Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Preview
The Phillies head into Friday’s matchup vs. the Nationals looking to extend their two-game winning streak, as they are 31-14 overall, which is the best record in the NL East. Washington is 3rd in the division with a record of 20-22.
Philadelphia has Zack Wheeler on the mound, while the Nationals are starting Jake Irvin. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and the Phillies are heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -274. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and NSPPH will be televising this matchup.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Washington Nationals odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Nationals have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Phillies have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- The Phillies have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Nationals’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Washington closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a 2-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +144 on the money line. Things started off well for the Nationals, as Patrick Corbin didn’t give up a run in the first three innings. However, he took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits.
Offensively, the Nationals only had three hits but didnjson’t score a run. Their best chance to score came in the 3rd inning when they had runners on first and second with no outs. However, the White Sox were able to get out of the jam without giving up a run.
Washington is 20-22 overall and trails the Phillies in the NL East by 9.5 games. The Nationals have dropped two straight games, and they lost the final two games of their series vs. the White Sox. So far, they have gone 5-2 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Nationals are just 7-10 this year, but they have gone 13-12 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 17-20 this year, and they are 3-2 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 5-8-1 and they have lost two straight series.
The Nationals have been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 26-16. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 17-8. They are currently on a two-game run line losing streak on the road, but they have been a profitable bet on the run line as the underdog this season, going 23-14. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3.
Washington’s over/under record is 18-23, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 4-4. The Nationals have played 33 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which is 78.6% of their games. Their combined run average is 8.1 runs per game, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Jake Irvin is getting the start for the Nationals today and comes in with a record of 2-3 and ERA of 3.55. So far, he has made eight starts and four of them have been quality starts. In his most recent outing, Irvin went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, and didn’t give up a homer in that outing. Looking back, he had given up a homer in three straight starts. Irvin’s ERA at home is 5.86, compared to 2.49 on the road, where he is 2-0. The right-hander has a walk rate of 1.58 per nine innings compared to 7.09 strikeouts.
Washington’s offense has been one of the league’s worst so far this season, as they are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 21st in the MLB. They have been even worse in terms of power, as they are just 18th in home runs and have a team batting average of just .225. However, they do have two players in the top 10 in home runs, with CJ Abrams leading the team with 7 homers and Joey Meneses having gone deep 21 times so far.
Over his last nine games, Eddie Rosario has been swinging a hot bat, going 11/29 (.379) with four homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 4th spot in RBIs, even though he is batting just .176 for the season.
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Mets scored two runs in the top of the 8th. Philadelphia was the -142 favorite at home going into the game.
Taijuan Walker got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits. Alec Bohm was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a double, a run scored, and an RBI.
With a record of 31-14, the Phillies lead the NL East by 2.5 games over the Braves. Philadelphia will host the Nationals today, and they are 8-5 in divisional games this year. The Phillies have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 15-6, and they have gone 16-8 at home.
Philadelphia has been really good in night games this season, going 19-6. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 26-11 and 5-3 as the underdog. The team’s overall series record is 9-2-4, and they have won four straight series on the road.
The Phillies have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 24-21 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 13-8. They have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game this season, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.9 runs per game.
Philadelphia’s over/under record for the season is 23-20, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game, and the over has hit in their last two games. This season, 62.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler is starting for the Phillies today and comes into the game with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 2.53. Wheeler has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 10.97 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up six hits, two earned runs, and one homer in four innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Wheeler’s ERA at home is 1.74, compared to 4.79 on the road.
As a team, the Phillies are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in batting average and have the league’s 5th best home run total. Philadelphia’s offense has been very good at getting on base, as they have the 2nd best OBP in the league.
Over the last nine games, Bryce Harper and Bryson Stott have been swinging hot bats, with Harper going 13/37 (.351) with three homers, and Stott batting .423 with one home run. Harper is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Alec Bohm, who is also on a three-game hitting streak, comes into the game with a team-leading 36 RBIs and is batting .333 for the season.
Our prediction for today’s Nationals vs. Phillies game is that the Phillies will pick up a 4-4.1 win. However, with the money line payout for a Phillies win being just -274, we are recommending taking the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs.
If you are looking for a payout prediction, we have the Phillies winning by a score of 4-4.1. Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler has a better chance of picking up a win than Jake Irvin. Wheeler is also projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Irvin with five.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 8 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | Questionable | Foot |
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Shoulder |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Lane Thomas | Out | Knee |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
