Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips 5/7/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

At 6:40 PM from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have an interleague matchup between the Blue Jays and Phillies. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Blue Jays are 16-19, while the Phillies are 25-11. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Phillies are the favorite on the money line at -136.

Jose Berrios will go for the Blue Jays, and he is facing off against Cristopher Sanchez for the Phillies. Philadelphia is currently on a six-game winning streak.

Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Toronto Blue Jays odds

Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Blue Jays in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• In the Phillies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a record of 8-2 straight-up, and have gone 6-4 against the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Blue Jays have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with an 11-8 loss. Toronto was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Nationals scored five times in the 2nd.

Alek Manoah had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing four walks. The Blue Jays’s offense scored their first eight runs in the 2nd inning but didn’t have another run after that. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit a three-run homer in the 2nd and finished the game 2/4.

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 7.5 games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 16-19 as they play on the road vs. the Phillies. Toronto is 8-7 at home and 8-12 on the road this year.

The Blue Jays have dropped four straight series and are just 4-6-1 in series this year. As the underdog, Toronto has dropped six straight games, and they are 3-10 as the underdog overall. Toronto lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Nationals and are just 3-7 over their last ten games.

When the Blue Jays are favored, they are a .500 team against the run line, but they have been a losing proposition as the underdog. They have lost five straight against the run line as the favorite, and their run line record is just 4-9 when they are the underdog. They have been outscored by an average of 4.4 runs in their losses, compared to outscoring opponents by 2.9 runs in their wins.

Through 34 games, the Blue Jays have seen their games average 8.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 15-19, and when the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 5 of 13 games. Overall, 14.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their games have gone over the line in each of their last three games.

José Berríos will be looking to bounce back from his last two outings, where he took the loss in both games. Most recently, he faced the Royals and gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Against the Royals, he allowed one home run. Berríos has made six quality starts this year and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 1.44. Looking at his home/road splits, he has an ERA of 2.02 on the road compared to 0.86 at home. So far, he has one complete game shutout.

So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .226, which is 16th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .308 is 13th in the league.

Justin Turner comes into the game as the Blue Jays’ leading hitter, with a batting average of .283, and he also leads the team with 16 RBIs. Turner and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. are tied for 2nd on the team with four homers apiece. Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, batting .357 over his last seven games.

Heading into their last game vs. the Giants, the Phillies closed out the series with a 6-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -237. Offensively, the Phillies scored their six runs on jsonly 10 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Zack Wheeler put together a good start for the Phillies, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out 11 Giants batters. Bryce Harper was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Philadelphia is currently at home for today’s game vs. the Blue Jays, and they lead the NL East with a record of 25-11. The Phillies have won six straight games, and they closed out their series with the Giants with a win, going 4-0 in the series. So far, they are 3-3 in divisional games.

At home, the Phillies have gone 14-6 this year, and they are 11-5 on the road. Philadelphia has been really good as the favorite this season, going 21-8, and they are 4-3 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 7-2-2 and have won three straight series.

The Phillies are 18-18 against the run line this season, and they are 9-11 against the run line at home. They have an average run margin of 1.2 runs per game overall and have gone 9-7 against the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in their last game as the favorite, but they are just 4-3 against the run line as the underdog.

When the Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs this season, and their over/under record is 16-18. The average line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 2-6. Only 11.1% of their games have had a higher line than 8.5 runs, and 66.7% have had a lower line.

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. So far this season, he has made six starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 3.68. Sánchez most recently faced the Angels, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. In his outing before that, he gave up at least one homer in three straight starts. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is 1.53, and he is averaging 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia comes into the game with the league’s 3rd best home run total and are also near the top of the league in most offensive categories, including team OPS and OBP. They are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. So far, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league.

Right now, the Phillies have three players with a current hitting streak of at least three games, including Bryce Harper, who has gone 5/15 with two homers over his last five games. Harper is 2nd on the team in RBIs (24) and 4th in the league in home runs. Alec Bohm is just ahead of him in the home run department, as he has four homers while batting .349.

Our prediction for today’s Blue Jays vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -136. We have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the payout for a Phillies win being -136, we see this as a good value compared to the payout.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Cristopher Sánchez finishing with seven strikeouts compared to José Berríos with five. Sánchez is also projected to go deeper into the game, and we have him finishing with a lower ERA than Berríos.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Blue Jays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report