• The Nationals are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• The Pirates, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• Over the last ten games, Nationals has a record of 5-5 when playing as favorites and 3-7 when playing as underdogs.
• In their last ten games, the Pirates have a record of 6-4 as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.

Pittsburgh cruised to a 9-4 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 2nd inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -123 on the money line.

Bailey Falter only went five innings for the Pirates but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts and two walks. Aroldis Chapman came out of the bullpen for the save. Jake Irvin had a rough outing for the Nationals, giving up six runs in five innings of work.

Nick Gonzales had a three RBI game at the plate for the Pirates, while Andres Chaparro and Juan Yepez each drove in three for the Nationals. Pittsburgh’s leadoff hitter, Adam Frazier, scored three times and went 2/4.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Washington is 62-78 overall and trails the Phillies by 22.5 games in the NL East. Currently, they are 4th in the division and are 19-21 against other NL East teams. The Nationals have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Pirates 0-1.

At home, the Nationals are 32-37 this year, and they are 30-41 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 50-66 this year and 12-12 when favored. So far, their overall series record is 18-23-4.

Washington has been a solid run line bet this season, going 78-62. They have been especially good on the road, going 41-30 against the run line. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 67-49 against the run line. Their average run differential in games they have won is +3.4 runs per game.

The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Nationals games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 67-68. The average over/under line for Nationals games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 18-21. Overall, 57 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 40.7% of their games, while 44 games have had lower lines, making up 31.4% of their games.

Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 2-7 and an ERA of 4.09. Looking at his overall numbers, Herz has made 15 starts, and opponents are batting .226 this season. In his last outing, Herz took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, with a no-decision and a shutout performance against the Braves. Herz has given up at least two homers in three of his last four starts.

Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 22nd in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They also have the 11th best team batting average in the league and have done a good job of putting the ball in play, as they are 5th in the league in fewest strikeouts. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of just .378.

Luis Garcia Jr. has been the Nationals’ top run producer this season, with 63 RBIs to go along with a team-high 15 homers. He is also batting .290. CJ Abrams has also been a good source of power, as he has 18 homers but is batting just .240. Over his last eight games, Andres Chaparro has three homers but is just 5/28 (.179).

Pittsburgh is 66-74 overall and 14.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates trail the Reds by just one game for 4th place in the division. So far, they have gone 22-20 in divisional games. The Pirates took the first game of this series vs. the Nationals and have an overall series record of 19-21-5 this year.

At home, the Pirates are 33-36 this season and 33-38 on the road. As the underdog, Pittsburgh is 37-50 this year compared to a mark of 29-24 as the favorite. They have dropped six of their last ten games and are 4-6 overall in their last ten.

While the Pirates have a losing record overall, they have been profitable against the run line this season. They are 78-62 against the run line overall, including a 43-28 mark on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 57-30 against the run line in those games.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are hosting the Washington Nationals tonight, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Pirates games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 69-69. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Pirates have a record of 28-21. This season, 15.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their current over streak is at 2 games.

Luis L. Ortiz is starting for the Pirates today and comes into the game with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 3.19. So far this season, he has made 11 starts, 16 of which have come at home. Ortiz’s ERA at home is 3.79, and he has a record of 2-1. The right-hander has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 7.01 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Ortiz didn’t give up a run and got the win, going six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, Bryan Reynolds is the Pirates’ top hitter in terms of batting average, as he is hitting .280 for the season. Reynolds also leads the team with 22 home runs and 78 RBIs. However, he has struggled a bit of late, going just 4/22 in his last six games. Nick Gonzales has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/26 in his last six games.

As a team, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are 16th in the league in batting average. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 24th in home runs and are near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Our pick for this Nationals vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Pirates on the money line at -118. We have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 5-4. Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis L. Ortiz is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is fourth worst among starters.

As for DJ Herz, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is sixth best among starters. However, we have him finishing with a higher ERA than Ortiz, and we have Herz giving up six earned runs.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips

• Take the Pirates on the moneyline
• On the run line we like Pirates (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report

Washington Nationals Injury Report