Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Betting Tips 8/17/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Preview

There are a few MLB games on the schedule for Saturday, but one of the more intriguing matchups is Nationals vs. Phillies. This one gets started at 6:05 PM ET from Citizen Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line at -202. The Nationals are +170, and the over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

Washington comes into the game on a three-game losing streak and is 55-68 overall, while the Phillies have won three straight and are 1st in the NL East with a record of 72-50. MacKenzie Gore will start for the Nationals, and he will be facing off against Cristopher Sanchez. MASN will be televising this one.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats

• The Nationals are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
• In the Phillies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Phillies have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Nationals have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Phillies vs Nationals series. Philadelphia went into the matchup as -280 favorites and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Phillies had just one more hit than the Nationals and struck out four more times, but still picked up the win.

Washington had a chance to win the game in the 9th inning, scoring two runs off Phillies closer Carlos Estevez. However, Estevez closed things out, and the Phillies got the win.

Aaron Nola started for the Phillies and went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs and striking out four. He picked up a win in the game, while Patrick Corbin only went 4 1/3 innings for the Nationals, giving up two earned runs on seven hits.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Washington is 55-68 overall, and they are 17.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals have lost three straight games heading into today’s matchup. Their losing streak has them 4th in the NL East, and they are 9.0 games behind the Mets for 3rd place in the division.

So far, the Nationals have gone 16-17 against other NL East teams. At home, the Nationals are 28-32 this year, and they are 27-36 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 45-58 this year, and they are an even 10-10 when favored.

Washington is 37-26 vs. the run line on the road this season, which includes a 9-11 mark as the favorite. The Nationals’ average run margin in their 69 wins is +3.4, while their average run margin in their 54 losses is -3.7. Their overall run line record is 69-54, with an average run margin of -0.6 runs per game.

Washington is on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Nationals have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 62-56. The average over/under line for their games is also 9 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 13-13-3. So far this season, 21 of their games have had over/under lines set above 9 runs, accounting for 17.1% of their games, while 73 games have had lines set below 9 runs, making up 59.3% of their games.

Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Phillies on the road. This year, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 7-10 with a 4.50 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.57, and opponents have a batting average of .268 off him this year. In his last outing, he gave up five earned runs in four innings of work and took the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gore has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. So far, he has made five quality starts.

Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 18th in runs per game at 4.3. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. The Nationals are the league’s worst home run hitting team, and their team slugging percentage of .376 is also 20th in the league. However, they have been good at putting the ball in play, as their strikeout numbers are the 6th best in the league.

Luis Garcia Jr. and CJ Abrams come into the game as the Nationals’ top home run hitters, with 14 and 17 homers, respectively. Both players are also tied for the team lead with 59 RBIs. Garcia Jr. is on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .292 for the season. James Wood has been hot of late, going 11/27 in his last seven games.

Philadelphia is currently 72-50 overall and leads the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies have won three straight games, and they are 18-11 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 41-22 this year.

So far, the Phillies have been the favorite in most of their games, as they are 61-38 when favored. As the underdog, the Phillies are 11-12 this year, and they have won three straight at home as the favorite. This year, their series record is 19-15-6.

The Phillies have a run line record of 30-33 at home this season, with an average run margin of 1.4 runs per game. They have gone 12-11 against the run line as underdogs, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.9 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line for the Philadelphia Phillies’ home game against the Washington Nationals is set at 9 runs. The Phillies have an over/under record of 57-59 on the season, and their games have averaged exactly 9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs this season, their record is 5-11-1. Overall, just 14.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 71.3% have had lower lines.

Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, where he gave up seven earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up four homers. Before that start, he had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Dodgers and giving up just one earned run in six innings of work. Sánchez’s record for the season is 8-8, and he has an ERA of 3.63. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 6-3 with a 2.52 ERA at home compared to 2-5 with a 5.98 ERA on the road.

Philadelphia comes into the game with the 6th best scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .257, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Over the past seven games, Alec Bohm has gone 8/27 with a home run and six RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs, as he has 84 for the season. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper have been the team’s top power threats, with Schwarber’s 28 homers leading the team and Harper’s 26 homers coming in as the 2nd most on the team.

Our prediction for today’s Nationals vs. Phillies game is to take the over, with the line being set at 9 runs. We see the Phillies coming out on top by a final score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line.

If you’re looking for a money line pick, the payout for a Phillies win is -202, and with the way we see this game playing out, that is a solid payout. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Christopher Sanchez going 5 innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for MacKenzie Gore, we have him racking up seven K’s over his time on the mound.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

Washington Nationals Injury Report