Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 8/17/2024

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Preview

There does appear to be a chance of rain in Pittsburgh on Saturday, where the forecasted temperature is 70 degrees. This interleague matchup between the Mariners and Pirates is set for 1:05 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-158).

Seattle comes in with a record of 63-60 and is currently on a four-game losing streak. Bailey Falter is starting for the Pirates, and they are 5th in the NL Central with a record of 57-64. MLBN will be televising Saturday’s game.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats

• 0-5 is the record of Mariners in their last five road games. They have also gone 0-5 vs. the runline.
• In the Pirates’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 0-5 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• The Mariners have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 4-6.
• As the underdog, the Pirates have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 7-3 straight-up.

Pittsburgh picked up a 5-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a two-run 5th inning and scored the game’s final run in the 7th. As for the Mariners, they scored two runs in the 4th and added their final run in the 9th.

Paul Skenes started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued four walks. Logan Gilbert got the start for the Mariners, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Yasmani Grandal and Isiah Kiner-Falefa each had two hits and an RBI for the Pirates. Oneil Cruz also drove in two runs while going 1/4. Luke Raley had a two-hit game for the Mariners, including a home run.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Seattle is 63-60 overall this season, and they are 3.0 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners have dropped four straight games, and this losing streak started with the final game of their series vs. the Rangers. So far this year, they are 19-13 in the division.

At home, the Mariners are 37-26 this season, and they are just below .500 at 26-34 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners have gone 44-37 and 19-23 as the underdog. Seattle has dropped five straight as the road favorite. So far, their overall series record is 17-20-2.

Seattle is 26-34 on the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in five straight games. They are 21-21 on the run line as an underdog this season.

Seattle’s games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-65. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 12 times and under 5 times. Only 8.9% of their games have had a higher over/under line than 8.5 runs.

Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 10-11 and an ERA of 3.40. So far, he has made 25 starts, and opponents are batting .232 off the right-hander this season. In his 25 appearances, Castillo has turned in 17 quality starts and is averaging 8.98 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, Castillo picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.

Cal Raleigh has had a rough stretch at the plate for the Mariners, going just 3/18 in his last five games, but he does have two homers during that time. For the season, Raleigh is batting just .211, but his 26 homers are good for 1st on the team and 12th in the league. Julio Rodríguez is batting .265 for the Mariners and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

Seattle comes into the game with the league’s worst batting average at just .215 and are also near the bottom of the league in runs scored and home runs. As a team, they are averaging just 3.9 runs per game and are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts. Overall, they are 13th in home runs and have the 4th most walks in the league.

The Pirates are 57-64 overall and trail the Brewers by 12.5 games in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 17-15 against other teams in the division. Pittsburgh took the first game of this series vs. the Mariners and will be the home team today.

At home, the Pirates are 28-31 this year and 29-33 on the road. They have really struggled recently, having gone just 1-9 over their last 10 games. As the underdog, the Pirates have dropped 11 straight games and are 32-43 in such games this year. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 16-18-5, and they have lost four straight series.

When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.2. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.3. Their run line record is 68-53, and they have covered the run line in 37 of 62 road games. They have covered the run line in three straight games at home, but are just 18-28 vs. the run line as the favorite.

The Pirates are at home today against the Mariners, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Pittsburgh’s games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 58-62. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Pirates have gone over 25 times and under 17 times. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season, and 16.5% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.

Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today and is looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Dodgers. In that start, he went four innings, giving up four earned runs, and he finished with a no-decision. Looking back further, Falter has made 20 appearances and 20 starts this season, finishing with a record of 5-7 and an ERA of 4.07. Opponents have hit .248 off the left-hander this season, and his WHIP is currently 1.24. Falter’s ERA at home is 4.48, compared to 5.1 on the road.

Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz have been two of the Pirates’ most consistent power threats this season, as they are both tied for 2nd on the team with 18 homers. Cruz has also driven in 61 runs, which is the 2nd most on the team, while De La Cruz is 3rd with 52 RBIs. Cruz has been hot of late, batting .357 over his last seven games, while De La Cruz has three homers during this stretch.

Joey Bart and Oneil Cruz have been swinging the bat well of late, with Bart going 9/29 in his last seven games and Cruz hitting .357 over this stretch. Bart has also gone deep three times in his last seven games. The Pirates will be looking for their offense to pick things up, as they are just 23rd in runs per game this season and are batting a collective .235.

Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Pirates on the money line, with a payout of +133. We have the Pirates coming out on top by a score of 5-4, giving you a good payout for this game.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Castillo is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among today’s starters. As for Bailey Falter, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips

• We like the Pirates on the moneyline (+133)
• On the run line we like Pirates (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report

Seattle Mariners Injury Report