Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Preview
The Phillies head into Wednesday’s interleague matchup vs. the Rangers looking to extend their winning streak to three games, and they are the heavy favorite on the money line (-139). On the other side, the Rangers have a money line payout of +118, and the over/under line is currently 9.5 runs.
First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:40 PM ET, and the forecast for the game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. NSPPH will be televising this one, and Taijuan Walker and the Phillies are facing a Rangers club that is 24-25 (2nd AL West). Dane Dunning is slated to start for the Rangers.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Texas Rangers odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rangers have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 0-5 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Phillies have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Phillies have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Rangers have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.
Philadelphia picked up a 5-2 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 8th inning, scoring two runs in the 8th and another three in the 9th. As for the Rangers, they scored their only two runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -170 on the money line.
Ranger Suarez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued two walks. Jon Gray got the start for the Rangers, going five innings and giving up two earned runs.
Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm each homered for the Phillies, while Corey Seager went deep for the Rangers. Harper, Bohm, and Kyle Schwarber each had two hits and two RBIs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction
Texas is 24-25 overall this season, and they are three games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Rangers have dropped two straight games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Phillies. Looking at their overall series record, the Rangers are 7-7-1 but have dropped three straight series.
At home, the Rangers are 12-13 this season, and they are an even 12-12 on the road. As the underdog, Texas has gone 9-10 this year, with an overall record of 7-7 as the road underdog. Texas’ two-game losing streak as the underdog is part of their overall mark of 15-15 when favored.
When the Rangers are on the road, they have a run line record of 10-14, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last six road games. Overall, their run line record is 19-30. They have been the favorite in 30 games, and they have only covered the run line in nine of those games.
The Texas Rangers are on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies today, with the Over/Under line set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Rangers games this season is 9.0 runs per game, and their Over/Under record is 20-28. When the O/U line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 3-2. Overall, the average O/U line for their games is 9 runs, with 7 games having higher lines than 9.5 runs. The Under has hit in their last 3 games.
Rangers starter Dane Dunning is coming off a short outing vs. the Royals, as he went just 4 2/3 innings in the outing. He finished with a no-decision in the game, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and one homer. In his seven starts, Dunning has a record of 3-2, an ERA of 4.10, and he has issued 4.1 walks per nine innings compared to 10.37 strikeouts. Looking back over his last three outings, Dunning has allowed at least one homer in each start. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.15.
Adolis Garcia and Marcus Semien have been the Rangers’ top power threats this season, with Garcia’s 11 homers leading the team and Semien sitting in the 2nd spot with nine. Semien is also 8th in the league with 34 RBIs, while Garcia’s 35 RBIs is 7th in the MLB. Semien has been struggling of late, going 8/38 in his last nine games, while Garcia has gone 6/29 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Rangers are 11th in scoring at 4.5 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .247, which is 8th in the league, and have the 8th best on-base percentage in the MLB.
With an overall record of 35-14, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies have won four straight games, and they are 11-5 against other teams in the NL East. The Phillies have been really good at home this year, putting together a record of 20-8. On the road, they are 15-6 this year.
Philadelphia has been really good in night games this year, going 22-7. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 30-11 and 5-3 as the underdog. The Phillies have also won four straight games as the home favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 10-2-4, and they have won four straight series on the road.
Philadelphia has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 27-22 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, going 13-8, but they’re just 14-14 at home. The Phillies have covered the run line in their last two home games and are 22-19 when favored. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8 runs, while it’s -3.5 in losses.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to the Texas Rangers tonight, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 24-22. The average over/under line for Phillies games is 8 runs, and they have not had any games this season with an over/under line set at 9.5 runs. In fact, 100% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9.5 runs.
Taijuan Walker and the Phillies will be hosting the Rangers today. Walker has picked up a win in each of his first two starts, with his most recent outing coming at home against the Mets. In that start, he went 3 1/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 4.
Not only are the Phillies the top-scoring team in the league this season, but they also have the best home offense in the league, averaging 5.6 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .259 as a team (2nd) and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league. One of the things that has made them so tough to pitch to is their ability to avoid strikeouts, as they are just 17th in strikeouts per game.
Over his last eight games, Alec Bohm has gone 10/32 with one home run and 12 RBIs, putting his season batting average at .333. Bryce Harper is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 11/30 in his last seven games with two homers and seven RBIs. Harper’s 36 RBIs this season is 2nd on the team, and he is also 6th in the league in home runs (11).
Our prediction for today’s Rangers vs. Phillies matchup is that the Phillies will pick up a 6-5 win. Given that they are -139 on the money line, this is the best way to play this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Dane Dunning is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and Taijuan Walker is projected to finish with five. Walker is also projected to finish with fewer hits allowed than Dunning.
Offensively, our projections have the Rangers finishing with the 13th most runs in the league today and the Phillies with the ninth most. If you’re looking for a home run prediction, the Phillies are projected to finish with the ninth most.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rangers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | Probable | Foot |
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | Out | Back |
| Jacob deGrom | Out | Arm |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Out | Groin |
| Jon Gray | Questionable | Groin |
| Brock Burke | Out | Hand |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Dane Dunning | Probable | Shoulder |
| Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
| Adolis García | Questionable | Forearm |
| Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
| Cody Bradford | Out | Ribs |
| Justin Foscue | Out | Oblique |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
| Wyatt Langford | Out | Hamstring |
