Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Phillies and Pirates are set to face off in an NL matchup at 1:35 PM ET at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The Phillies have the best record in the NL East of 62-36, but they are currently on a three-game losing streak. The Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 50-48 and they have won six straight.
NSPPH is televising Sunday’s Phillies vs. Pirates matchup, and the money line odds have the Phillies as the favorite at -141 compared to the Pirates at +119. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 9 runs, and the Phillies will be looking to end their losing streak with Tyler Phillips on the mound. The Pirates are starting Marco Gonzales.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Phillies have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Pirates have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies are 4-6 straight-up and 3-7 vs. the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Pirates have gone 5-5 vs. the runline and 8-2 straight-up.
Pittsburgh picked up a 4-1 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Phillies got on the board with one run in the 6th and added their final run in the 8th.
Luis L. Ortiz pitched well for the Pirates in this one, going seven innings and striking out two without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Cristopher Sanchez took the loss for the Phillies, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
Oneil Cruz and Andrew McCutchen each homered for the Pirates, while Bryan Reynolds went 2/3 with an RBI. Ke’Bryan Hayes also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
With a record of 62-36, the Phillies lead the NL East by 7.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak today, and they have lost the first two games of this series vs. the Pirates. So far, they have gone 15-10 in divisional games.
At home, the Phillies have gone 37-16 this season, and they are 25-20 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 42-17. As the favorite, the Phillies are 54-28 and 8-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-9-5.
When betting the run line, the Phillies have been a good bet this season. They are 50-48 overall, including a 27-26 mark at home. Their average run margin is +1.1 runs per game. They are 23-22 on the run line on the road, but they have failed to cover in their last four road games. They are 3-7 on the run line in their last 10 games overall.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average of 8.8 runs per game. The Phillies have played 93 games this season, and only 14 of them have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, accounting for just 14.3% of their games. Their over/under record for games with a line set at 9 runs is 3-7-1.
Tyler Phillips will be making his second start of the season for the Phillies, and he will be on the road against the Pirates. In his first outing, Phillips picked up a win, going 6 innings and giving up 4 runs on 6 hits. He did strike out 5 batters and gave up 2 home runs.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .258. The Phillies have also been very good in terms of getting on base and have the league’s 3rd best OPS at .755.
Over the past seven games, Trea Turner has been on fire for the Phillies, batting .333 with four home runs and seven RBIs. For the season, Bryce Harper leads the team with 22 home runs, and his 62 RBIs are 2nd on the team and 11th in the league. Alec Bohm has been the team’s top run producer so far, as his 70 RBIs is the best mark in the league.
Pittsburgh is 50-48 overall this season, and they have won six straight games, which is good for 3rd place in the NL Central. The Pirates are six games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 15-14 in divisional matchups.
The Pirates have won three straight games as the underdog, and they are 29-29 as the underdog overall this year. At home, the Pirates have gone 24-24 compared to 26-24 on the road. Pittsburgh’s two overall series winning streak includes two straight series wins on the road.
The Pirates have been a profitable team to back on the run line this season, going 55-43 overall. They’ve been especially good on the run line as underdogs, going 40-18. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.
The Pirates have been involved in 97 games this season, and only 6.1% of them have had an over/under line set at 9 runs. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs, and their combined run average is 8.5 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 46-51, and they are 3-7-1 when the line is set at 9 runs.
Marco Gonzales is getting the start for the Pirates today, and he has been solid in his first three outings of the season. He has a win and two no-decisions, and in his last start, he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 earned run against the White Sox. He also faced the Phillies in his second start of the year, going 6 innings and giving up 2 earned runs.
Andrew McCutchen has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Pirates, going 8/27 in his last seven games, including one home run. McCutchen also has a five-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. Bryan Reynolds has also been on a tear, going 12/28 in his last seven games with one home run. Reynolds is currently batting .290 for the season and leads the Pirates with 61 RBIs.
As a team, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .233, which is 17th in the league, and are near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage and OPS.
We are getting great value with the Pirates on the money line at +119, and we have them winning this one by a score of 6-5. Looking at the starting pitchers, Marco Gonzales is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is better than Tyler Phillips, who we have finishing with five.
Offensively, our projections have the Pirates finishing with nine hits compared to the Phillies, who are projected to finish with nine. However, the Phillies are projected to finish with more strikeouts, and in terms of home runs, the Pirates are projected to finish with 11th most in the league today.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Pirates (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Oviedo | Out | Elbow |
| Daulton Jefferies | Out | Elbow |
| Bailey Falter | Out | Arm |
| Ryan Borucki | Out | Triceps |
| Dauri Moreta | Out | Elbow |
| Jared Jones | Out | Lat |
| Hunter Stratton | Out | Triceps |
| Endy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | Questionable | Back |
| Taijuan Walker | Out | Finger |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
