Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Preview
The Phillies head into their interleague matchup vs. the Rangers looking to extend their three-game winning streak. They are 34-14 overall and 1st in the NL East. As for the Rangers, they are 24-24 and 2nd in the AL West. Jon Gray is starting for the Rangers, while the Phillies are going with Ranger Suarez.
Philadelphia is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -172 compared to the Rangers at +146. Tuesday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the forecast from Citizens Bank Park calls for temperatures in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. NSPPH will be televising this one.
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Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Rangers in their last five road games. They have also gone 0-5 vs. the runline.
- In the Phillies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a record of 8-2 straight-up, and have gone 6-4 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rangers have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Rangers closed out the series with a 4-1 loss. Texas was the heavy favorite at -159 at home. Things started off well for the Rangers, as they got on the board with a run in the 4th inning but gave up the lead right away as the Angels scored four times in the top of the 7th.
Michael Lorenzen put together a good start for the Rangers, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out six. However, the Rangers couldn’t close things out, and the Angels added another two runs in the 8th to pick up the win. Corey Seager’s hot streak continued, as he went 1/2 with a homer and a run scored.
Texas is right at .500 with a record of 24-24, and they are two games behind the Mariners in the AL West. The Rangers lost two straight games to close out their series vs. the Angels. This year, they are 9-11 in AL West games.
As for how they have fared this year, the Rangers are an even 12-13 at home compared to 12-11 on the road. Texas has dropped three straight on the road, and they are 7-6 as road underdogs this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Rangers are 7-7-1 and have dropped three straight series.
The Rangers have been a poor bet against the run line this season, going 19-29. They are 10-13 on the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of -0.1 runs per game. They have lost five straight run line bets on the road. Texas is 9-21 vs. the run line as the favorite and 10-8 as the underdog.
The Rangers have played 25 games this season with over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs, and in those games, the over has gone 10-15. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 20-27 overall. Their last two games have gone under the total, and the over/under line for today’s game with the Phillies is 8.5 runs.
Texas is sending Jon Gray to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he has been pitching well this season. Gray’s ERA is currently 2.08, and he has a record of 2-1. In his 10 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Guardians, he went 6 1/3 innings. Gray has been especially tough on the road, with an ERA of 1.39 compared to 2.85 at home. So far, he has made four starts on the road and six at home.
Adolis Garcia and Marcus Semien have been the Rangers’ top power threats this season, with Garcia’s 11 homers leading the team and Semien sitting in 2nd with 9 long balls. Garcia is also 6th in the league in RBIs, with 35, while Semien is right behind him at 33. However, Garcia has hit just .182 over his last eight games, while Semien has gone 10/31 in his last nine games.
Corey Seager is currently on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 10/31 in his last nine games. Ezequiel Duran has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/23 in his last eight games. However, he is still looking for his first home run of the season.
Alec Bohm had a big game for the Phillies in their 11-5 win over the Nationals to close out their series. He went only 1/3, but it was a five-run 3rd inning for the Phillies. Bohm also picked up a homer in the inning. The Phillies really broke things open with an eight-run 4th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Phillies were at -236 at home.
Aaron Nola started for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on two hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
With an overall record of 34-14, the Phillies lead the NL East by five games over the Braves. The Phillies have won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Nationals with a win. So far, they have been good vs. other teams in the NL East, going 11-5. Their series record is 10-2-4 this season.
At home, the Phillies are 19-8 this season, and they have gone 15-6 on the road. The Phillies have been really good in night games, going 22-7 this season. As the favorite, the Phillies are 29-11, and they are 5-3 as the underdog this season.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs per game. They have been a good team to bet on the run line, as they are 26-22 overall and 13-14 at home. They are 13-8 on the run line on the road and 21-19 when favored.
The Phillies have played in 45 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in 11 of them. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 24-21. In the 11 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over has gone 4-7. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and the Phillies have played in 33 games with an over/under line lower than 8.5 runs.
Ranger Suárez is looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Mets, he didn’t give up a homer. Suárez has been excellent this year, going 8-0 with a 1.37 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting just .165 off the left-hander this season. So far, he has one complete game shutout and seven quality starts. Per nine innings, Suárez is averaging 8.85 strikeouts and just 1.53 walks. At home, his ERA is 1.98 compared to 1.03 on the road.
Philadelphia comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are 3rd in team batting average at .258 and have the league’s 3rd best on-base percentage and 5th best OPS. As a team, they are also 7th in home runs.
Alec Bohm has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/20 in his last five games with one home run and seven RBIs. Bohm is hitting .330 for the season with 42 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team. Bryce Harper has also been a big run producer for the Phillies, as his 35 RBIs are 2nd on the team. Harper’s 10 homers is the best mark on the team and 7th best in the league.
Our prediction for this Rangers vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to pick up the win at home. A potential payout of -172 isn’t a bad return, but we actually like the over/under line better. We have the final score at 5-4 in favor of the Phillies, and with the line sitting at 8.5 runs, we recommend taking the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Ranger Suárez is projected to go five innings, while Jon Gray is projected to go just five. However, we have Gray finishing with more strikeouts than Suárez. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Gray’s strikeout line could be a good option.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rangers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | Questionable | Foot |
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | Out | Back |
| Jacob deGrom | Out | Arm |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Out | Groin |
| Brock Burke | Out | Hand |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Dane Dunning | Out | Shoulder |
| Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
| Adolis García | Questionable | Forearm |
| Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
| Cody Bradford | Out | Ribs |
| Justin Foscue | Out | Oblique |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
| Wyatt Langford | Out | Hamstring |
