Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins Preview
Minnesota and Pittsburgh face off in an interleague matchup at 1:35 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA. The Twins are favored on the money line (-110) and have a five-game losing streak, which has dropped them to 33-31, 3rd in the AL Central. The Pirates have won two straight and are 3rd in the NL Central with an overall record of 31-33.
SN PT will be televising Sunday’s matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. Jared Jones is slated to start for the Pirates, while the Twins are sending Bailey Ober to the mound.
Check out BetCoco for Pittsburgh Pirates – Minnesota Twins odds
Pittsburgh Pirates Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Twins are 0-5. This includes going 0-5 vs. the runline.
- The Pirates, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- In their previous ten games, Twins have won 6-4 as favorites and 2-8 as underdogs.
- The Pirates are 5-5 (favorite) and 5-5 (underdog).
Pittsburgh cruised to a 4-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 8th inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Twins, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only push across one run.
Carmen Mlodzinski only went 1 2/3 innings for the Pirates but didn’t give up a run and struck out one. Hunter Stratton got the win out of the bullpen. Simeon Woods Richardson had a good outing for the Twins, giving up just one run in 6 1/3 innings of work.
Pittsburgh’s offense was led by Rowdy Tellez and Andrew McCutchen. Tellez went 2/4 with a home run, while McCutchen also had three hits and scored two runs. Bryan Reynolds also had a two-hit game for the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Minnesota is on the road today, looking to snap a five-game losing streak, and they are 33-31 overall this season. The Twins are 8.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 15-11 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Twins have gone 16-13 this year, and they are just above .500 at 17-18 on the road. This season, the Twins have been favored in 40 games, going 25-15 in those games. As the road favorite, the Twins are 13-5 this year, and their overall series record is 11-7-2.
Minnesota has been a solid bet on the run line this season, with a 28-36 record. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 17-18. They have been favored in 40 games this season, going 17-23 on the run line. Their average run differential in their wins is +3.4, while it is -4.0 in their losses.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average. The Twins have gone over the total in 27 of their 62 games this season, but when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone under in 10 of 16 games.
Twins starter Bailey Ober will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees, as he finished with a no-decision and gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. He has taken the loss in three straight outings and has a record of 5-4 this season with a 4.93 ERA. Opponents are batting .232 vs. Ober this season, and his ERA on the road is 11.3 compared to 4.26 at home. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 8.71 strikeouts per nine innings.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. At home, they are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Minnesota comes into the game with a team batting average of .229.
Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ most consistent power threat this season, as he is 10th in the league with 12 homers. However, he has struggled of late, going just 3/23 in his last eight games. Carlos Santana has also struggled this season, batting just .217, but he has two homers in his last seven games and is hitting .261 in that stretch.
Pittsburgh will be hosting the Twins today with an overall record of 31-33, and they have won two straight games. The Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by seven games. So far, they are 7-7 in divisional games.
This season, the Pirates have been good at home, going 16-16, and they are just below .500 at 15-17 on the road. As the underdog, Pittsburgh has gone 22-19 this season, and they have won two straight as the underdog. Their overall series record is 7-9-4, and they are coming off a series win over the Indians.
The Pirates are 37-27 on the run line this season, including a 17-15 record at home. They are 20-12 on the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 29-12 on the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.0, while it is -3.4 in losses.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an over/under record of 33-30 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Minnesota Twins is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Pirates have a record of 9-9. The over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 42.2% of Pittsburgh’s games this season. The under has hit in each of the Pirates’ last two games.
Jared Jones gets the start for the Pirates today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Dodgers on June 4th, he pitched 6 innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Jones has made 12 starts, and his ERA for the season is 3.25. Opposing batters are hitting .213 this season off Jones. The right-hander has a record of 4-5 this season. Per nine innings, Jones is averaging 9.87 strikeouts and just 1.95 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are 19th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.1 runs per game. They have been a little better on the road (4.2 RPG) than at home (4.0 RPG). As a team, they are batting just .231, which is 15th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. However, Pittsburgh is 7th in the league in walks.
Bryan Reynolds is currently on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .263 for the season, with a team-high 34 RBIs. Reynolds has also gone 11/35 in his last eight games. Oneil Cruz and Andrew McCutchen are the Pirates’ top home run hitters this season, with nine and eight homers, respectively.
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Twins on the money line, with the payout being -110. We have the Twins winning this one by a score of 5-4, and with the payout being close to even, this is a great payout.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jared Jones finishing with five strikeouts compared to Bailey Ober with five. However, we have Jones finishing with a higher ERA and picking up the loss.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips
- We like the Twins on the moneyline (-110)
- The Twins are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Martín Pérez | Out | Groin |
| Johan Oviedo | Out | Elbow |
| Marco Gonzales | Out | Forearm |
| Ryan Borucki | Out | Triceps |
| Ji Hwan Bae | Out | Wrist |
| Joey Bart | Out | Thumb |
| Dauri Moreta | Out | Elbow |
| Quinn Priester | Out | Lat |
| Alika Williams | Out | Wrist |
| Endy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
