Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Betting Tips 9/11/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Phillies head into Wednesday’s interleague matchup vs. the Rays looking for their third straight win, as they are 87-58 overall. The Rays, on the other hand, are 71-74 and are +172 on the money line for today’s game. The Phillies are the heavy favorite at -204, while the over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

First pitch from Citizen Bank Park is set for 6:40 PM ET, and the forecast in Philadelphia calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. Shane Baz is starting for the Rays, while the Phillies are going with Zack Wheeler. BSSUN will be televising today’s Rays vs. Phillies matchup.

Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Tampa Bay Rays odds

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats

• 2-3 is the record of Rays in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Phillies have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• The Phillies have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rays have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.

Philadelphia cruised to a 9-4 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 8th inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Rays, they scored their final run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -181 on the money line.

Ranger Suarez got the start for the Phillies, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out two. He did not factor into the decision. Jose Alvarado got the win out of the bullpen. Richard Lovelady took the loss for Tampa Bay out of the bullpen.

Trea Turner and Kyle Schwarber each homered for the Phillies, while Bryce Harper went 4/5 with three runs scored. Cal Stevenson also had a two RBI game at the plate.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Tampa Bay is 71-74 overall this season, and they are two games behind the Red Sox for 3rd place in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Yankees by 12 games in the division. The Rays have dropped two straight games, and they are 4-6 across their last 10 contests.

At home, the Rays are 37-38 this year, and they are just above .500 at 34-36 on the road. This season, the Rays are 35-30 as the favorite, and they are 36-44 when listed as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 22-18-6, and they are looking to avoid losing this series to the Phillies.

When the Rays win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of 3.5 runs. They have a run line record of 74-71 on the season, including 40-30 on the road. They are 50-30 against the run line as the underdog, compared to 24-41 as the favorite.

The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in Rays games this season is 8.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 65-72. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 23-25. Overall, 57.2% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Right-hander Shane Baz gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.27 ERA. Baz’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .221 this season. Baz’s last outing came against the Orioles, where he took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came on the road, where he pitched 7 2/3 scoreless innings.

Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ top hitter this season, batting .280 with a team-high 65 RBIs and 14 homers. He is also on a six-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 10/25 with two homers. Jonny DeLuca has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/31 in his last eight games. This stretch includes one home run and three RBIs.

The Rays offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game (28th). They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, batting average, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting just .231.

Philadelphia is 87-58 overall this season, and they lead the NL East by eight games over the Mets. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Rays, and they are 25-16-7 in series this year. Overall, they have gone 8-2 across their last ten games.

At home, the Phillies are 49-25 this season and have won four straight at home. As the favorite, the Phillies are 74-43 this season, and they are 48-22 as the favorite at home. So far, they have gone 13-15 as the underdog.

Philadelphia is 34-40 against the run line at home this season, with a scoring margin of +1.2 runs per game. The Phillies have covered the run line in 56 of 117 games as the favorite, while they are 15-13 against the run line as the underdog. The average run differential in their wins is +3.9 runs per game, while it is -3.8 runs per game in their losses.

The Philadelphia Phillies are at home today against the Tampa Bay Rays, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 68-70. The average over/under line for Phillies games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 13-14. In total, 106 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 73.1% of their games.

Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Rays at home. Wheeler has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 14-6 with a 2.59 ERA. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in 22 quality starts and has a WHIP of .96. Wheeler’s ERA at home is 2.53, and he has a record of 9-3 at home compared to 5-3 on the road. Wheeler most recently faced the Marlins, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. The Phillies have been one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 8th in home runs and have the 3rd best OPS in the league.

Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, hitting seven home runs over his last eight games while batting .452. For the season, he is hitting .251 with 35 homers, which is 7th best in the league. Bryce Harper is also near the top of the league in home runs, as his 26 homers is 14th best in the majors. Harper comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak and is batting .291 for the season.

Our prediction for today’s Rays vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to win at -204. However, we see there being better value in taking the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies.

Looking at today’s starters, Zack Wheeler is projected to have a solid outing, with our model having him finishing with seven strikeouts. As for Shane Baz, we have him finishing with just four K’s and see him going just four innings.

Offensively, our projections have the Phillies finishing with eight hits compared to the Rays with eight. However, the Phillies are projected to finish with more home runs, with the Rays finishing with just one.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report