Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 8/3/2024

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

There appears to be a chance for light rain in Pittsburgh on Saturday, where the Pirates and Diamondbacks will face off at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET. Arizona is 59-51 and has won four straight, putting them 2nd in the NL West. The Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 55-54.

Arizona is the money line underdog, with the Pirates’ odds sitting at -118. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and Jordan Montgomery will be starting for the Diamondbacks, while Mitch Keller goes for the Pirates.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Diamondbacks are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• In the Pirates’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Pirates have won 9-1 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 8-2 against the runline.

It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs. Pirates series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight favorites at -132 and squeaked out a 9-8 win. The Diamondbacks had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Pirates, they scored eight of their eight runs in the 6th and 7th innings.

Pittsburgh actually outhit Arizona in the game 13 to 11. Both teams finished with three home runs. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks had scored the second-fewest runs in the National League, while the Pirates had scored the third-most.

Brandon Pfaadt got the start for the Diamondbacks, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out three. He did not factor into the decision as Dylan Floro got the win out of the bullpen. Ryan Thompson got the save. Luis L. Ortiz had a rough outing for the Pirates, giving up six runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Arizona is on a four-game winning streak, and they are 59-51 overall this season. In the NL West, they are four games behind the Dodgers. So far, they have gone 19-14 in divisional games. The Diamondbacks have won four straight games, and they took the first game of this series vs. the Pirates.

As the road team today, the Diamondbacks are 28-26 this season compared to 31-25 at home. Arizona has won three straight games on the road. This season, they are 32-20 as the favorite and 27-31 as the underdog. The Diamondbacks’ overall series record is 18-13-4, and they have won five straight series overall and four straight on the road.

Arizona has been a solid run line team this season, going 56-54 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 31-23 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game, and they have been profitable to bettors as the underdog, going 35-23 against the run line in those games.

The Diamondbacks are on the road today against the Pirates, with the Over/Under line set at 8.5 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and their Over/Under record is 60-47. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-14. Overall, 39.1% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs. Their current Over streak is at 6 games.

Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and comes in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 6.51. Looking at his overall numbers, Montgomery has made 15 starts, and opponents are batting .309 this season. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 5.79 strikeouts per nine innings. Montgomery most recently faced the Nationals, where he gave up six earned runs in four innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Arizona comes into today’s game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the league’s 3rd best team batting average. Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Marte leading the team with 26 homers and Walker just behind him with 23. Marte is also hitting .303 for the season, while Walker’s batting average is at .254.

Arizona has a few hitters who are currently on some impressive streaks, as Eugenio Suarez has a five-game hitting streak, and Jake McCarthy has hits in six straight games. Over his last seven games, Suárez is 11/27 with four homers, and Marte has also gone deep four times in his last seven games, while batting .417.

Pittsburgh is 55-54 overall this season, and they trail the Brewers by seven games in the NL Central. The Pirates have lost two straight games, and they are 3rd in the division, a half-game behind the Cardinals for the 2nd spot in the NL Central. So far, they are 17-15 against their division rivals.

At home, the Pirates are 26-27 this season while going 29-27 on the road. This year, the Pirates are an even 13-13 as the home underdog, and they are 32-34 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Pirates have gone 23-20 this season, and their two most recent losses have come as the underdog.

Despite being a slight underdog, the Pirates have been a solid run line play this season, going 62-47 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 35-21 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it is -3.4 in losing games.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to host the Arizona Diamondbacks with today’s over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Pirates have a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-57. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Pirates have gone over the total in 23 of 38 games. The over has hit in two straight games for Pittsburgh.

Mitch Keller gets the start for the Pirates today and comes in with a record of 10-5 and an ERA of 3.30. He has made 21 starts this season and has a WHIP of 1.21. Keller has turned in 12 quality starts this year, and his only complete game came back on May 29th. The right-hander has a BB/9 figure of 2.38 compared to 7.99 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Keller went seven innings and gave up two earned runs, coming away with a no-decision. He has not taken a loss in any of his last three outings.

Heading into today’s game, Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz are tied for the team lead with 18 home runs, which is 15th best in the league. Reynolds has also been the Pirates’ top run producer this season, with 63 RBIs, and De La Cruz is 3rd on the team with 51 runs batted in. Oneil Cruz is also near the top of the Pirates’ home run and RBI leaderboards, with 17 homers and 56 RBIs.

Oneil Cruz has been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/25 in his last six games with two homers and five RBIs. Michael A. Taylor has also homered twice in his last six games, but he is just 4/19 in that stretch. Currently, Andrew McCutchen is on a four-game hitting streak, while Ke’Bryan Hayes and Joey Bart are both on three-game streaks.

Our predicted score for this Diamondbacks and Pirates matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks. With the Diamondbacks being the underdog, we really like them to win straight up and are getting a payout of +100.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Mitch Keller finishing with six strikeouts compared to Jordan Montgomery with five. However, we have Keller finishing with a higher ERA compared to Montgomery.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips

• We like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline (+100)
• The Diamondbacks are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report