Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Blue Jays and Phillies is set for 1:05 from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are sending Aaron Nola to the mound vs. Chris Bassitt for the Blue Jays. Coming into the game, the Phillies have the best record in baseball at 26-11.
As for the Blue Jays, they are 16-20 and are looking to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Phillies are the favorite at -162 on the money line.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Toronto Blue Jays odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- The Blue Jays are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- In the Phillies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 8-2, while going 6-4 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Blue Jays have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
Philadelphia cruised to a 10-1 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -115.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Jose Berrios got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs.
Bryce Harper and Kody Clemens each homered for the Phillies, while Bryson Stott scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4. Danny Jansen had a two-hit game for the Blue Jays.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 7.5 games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 16-20 and have dropped two straight games, losing the series opener vs. the Phillies. This season, they are 5-5 in AL East play.
At home, the Blue Jays have gone 8-7 this year, and they are just under .500 at 8-13 on the road. As the underdog, Toronto has struggled this season, going 3-11. Their overall series record is 4-6-1, and they have dropped four straight series.
When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.9 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of -4.6 runs per game. Their run line record is 15-21, with a -1.3 run differential per game. They are 9-12 against the run line on the road and have failed to cover in their last two road games. They are 6-9 against the run line at home.
The Toronto Blue Jays have played 35 games this season, and their over/under record is 16-19. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 6-8. The over has hit in four straight games for the Blue Jays, including their last game against the Phillies, which had a combined 11 runs.
Toronto is sending Chris Bassitt to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 2-5 and an ERA of 5.45. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 8.42 strikeouts per nine innings. Bassitt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.68. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two home runs in three straight starts. Bassitt’s ERA at home is 7.72, compared to 6.29 on the road.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .226 and are near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs. One positive for the Blue Jays is that they are the 3rd hardest team to strike out in the league.
Justin Turner and Daulton Varsho come into the game as the team’s top two home run hitters, with both having gone deep four times this season. Turner is also the team’s leading hitter, with a batting average of .282. Over his last seven games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .296, and he has one home run in that stretch.
Philadelphia is hosting the Blue Jays today with an overall record of 26-11, which has them leading the NL East by three games over the Braves. The Phillies have won seven straight games, and they are 3-3 in divisional matchups this year. Their seven-game winning streak has come after taking the final two games of their series vs. the Braves.
At home, the Phillies are 15-6 this year, and they have gone 11-5 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 16-6. As the favorite, the Phillies are 22-8 this year, and they are 4-3 as the underdog. Philadelphia has gone 9-1 over their last 10 games, and they have won three straight series.
When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, which is why they have a winning run line record overall. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 19-18 overall. They are 10-11 at home and 9-7 on the road, and they are 15-15 as the favorite and 4-3 as the underdog.
When the Phillies and Blue Jays met, the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs, and the game produced 11 runs, going over the line. This was the fourth time in 37 games this season that the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs for a Phillies game, and the over has hit in three of those games.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. He has made four quality starts this year and has a record of 4-1. Nola’s ERA is 3.32, and his WHIP for the season is 1.15. So far, he has made seven starts and has a total of seven appearances. Nola’s last outing came against the Giants, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in home runs and team batting average. The Phillies have also been good at avoiding strikeouts and are among the league leaders in walks.
Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber are both in the top 4 in home runs for the Phillies, with Bohm’s 32 RBIs leading the team and Schwarber’s 22 RBIs being 3rd. Bohm has been hot of late, batting .353 over his last nine games, while Bryce Harper has three homers in his last 10 games and has driven in 11 over that stretch. Harper also comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak.
With the Blue Jays being listed at +134 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going for today’s Blue Jays vs. Phillies matchup. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Blue Jays, giving us a good amount of value with the payout sitting at +134.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Aaron Nola finishing with more strikeouts than Chris Bassitt, but Nola is projected to finish with just five K’s. And with Bassitt having a better chance of picking up the win, we would look to go with him in a DFS lineup.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips
- We like the Blue Jays on the moneyline (+134)
- The Blue Jays are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Questionable | Back |
| Chad Green | Out | Shoulder |
| Bowden Francis | Out | Forearm |
| Yariel Rodríguez | Out | Back |
