Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 7/20/2024

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Phillies and Pirates are set to square off in an NL matchup at 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The money line odds have the Phillies as the favorite at -165, while the Pirates are at +140. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on NSPPH.

Philadelphia is 62-35 this season and they are 1st in the NL East, while the Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 49-48. Pittsburgh will be looking to extend their five-game winning streak, while the Phillies have lost two in a row. Cristopher Sanchez will start for the Phillies, while the Pirates are going with Luis L. Ortiz.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Phillies are 1-4. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Pirates have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a runline record of 4-6.
• Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Pirates have gone 5-5 vs. the runline and 8-2 straight-up.

Pittsburgh picked up an 8-7 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a three-run lead going into the 9th inning, and the Phillies scored two runs but fell short. Heading into the game, the Pirates were at +145 on the money line.

Martin Perez only went 3 2/3 innings for the Pirates but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Carmen Mlodzinski got the win out of the bullpen, and Jose Alvarado took the loss for the Phillies.

Oneil Cruz had a big game for the Pirates, going 3/5 with three RBIs. Bryan Reynolds and Andrew McCutchen each drove in two runs for Pittsburgh’s offense. Weston Wilson had a three-hit game and hit the game’s only home run for the Phillies.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

With an overall record of 62-35, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies will be looking to pick up a win today, as they have dropped two straight games. Philadelphia lost the final game before the All-Star break and then dropped the series opener vs. the Pirates.

At home, the Phillies have gone 37-16 this season, and they are above .500 on the road as well, coming in at 25-19. The Phillies have been really good in night games this season, going 42-17. So far, they have gone 15-10 in the division and are 19-9-5 in series this year.

When betting on the Phillies’ run line this season, it’s been best to back them as the favorite. They are 42-39 against the run line when favored, compared to just 8-8 as the underdog. Their overall run line record is 50-47, with an average run differential of +1.1 runs per game. Their scoring margin is slightly better on the road (+0.6) than at home (+1.6), but they are just 23-21 against the run line on the road this season. They are currently on a three-game run line losing streak on the road.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies have an over/under record of 44-48 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Phillies have a record of 6-10. Their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs in 25 of their 97 games this season, which is 25.8% of their games.

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Pirates on the road. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 7-4 with a 2.96 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his 18 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 10 quality starts. Sánchez most recently faced the Dodgers, where he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed a run in three straight outings. Sánchez has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 1.62 ERA compared to 5.95 on the road.

The Phillies come into today’s game as the 2nd highest-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top team in terms of batting average and have the 3rd best OPS in the league. Philadelphia also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they are 17th in the league in this category.

Over the team’s last 10 games, Trea Turner has been on fire, going 15/39 with 7 home runs and 16 RBIs. This has helped him put together a three-game hitting streak. Alec Bohm is also on a good run right now, as he has a six-game hitting streak going and is batting .297 for the season.

The Pirates are 49-48 overall and trail the Brewers by six games in the NL Central. They have won five straight games, and their record is just above .500 after going 15-14 against other teams in the NL Central. Pittsburgh took the first game of the series vs. the Phillies and has won two straight series.

At home, the Pirates are 23-24 this season and 26-24 on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 28-29 this year and 21-19 when favored. Their overall series record is 13-13-5 this year.

When the Pirates win, they typically do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game. They are 54-43 against the run line this season, and 39-18 as an underdog. Their current run line win streak is at three games, and they have covered the run line in 24 of 47 home games this season.

In the last 17 games, the Pittsburgh Pirates have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 19-12. Overall, their over/under record for the season is 46-50, and their games have averaged exactly 8.5 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and the Pirates have hit the over in their last two games.

Luis L. Ortiz is getting the start for the Pirates today and comes into the game with a record of 4-2 and ERA of 2.83. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 7.69 strikeouts per nine innings. Ortiz’s last outing came vs. the White Sox, where he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on four hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Overall, he has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three appearances. Opponents are batting .231 off Ortiz this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, the Pirates are batting just .232, which is 15th in the MLB. However, they do have the league’s 17th best home run total. Pittsburgh’s offense has been led by Bryan Reynolds, who is hitting .288 for the season and has gone 12/30 in his last seven games, with two homers.

Reynolds is also the Pirates’ leader in RBIs and is 10th in the league in homers. Oneil Cruz is 2nd on the team with 14 homers and has driven in 47 runs so far this season. Currently, McCutchen, Palacios, and Reynolds are all on hitting streaks for the Pirates.

The best way to play the Phillies vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Pirates on the money line, where they are currently listed at +140. We have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 7-6, giving us some value on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Christopher Sanchez finishing with six strikeouts, which is 19th among starters today. As for Luis Ortiz, we have him also finishing with six strikeouts, but he is 13th in our rankings.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• The Pirates are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 13 runs, we like the over

Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report