Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview
From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have the Rays and Phillies facing off in an interleague matchup. Tuesday’s matchup is set to get started at 6:40 PM ET. The money line odds have the Phillies at -167 compared to the Rays at +142. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
Tampa Bay will be starting Taj Bradley, while the Phillies are sending Ranger Suarez to the mound. The Rays are 71-73 this season, while the Phillies are leading the NL East with a record of 86-58.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Tampa Bay Rays odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats
- The Rays are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Phillies have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Phillies are 7-3 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Rays have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 8-2 against the runline.
Philadelphia picked up a 2-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a late rally in the 9th inning, scoring one run to tie the game and then picking up the game-winning run in the 10th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -199 on the money line.
Tampa Bay wasted a good outing from Cole Sulser, as he gave up just one run in one inning of work for the Rays. Garrett Cleavinger took the loss. Cristopher Sanchez got the win for the Phillies out of the bullpen as Carlos Estevez got the save.
Kyle Schwarber hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with two RBIs. Brandon Lowe hit a home run for the Rays and went 1/1 with two RBIs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay heads into today’s game vs. the Phillies two games below .500 at 71-73. In the AL East, they are in 4th place, trailing the Yankees by 12 games. So far, they are 19-24 in AL East matchups this season.
The Rays are 5-5 over their last 10 games and lost the first game of this series vs. the Phillies. As the road underdog, Tampa Bay has gone 23-24 this year compared to 34-35 overall on the road. At home, the Rays are 37-38 this season.
The Rays have been a solid bet against the run line this season, with a 74-70 record. They are 40-29 against the run line on the road, and their current run line win streak is at three games. They have been particularly profitable as the underdog, going 50-29 against the run line in those games.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.1 runs per game. The Rays have played 83 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 57.6% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 64-72, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.
Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 6-10 with an ERA of 4.40. Bradley’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his 21 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Bradley took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Bradley has been hurt by the home run ball, allowing 20 homers this season.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .281 with a team-leading 64 RBIs and 14 homers. He is also coming off a stretch in which he went 9/20 with two homers over his last five games. Christopher Morel and Jose Siri are also tied for the team lead with 17 homers, but Morel is hitting just .196, and Siri is batting .186.
Overall, the Rays are 28th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .231 and have the 25th ranked slugging percentage in the league. Tampa Bay’s collective on-base percentage is also just 18th in the league.
Philadelphia is 86-58 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL East. They currently lead the Mets by 7 games for the top spot in the division. The Phillies have gone 25-17 against other teams in the NL East.
The Phillies have been really good at home this year, going 48-25, and they are 38-33 on the road. So far, they have really thrived as the favorite, going 73-43, and they are 13-15 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the Phillies have won three straight games at home, and they are 25-16-7 in series this year. Their overall record is backed by a 7-3 mark over their last 10 games.
When the Phillies win, they win by an average of 3.9 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 70-74. They are 33-40 against the run line at home, where they have a scoring margin of 1.2 runs per game.
When the Phillies are at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games is 8.9, and their over/under record is 67-70. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 12-14. In 106 of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 73.6% of their games. In just 12 games, the line has been set lower than 7.5 runs, making up 8.3% of their games.
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Marlins on September 5th, he pitched 5 innings, picked up the win, and didn’t give up a homer in that outing. Looking back at his last three outings, Suárez has given up just one homer in each of those starts. So far this season, he has a record of 12-6, an ERA of 2.90, and has pitched one complete game shutout. Suárez has a total of 11 quality starts this year.
Philadelphia has been one of the league’s top offenses this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average and 7th in home runs. The Phillies are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, going 13/30 with six homers over his last seven games. This has helped him move into the team lead in homers (34) and RBIs (94). Schwarber is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Bryce Harper is also having a strong season, batting .285 with 26 homers and 79 RBIs.
Our prediction for today’s Rays vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to pick up a win at home. However, with the money line payout for the Phillies sitting at -167, we recommend taking the over, as we have the final score at 5-4 in favor of the Phillies.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Ranger Suarez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is eight among today’s starters. As for the Rays’ starter, Taj Bradley, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well, which has him 14th among starters.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | Questionable | Knee |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Edmundo Sosa | Out | Back |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| Austin Hays | Out | Kidney |
| Rodolfo Castro | Out | Thumb |
| Alec Bohm | Out | Hand |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | Probable | Finger |
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Colin Poche | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Richie Palacios | Out | Knee |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
| Logan Driscoll | Questionable | Quadriceps |
| Pete Fairbanks | Out | Lat |
